2nd September

345 Ascot-You have to respect Walpole as an improving horse but its no bargain at 6/4,as on my figures,it needs to progress again to take this.
William Hunter is another that in my view is underpriced.Its got a few pounds to find on my ratings and it also hasnt produced a big enough speed figure to take this.
Those two make the market for something else.Sunblazer has a chance but a record of 0w-0p-3r around here and an inexperienced jockey put me off,its a big price however.
The one I like at the prices is Renfrew Street,who posted a good rating last time out and gets all the weight allowances as the only 3yo in the field.
Back Renfrew Street 8pts at 6.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-8pts)Strange run.Never looked comfortable and looked well beaten but then stayed on strongly into 2nd.

28th August

Poor stuff today.I was due a bad day and today was it,hopefully the football posted can claw back todays losses.
I am moving house tomorrow and therefore,there wont be anything posted for at least a couple of days.
Please keep checking back as im not certain when I will be all ready to go again.

27th August

Football
MLS
Portland v Seattle-Back Seattle Draw no bet 8pts at 2.375 at Hills-Lost 4-2
Orlando v New York City-Back New York City 10pts Draw no bet at 2.2 at various bookies-Lost 2-1
Back Seattle and New York City 6pts Double Chance double(Pays 3.9 at Bet365)-Lost(-24pts)

Horse Racing
400 Cartmel-The money has come for Mountain Tunes and given the connections,you would have to expect a big run but from a ratings perspective,Love The Leader looks a touch of value.
Its only had 3 runs over fences and posted a decent figure last time out.Interestingly,they made it favourite last time,so they clearly think its still fairly handicapped.
Its 3w-1p-9r going left handed and 4w-0p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days like today.
Back Love The Leader 8pts at 6.0 at Corals-Unseated rider(-8pts)

430 Goodwood-Its possible the 3yo`s will improve past it but Toormore looks rock solid to me here.
It spends most of its time in Group 1`s these days and therefore,its a force when dropped down to a Group 2(4w-1p-7r),it loves it around here(Goodwood 2w-1p-4r) and the price is far too big.
Zonderland heads my dangers from a yard who won this last year while Thikriyaat is improving and is respected but still needs to come on again in my view.
Lightning Spear has the back class to take this but is possibly best fresh(Returned to the track within 40 days 0w-1p-5r)
Back Toormore 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-4th(-8pts)Got this Completely wrong!

600 Windsor-My figures suggest Foundation has been running better than it looks and it certainly has got the form in book to win this.
Its achieved more than anything else in this race and if running somewhere near its best then it will be a tough opponent.Its 3w-0p-4r during August/September.
Ulysses could be different class of course and its strength in the market suggests they think so but talking horses make the market each time so lets hope this is one of those.
Chain Of Daisies is improving at a lower level and looks slightly overpriced.
Back Foundation 8pts at 6.0 at Various bookies-3rd(-8pts)Picked the wrong one.A poor day(DT-24pts)(DT-48pts)
Monthly Total+149.38
Running Total+8805.85pts

26th August

640 Goodwood-Its up in class but I like the claims of Tyrell here.
Its gradually stepped up in trip on its last 3 starts,posting progressive ratings each time and on its latest run over this trip,it achieved the best figure on show in this race.
The 2nd and 3rd in that race have come out and won since and id have it around the 13/8 mark.
Clear Evidence looks likely to be suited by this step up in trip but it does need to improve for it and the trainer is 0/15 with his 3yos at this track.
Argyle has been consistent and should run well but is clearly beatable.
Back Tyrell 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies-2nd(-14pts)Ran well but floods of money for Clear Evidence told the story of this race.
Monthly Total+197.38pts
Running Total+8853.85pts

25th August

Football
MLS(Early hours of Thursday 25/8)
Columbus v Philly-Back Philly 5pts(Draw No bet) at 3.25 at Bet365-Won 2-1(+11.25pts)
Orlando v Toronto-Back Toronto 10pts(Draw No bet) at 2.1 at various bookies-Won 2-1(+11pts)
Back Philly & Toronto 7pts at 4/6 & 21/20 at Bet365 in a Double Chance double-Won(+16.92pts)(DT+39.28pts)

250 Fontwell-On its first start for Jamie Snowden,Brave Encounter ran a fine race,posting the best recent rating in this field.
The winner,2nd and 4th have all come out and won since,so the form looks strong.
It should appreciate the step up in trip and it should go well.
Daulys Anthem is a danger but seems to be finding one too good at present while favourite Midnight King,turns up here under a penalty,it needs to improve on my figures but the trainer has a great record here with his handicap chasers(7 wins from 20 runners),however,on pure ratings,it looks short enough.
Back Brave Encounter 10pts at 5.0 at Betfair/Paddys-Won(+40pts)Never touched a twig!

455 Fontwell-Im amazed Highbury Hill isnt  clear favourite here.
Its a consistent horse running under its ideal conditions and a repeat of its latest run would see it going very close in this field.
Wyndcrest has been running well over further but ive got it as not so good over this trip.
Humbel Ben is very well handicapped but is unreliable.
Back Highbury High 14pts at 3.5 at Various bookies-2nd(-14pts)The one that got away.Looked all over the winner(Touched 1.04 in running) but got caught yards from the line.

525 Fontwell-I like the claims of Deserter here.
Its improving and still quite lightly raced.The jockey and trainer have a 23% strike rate when teaming up and ive got it around the 11/8 mark.
Ablazing is also progressive but at a lower level,its 0w-1p-5r in this class.
The main danger could be Spring Steel,whos been a revelation over fences of late.Its chance depends on translating that form back to hurdles but that doesnt always happen.
Back Deserter 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)A strong ride saw this outstay them.

600 Sedgefield-Coopers Friend has only had the 3 starts over fences and produced its best run to date last time out.That rating is the best on show here and if reproduced or bettered then it will be tough to beat.
Richard Johnson takes the ride and he has a 22% strike rate for this yard.
Millie Nautique can be very in and out and there has to be a doubt whether it will back up its latest run.
Val D`Arc has chances but needs rain and is no value at the prices.
Back Coopers Friend 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-Won(+33.6pts *1 NR)A good end to a great day!(DT+134.88pts)
Monthly Total+211.38pts
Running Total+8867.85pts

25th August

Football
MLS(Early hours of Thursday 25/8)
Columbus v Philly-Back Philly 5pts(Draw No bet) at 3.25 at Bet365-Won 2-1(+11.25pts)
Orlando v Toronto-Back Toronto 10pts(Draw No bet) at 2.1 at various bookies-Won 2-1(+11pts)
Back Philly & Toronto 7pts at 4/6 & 21/20 at Bet365 in a Double Chance double-Won(+12.20pts)(DT+34.45pts)

250 Fontwell-On its first start for Jamie Snowden,Brave Encounter ran a fine race,posting the best recent rating in this field.
The winner,2nd and 4th have all come out and won since,so the form looks strong.
It should appreciate the step up in trip and it should go well.
Daulys Anthem is a danger but seems to be finding one too good at present while favourite Midnight King,turns up here under a penalty,it needs to improve on my figures but the trainer has a great record here with his handicap chasers(7 wins from 20 runners),however,on pure ratings,it looks short enough.
Back Brave Encounter 10pts at 5.0 at Betfair/Paddys

455 Fontwell-Im amazed Highbury Hill isnt  clear favourite here.
Its a consistent horse running under its ideal conditions and a repeat of its latest run would see it going very close in this field.
Wyndcrest has been running well over further but ive got it as not so good over this trip.
Humbel Ben is very well handicapped but is unreliable.
Back Highbury High 14pts at 3.5 at Various bookies

525 Fontwell-I like the claims of Deserter here.
Its improving and still quite lightly raced.The jockey and trainer have a 23% strike rate when teaming up and ive got it around the 11/8 mark.
Ablazing is also progressive but at a lower level,its 0w-1p-5r in this class.
The main danger could be Spring Steel,whos been a revelation over fences of late.Its chance depends on translating that form back to hurdles but that doesnt always happen.
Back Deserter 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies

600 Sedgefield-Coopers Friend has only had the 3 starts over fences and produced its best run to date last time out.That rating is the best on show here and if reproduced or bettered then it will be tough to beat.
Richard Johnson takes the ride and he has a 22% strike rate for this yard.
Millie Nautique can be very in and out and there has to be a doubt whether it will back up its latest run.
Val D`Arc has chances but needs rain and is no value at the prices.
Back Coopers Friend 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies

24th August(UPDATE)

Football
MLS(Early hours of Thursday 25/8)
Columbus v Philly-Back Philly 5pts(Draw No bet) at 3.25 at Bet365
Orlando v Toronto-Back Toronto 10pts(Draw No bet) at 2.1 at various bookies
Back Philly & Toronto 7pts at 4/6 & 21/20 at Bet365 in a Double Chance double

24th August

740 Kempton-Trevisani could easily improve past everything,with the step up in trip expected to suit but the rock solid course and distance form of Saborido looks over priced to me.
This horse has been posted consistent ratings that would see it going very close here and it tends to be on fire at this time of the year(Aug/Sept 8w-5p-22r)
Brittleton should also run well with its last run working out well but I still have a slight doubt about it around here while Charlie Wells won last time but is 0w-1p-6r in this grade.
Back Saborido 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes/Betvictor-2nd(-7pts)

650 Stratford-It can be tricky to win with but from a ratings perspective,Purple`n Gold should be favourite here.
It posted the best rating in this race last time and now drops in grade,hopefully Scudamore can smuggle it into the race and the horse will go through with it.
Roman Flight is 3w-0p-5r around here and has to be respected on that while No Likey looks to be struggling since being hiked up after its latest win three starts back.
Glenwood For Ever comes over for this from Ireland and has Richard Johnson booked,so seeing money for it wouldnt be a surprise nor would an improved run but it cant win on whats its been doing.
Definite Future moves up 2 grades but isnt completely out of it based on its latest victory.
Back Purple `n Gold 10pts at 5.0 at Skybet/Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-10pts)This was a really poor run.

23rd August

610 Chelmsford-Coolcalmcollected was very well supported last time out,on its stable debut for the in form Loughnane yard.
That money went west but may only be lent as this looks a good opportunity to make amends.
Its never raced here but the sire has a solid record at the track and the jockey has a 26% strike rate when riding for this yard.
Limerick Lord has chances but normally finds something to beat it and the sire is 0/18 at this track.
Theydon Thunder would be a threat on its run 3 starts back but its disappointed the last twice and is possibly better at another furlong.
Back Coolcalmcollected 18pts at 3.25 at Paddys/Betfair-3rd(-18pts)Hammered into 5/4,so we got that right but just couldnt reel in the leaders.

345 Southwell-In on the Act finished in front of Little Pop last time and is very much respected but I can see the tables being turned today.
That was the latters first run after a long break and it could come on for that while its dropped back to the mark it last won off.If it can reach the level of last seasons best then it will be a big runner here.
The first mentioned horse is the biggest danger and its a force in this grade(Class 4 3w-1p-7r) but its the right price.
Sailors Warn has chances while No Win No Fee isnt out of it but needs to improve on my figures and its yet to post a good speed figure.
Back Little Pop 6pts at 8.0 at Various bookies-Won(+42pts)I knew 7/1 was big but even I wasnt expecting it to go off 5/2.Hosed up!(DT+24pts)
Monthly Total+93.50pts
Running Total+8749.97pts

21st August

330 Brighton- In this race,there appears to be 2 prices that are completely wrong.
Trulee Scrumptious just cant be a 5/2 shot.Its better at Newmarket(All 4 wins there) and there should be competition for the lead.Even its best ratings leave it short here.
Also,I feel the chance of Genuine Approval has been totally underestimated here.
It may need further but there will be a decent pace on here and if its in touch 2 furlongs out then it could come home strong.
Its possible the latest below par run was down to very soft ground and two starts back quite possibly was over a trip too far,so you can make excuses.
Kath`s Legacy is the obvious alternative but its the right price.
Back Genuine Approval 4pts at 17.0 at Corals/Betvictor-UP(-4pts)Backed into 7/1 but eventually ran just like it has been doing.

Football
Montreal to beat Chicago
Kansas City to beat Vancouver
Kalmar draw no bet versus Helsingborg
Malmo to beat Jonkopings
Back 5pts accumulator-Montreal lost(-5pts)DT-9pts)
Monthly Total+69.5pts
Running Total+8725.97pts


20th August

235 Newton Abbot-Court Frontier really catches my eye here.
It ran a good race over 3 miles last time,on its stable debut since being bought from Ireland.
It now drops in trip to 2m5f which should suit more(2m4 to 2m6 2w-2p-7r) and has the ratings to really go close plus it wont mind if the rain comes.
In fields of 9 or less its 2w-1p-5r and appears to me to be the wrong price.
Gowanauthat has been on a roll but the 80 day break worries me as its record after a break is not good(28 days+ 0w-1p-7r)
Back Court Frontier 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies-UP(-5pts)Really poor run especially after the market support.

330 Perth-Baysbrown is improving and should go well but is a tight enough price while Thyme For Gold will need a lot more if its to follow up its last time out victory.
However,a repeat of Wyfield Rose`s latest run makes it the one to beat on my figures.
It stormed home over course and distance last time out and although the handicapper has got involved,I still think it can be very competitive if the race pans out okay.
Its certainly should be vying for favouritism in my view.
Back Wyfield Rose 6pts at 7.5 at Various bookies-Won(+51pts *BOG)Basically an incredible ride from Henry Brooke as he kept niggling away and the horse kept responding,just got headed at the last but battled back.Amazing Stuff.(DT+46pts)
Monthly Total+78.5pts
Running Total+8734.97pts

19th August

505 Bangor-The lack of a solid opponent makes Civil Unrest easily the most likely winner of this event.
It ran a good race last time and will appreciate the step up in trip and the likely good ground.
The trainer doesnt send many here(1 winner from 2 runners) and its a force in this grade(Class 5 4w-3p-10r)
Miss Joeking has chances on last seasons best but hasnt scaled those heights so far this year.
You can pick massive holes in every other runner in this race and I would have the selection around the even money mark.
Back Civil Unrest 18pts at 3.0 at bet365-3rd(-18pts)Ground went against it unfortunately.

Football
Montreal to beat Chicago
Kansas City to beat Vancouver
Kalmar draw no bet versus Helsingborg
Malmo to beat Jonkopings
Back 5pts accumulator(Pays 5/1 at 32Red)

18th August

So close to a full house today and thanks to the 2 people who were grateful enough to make a donation for all the hard work I put in.
There are No Selections for tomorrow.

17th August

545 Chepstow-There are one to two who could improve for the step up in trip but in this grade,Fandango sets a decent standard for the others to reach.
It ran a fine race last time when just failing to peg back a horse that has gone on to win again since.
The trainer is a decent 2/6 with his 3yos at this track and it should be a shorter price than it is.
Rubensian ran well last time over shorter and on the all weather,it could appreciate the extra distance but the trainer is 0/15 with his 3yos here.
File of Facts looks a bigger danger under conditions that are ideal.
Back Fandango 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+40pts *1NR)Always going well and won nicely.

530 Worcester-This is pretty competitive but I like the unexposed Ballyknock Lad here.
Its only had 3 runs over fences and is 1/1 at this track.It tops my ratings and is a fair price.
Bincombe and Pacha Du Polder hold chances while Optimistic Bliss has only raced once over fences and could improve but needs too.
Back Ballyknock Lad 9pts at 5.5 at Various bookies-Won(+40.5pts)Just prevailed under a tremendous ride from David Bass.

700 Worcester-Sinaker is improving and should go well but theres no value in its price.
Letbeso and Skylander have chances but Listen and Learn is too big a price to ignore.
This horse can be moody but has the ratings to win this and this is its time of year(August/September 4w-6p-7r).
Back Listen and Learn 6pts at 7.5 at Bet365-2nd(-6pts)Not sure how it lost but it did.Just took the gloss off a great day(+74.5pts)
Monthly Total+50.5pts
Running Total+8706.97pts

16th August

415 Kempton-As a horse that normally operates at a slightly lower level,you cant help but feel that something may beat it,however from a ratings perspective,we have to be with Sarangoo.
Its been posting solid ratings on turf but won over this course and distance,the last time it ran on the all weather.I can only see Secret Glance as the other horse that likes to be up front,so its possible Sarangoo could get loose in front.
You can pick holes in all the opposition,Loaded is running quite well but is 0w-0p-3r in this grade while Arab Poet ran below par last time and is unproven here.
Gambit has its stamina to prove while King Of Naples has a very in and out profile.
Back Sarangoo 7pts at 6.5 at Various Bookies-UP

430 Ripon-At first glance,it appears Janaab has lost its way but you can make a case for it.
It just cant win in class 4 races(0w-1p-10r) and thats where its ran in its last 2 starts.
The last time it ran in a class 5 race,it won and all 4 of its career wins have come between June and August.In fact if you take its runs in class 5 during those months,you get form figures of 1-6-7-7-3-1-1-1-4-2-3-5 plus its 2w-0p-5r at this track.Its a big price.
Tadaany runs here under a penalty,its clearly got a chance but its best form has been on softer ground.
Venutius is pretty solid and is a danger while Cabal has a ratings chance but seems to struggle off this handicap mark.Midlight has been running well but the yard are struggling.
Back Janaab 5pts at 11.0 at corals/skybet-UP(-12pts)An absolutely hopeless day!

15th August

No Selections Today

14th August

(MLS)....Sunday 0.30am
Back New York City FC (Draw No Bet) vrs Columbus Crew 10pts at 2/1 at Bet365/MarathonBet-Drew 3-3(=0pts)Crazy game but a 95th minute equalizer from Columbus meant it was just stakes returned.

315 Pontefract-Rocktherunway hasnt won for a while but has been dropping in the weights and now competes off a mark 11Ibs below its highest winning mark.Its run last time out,on just its second start of the season,tops my ratings here and if that can be reproduced then its the one to beat.
Riptide has won here and will be better back on this fast ground rather than the soft it encountered last time.
Sthenic has only run once at this trip but the yard are struggling at present while Another Lincolnday could get involved but this is a rise in class.
Madam Lilibet has the course form and previous ratings to get involved but this ground could be fast enough.
Back Rocktherunway 12pts at 4.5 at Marathonbet(4.3 at betvictor/Hills)-3rd(-12pts)Well backed and given every chance but wasnt good enough.
Monthly Total-12pts
Running Total+8644.47pts

13th August

715 Market Rasen-Not many than can be seriously fancied here and a favourite that looks pretty underpriced in Proud Gamble.
That horse came back to form last time but that rating cant win this if Donapollo or the selection,Definite Ridge,run their races.
The former is a big danger,after a good return from a lay off last time and is dropped into a grade where its 2w-0p-4r but its around the right price.
The value is Definite Ridge,who on just its third run for this yard,ran out an easy winner last time.That rating is clear best here and if it can be replicated then its a massive price.
Back Definite Ridge 12pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-12pts)Tanked through the race and traded at 1.71 in running but this jockey continually flatters to deceive in my view.Awful!

520 Newbury-I can see the chance of Cosmeapolitan but cant believe its 13/8.
The jockey has actually won this race 5 times in the last 8 years but it has to be taken on at the prices.
Soul Intent has been running well and has finished close up in races that have been working out well.
Its got one of the better jockeys on show and is 3w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less.
Its the value on my figures.
Back Soul Intent 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Cosmeapolitan in a different class,

450 Doncaster-Fastnet Tempest and Fidaawy are both lightly raced and hail from top yards,so its no surprise they head the market but on my ratings,Henry The Explorer is well overpriced.
Last time out,it produced a career best,when encountering 10f on fast ground for the first time.
If it can reproduce that then the sexy horses will have a race on their hooves.
Back Henry The Explorer 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-Non Runner

535 Newmarket-I like the chances of Carry Me Home here.
It ran a superb race last time out from the widest stall ,in a better race than this at Glorious Goodwood and produced a career best rating and that figure is the best here.
Its over a furlong further here but I think that will suit and its the one to beat.
Dolphin Village is pretty solid,its got a consistent profile and is 1/1 at this track.
Duck A L`Orange won last time over course and distance but is up in grade here.That wasnt a good race last time and it looks underpriced to me.
Guns Of Leros moves up in trip after a good run last time,it wouldnt be out of it if it stays while Snan is back down in trip after winning last time,my figures suggest its better at further.
Back Carry Me Home 12pts at 4.3 at various bookies-Won(+37pts*1 NR)

Weekend Football
(Swedish Allsvenskan)...Saturday 3pm
Back AIK Stockholm to beat Helsingborg at 1/2-Won 2-1 and Norkopping to beat Gefle at 8/13-Drew 0-0
15pts double at Bwin/32Red-(-15pts)(DT+3pts)

12th August

**Ive only just discovered that the Donation button isnt visible for people using Mobiles.Its fine on a Laptop/Desktop etc but for some reason not proving visible on a Mobile Device.
Until I sort this out,Can those who would like to donate please go on Paypal and pay the email address of GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM or WTVLGAZ@AOL.COM alternatively email that address to discuss alternative payment methods.Thanks.**





450 Nottingham-Some lightly raced types here but none appeal more than Singyoursong.
This horse has been incredibly consistent and posted a career best rating last time over this trip.
Its 3w-1p-5r in fields of 9 or less and ive got it around the 6/4 mark so its current price looks value.
Colonial Classic is improving and looks the main danger although Desert Way makes its handicap debut and could improve but it needs too.
Back Singyoursong 12pts at 4.0 at betfair/Bet365-UP(-12pts)Well backed into favourite but really ran no race and never looked likely too,to be honest.

Weekend Football
(Swedish Allsvenskan)...Saturday 3pm
Back AIK Stockholm to beat Helsingborg at 1/2 and Norkopping to beat Gefle at 8/13.
15pts double at Bwin/32Red(Pays 2.42)
(MLS)....Sunday 0.30am
Back New York City FC (Draw No Bet) vrs Columbus Crew 10pts at 2/1 at Bet365/MarathonBet


11th August

820 Stratford-No Win No Fee heads the market but I feel its very underpriced here and really does allow some value elsewhere.Although I respect the trainer a lot and he has a good record here,its ratings its been posting, when winning novice events means it doesnt look thrown in here.
Sailors Warn is an obvious alternative after a good run last time but its around the right price,so at a much bigger price,I like Star Foot,who drops 2 grades from its last run but more interestingly drops back in trip.
Its run 3 starts back over this distance gives it a much better shout than the odds suggest and if the first time visor really sharpens it up then it could go very close.
Back Star Foot 6pts at 11.0 at Bet365/Paddys/Betfair-3rd(-6pts)Got so much of this right with the fav drifting massively and the selection backed into 9/2.However after looking the winner,it got ran out of it after the last with the main danger winning.
Monthly Total+9pts
Running Total+8665.47pts



10th August

Football
(Sweden Allsvenskan)
Norrkoping to beat Hacken 15pts at 5/6(Wednesday 6pm)-Won 3-1(+12.5pts)

Horse Racing
300 Beverley-So often in these events,the in form horse will beat the best in on the figures horse.
Sunraider is easily the best in with ratings but all over a shorter trip(6f).Its 0w-1p-10r over 7 furlongs to a mile and ive got it a 12Ibs worse horse at this trip,it has to be taken on.
Kiwi Bay has got chances and rates the biggest danger to the value in the race,Talent Scout.
This horse has generally been running well and has turned in many good runs at this track(2,8,2,3,3,2,4,1).Its profile means its favourite in my prices.
Back Talent Scout 9pts at 5.5 at Various bookies-Won(+40.5pts)Jumped and made all.

535 Beverley-Bond Bombshell is the obvious favourite here,as its bang in form and has a great record here(3w-1p-4r).Its price looks about right though and interestingly,no 3yo has won this race in the last 10 years.
Most of the others seem to be exposed,basically out of form sprinters but Mappin Time has a better chance than it appears at first glance.
This is a drop in class into a grade where its a force(Class 5 2w-2p-4r),its only run here twice and finished first and second in those runs plus its 2w-1p-7r during the month of August.
Its an in and out performer so may not run its race but a repeat of the run over course and distance,3 starts back would put it right in the mix.
Back Mappin Time 6pts at 9.0 at Various bookies-Won(+48pts)Plenty of money into 9/2 and got a fine ride to win and complete a great day!(DT+100.5pts)


Master Gunner(420 Salisbury) and Space Mountain(430 Beverley) are 2 favourites that should win but i couldnt tip them at the prices.

Monthly Total+15pts
Running Total+8671.47pts

9th August

345 Chepstow-On pure ratings,Free Zone stands out here and the only reason im not putting more points staked,is a small doubt about the ground.This course doesnt normally get too firm though and if the going is fine then this really should go very close.
Its been in great form,is 5w-5p-20r in fields of 9 or less and is 5w-5p-23r during July to September.
Midnight Rider worries me a little,it ran well last time but has a rating from last season over this course and distance that would put it in the mix.
Gilmer is running well and loves it here but hasnt won in this grade while Gold Hunter drops in trip and that needs to bring about some improvement to win this.
Back Free Zone 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-Non Runner

8th August

800 Ffos Las-There are negatives for Fire Ship(No wins since 2013) but conditions are ideal and this is a big drop in grade for it.
It actually hasnt run in this class since 2012 and is 2 from 3 in it,its been running okay in much better contests than this and it ratings suggest it should be vying for favouritsm,so it has to be the value call.
Kummiya is the obvious danger,hailing from an in form yard,that do well here but so far,its best runs have been on fast ground,so the going could be an issue.
Back Fire Ship 8pts at 6.5 at Ladbrokes-4th(-8pts)Clearly not the force of old despite it being well supported.

750 Windsor-Sometimes you wonder if you are barking up the wrong tree but I cant see Jelly Monger as the outsider here.
It normally runs in much better races than this and will appreciate the drop in grade(1w-0p-2r in Class 3 races).It does look to have an in and out profile but thats built into the price while De Sousa is an eye catching booking(2/9 for the stable).
Absolute Zero is on a roll and is the right favourite,however the yard have been under a cloud and I wouldnt want to play one of theirs at 5/4,especially going up in class like this one is
Rock Steady has to be on the premises but is another going up in grade while Rotherwick and Prendergast Hill are both beatable.
Back Jelly Monger 4pts at 21.0 at Various bookies-UP(-4pts)Another poor day in whats been a very poor month so far!
Monthly Total-85.50pts
Running Total+8570.97pts

7th August

No horses stand out for me today,so its just the football that was advised on Thursday.

(MLS)
Portland v Kansas City(Sunday 9pm)-Back Kansas City Double Chance 15pts at 20/21 at 32red/Betfred
(Allsvenkan)
Elfsborg v Hacken(Sunday 230pm)-Back Elfsborg to win 15pts at 11/10 at Marathon Bet-Both lost for a pretty disappointing week!(DT-30pts)

6th August

330 Ascot-Im not the biggest fan of The Shergar Cup meeting but I do like the chances of Against The Odds.
This horse has shown consistent,progressive form and has ideal conditions here,Im a big fan of jockey Oisin Murphy and on my ratings,it should be favourite.
Real Dominion has been in good form and is a CD winner but Combative looks the main danger.
Back Against The Odds 6pts at 10.0 at Betway-4th(-6pts)Halved in price so we got the value but was one paced when it mattered.

And the 2nd of our Rugby League selections
(Saturday) Widnes(+12.5pts) vrs Catalan 10pts at 1.9 at Betfair/Marathon bet-Lost(-10pts)(DT-16pts)
Monthly Total-43.5pts
Running Total+8612.97

5th August

430 Musselburgh-High on Light is well in under a penalty here and is clearly the one to beat but I do have a doubt about it on fast ground and it may be vulnerable on that score.
Opposition isnt exactly jumping out at you but on my figures,Neuf Des Coeurs should be a shorter price than it is.
It has 2 course wins to its name and gets the services of Joe Fanning(2/7 when riding for this yard).
Back Neuf Des Coeurs 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-2nd(-10pts)To my eye,just given far too much to do.

545 Haydock-For a horse that has a poor record after a break,Zamoyski ran a fine race last time when returning from nearly a year off.That bare rating gives it a solid chance but surely it should improve with that run under its belt and for the drop back into class 5 company(1/1 in this grade).
In the apprentice events,you want a decent lad onboard and we have the best available here in Adam McNamara.
Its 2w-0p-4r between July and September and really should be clear favourite in my eyes.
King Of Paradise won this last year but needs to bounce back after some poor runs while Cape Spirit is 0/14 in its career.Merchant Of Medici has 3 course wins to its name and is respected.
Back Zamoyski 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-Won(+35.75pts)Cape Spirit loomed up but McNamara really got hold of this horse and it won tidily.

830 Haydock-If Tartan Bute can repeat its run a few days ago then it will take some beating here.
Its back in trip and will be staying on late but hopefully the first time cheek pieces can help it travel more kindly.I`d love to see Franny Norton kick it out in front and use its stamina.
Kajaki may get an easy time in front however and that would be a worry while Rasasee could improve,slightly back in trip but on my figures, im surprised the selection isnt around the 6/4 mark.
Back Tartan Bute 13pts at 3.75 at bet365/Hills-4th(-13pts)Trip beat it unfortunately.(DT+12.75pts)


and theres the first of our Rugby League selections that was advised earlier this week.
Rugby League
(Friday) Wakefield(+16pts) vrs Wigan 10pts at 2.0 at Hills-Lost(-10pts)For some reason,Wakefield decided to play a load of youngsters.Not good!(DT+2.75pts)

4th August

400 Brighton-Trainnah will be a popular choice here,from a yard going well and on its handicap debut but it does make the market for some value elsewhere.
Singyoursong is lightly raced and the trainer has a 28% strike rate here but its the right price in my view.Lady Marl is out of form while Solveig`s Song looks outclassed,so the call has to be Visage Blanc,who will appreciate the drying ground and has a much better chance than the odds suggest based on its latest 2nd placed finish behind a big improver.
Back Visage Blanc 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Betbright-UP(-8pts)Money for it into 100/30 but never ran its race and we are still waiting to get going this month!

Early Bird Football

(MLS)
Portland v Kansas City(Sunday 9pm)-Back Kansas City Double Chance 15pts at 20/21 at 32red/Betfred
(Allsvenkan)
Elfsborg v Hacken(Sunday 230pm)-Back Elfsborg to win 15pts at 11/10 at Marathon Bet

Monthly Total-30pts
Overall Total+8626.47pts

3rd August

350 Brighton-You have to respect the unexposed Stoute horse,Volition,and it may improve past these but I prefer the solid handicap form of Bajan Rebel.
This horse tops my ratings and has conditions to suit and could well get a solo out in front,as it looks to be the only front runner in the race and thats a big asset around here.
The trainer has only sent 2 horses down here in the last 5 years and one of those won,so it looks best to take the hint.
Back Bajan Rebel 14pts at 3.5 at Various bookies-3rd(-14pts)I felt the jockey got caught napping coming into the straight and basically gave up the position it had.Poor run!

340 Pontefract-This race has a good shape to it with the Johnston horse,incredibly short in the market.That horse is Stars Over The Sea and although the trainer is no fool,there are massive doubts about this horse over the trip.
7th-12th-13th-5th are its finishing positions over todays trip and ive got it a 12Ibs worse horse than over its best distance of 10 furlongs,it surely has to be vulnerable late on?
Blue Hussar has been running well but is 0w-0p-13r when returning to the track within 40 days while Hernandoshideaway won this last year but hasnt looked the same horse this time around.
Jam Session is very difficult to assess and the market will tell its tale but at the prices,I have to be with the rock solid Mukhayyam.
This horse has posted strong ratings the last twice and is 2w-0p-4r during August and September.
Ive got it half the price it is in my tissue prices.
Back Mukhayyam 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-2nd(-8pts)Fav allowed to do its own thing in front but probably too good whatever.(DT-22pts)
Overall Total+8634.47pts

2nd August

Hopefully,quite a few people have made a few quid out of this since its return 12 days ago.Its been operating at a ROI of 88% which is very good.
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Nothing on the horse front today but 2 early rugby league selections for Friday and Saturday.

Rugby League
(Friday) Wakefield(+16pts) vrs Wigan 10pts at 2.0 at Hills
(Saturday) Widnes(+12.5pts) vrs Catalan 10pts at 1.9 at Betfair/Marathon bet