Captain Brown has an ordinary strike rate(1 from 14) but gave it a real good go from the front here last time and will probably do so again.On good ground,its chance would increase but I feel it will be vulnerable in the closing stages on this softer ground..
Hunters Belt will be produced late,so the race should set up well for it and its 2 from 2 around this track.
The trainer has a 20% strike rate here and the horse is 3w-1p-9r when returning to the track within 28 days(21 today)
The market expects a better run from Cool Sky,who wouldnt be out of it on its best ratings but its far too short on what its done the last two starts.
Back Hunters Belt 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365(Accept 4.3)-4th(-12pts)Market told its tale as they couldnt give it away and it ran accordingly.To be fair,the ground was a lot faster than when I went through the race.
435 Kelso-Harrys Whim came down at the last here last time when looking likely to win but the rating it got for that run still leaves 9Ibs short of the best here,added into that its a very inconsistent performer,who has an abysmal record of 0w-1p-19r when returning to the track within 40 days(20 today)Its far too short in the market.
Baileys Concerto is a solid,consistent horse that should run well while Fiddlers Reel continues to post good,competitve ratings and shouldnt be far away.
Gleann Na Ndochais can be a bit in and out but if it can reproduce its latest effort then its got a better chance than the odds suggest.
Its won around here and the trainer has won with 2 of his last 8 runners.
Back Gleann Na Ndochais 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Didnt jump well and never in it
Lay Harrys Whim 20pts at 6.0-fell(+20pts)(DT+1pts)
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