430 Lingfield-Jack My Boy has gone close on its last 2 starts and should go well here.It likes a recent run(4-7 days) 2wins-2places-7runs and a small field(0-9 runners)3w-3p-13r.Welsh Inlet is 2nd on my ratings but is only 0w-5p-14r at this track.
Back Jack My Boy 10pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+35pts)Well backed and nice to sign off with a winner
250 Towcester-This is a pretty weak event and there is a doubt about the drop in trip but Domoly`s last run puts it well clear on my ratings,that I feel it has to be supported.Its definitely better after a break(41 days+ 1w-2p-5r) as opposed to(40 days or less) 0w-1p-10r.Orang Outang used to go well fresh but doesnt look the same horse these days.
Back Domoly 12.5pts at 3.85-4th(-12.5pts)(DT+22.5pts)
240 Wincanton-Ballyallia Man is progressing and still looks on a good mark.Its profile enhances this view,(0-9 runners 3w-2p-6r),(January to April 3w-1p-6r),Heavy ground(1w-1p-2r).Arthurian Legend is unexposed and looks the main danger but is 0/4 going right handed.
Back Ballyallia Man 15pts at 3.5(Accept 3.35)-3rd(-15pts)Jockey spent most of the race looking around,so I thought it was looking good but was one paced(DT+7.5pts)
Monthly Total+236.42pts
Running Total+4769.33pts
**After a great start to the month,it was a shame it dropped down a bit but so many ran well in defeat that I have to feel another strong winning run is about to happen,However if I can make over 200pts every month then I doubt anyone will be complaining.Thanks to everyone that has followed this throughout the last 2 years.It means a lot to me that people respect my opinion enough to risk their cash.Hopefully a few will be joining me with the subscription service.Good luck everyone!
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
30th January
430 Leicester-Decent little race and one in which at least half of the field,arent(as yet) proven on the forecast testing ground.Sir Frank is unexposed over fences for its powerful yard while Autumns Pass has a decent chance if it is ok on the ground but I like the chances of Sawpit Supreme,who is best on very soft ground.It doesnt win very often but is consistent and comes out top rated.
Back Sawpit Supreme 8pts at 7.5 at William Hill(accept 6.0)-2nd(-8pts)Ran really well and looked the winner 3 out but couldnt reel in the winner.
520 Kempton-On the Hoof put up a good rating last time out,in a race where it was at the front in what looked like a suicidal speed duel,whereas the other horse fell away and finished last,On the Hoof stuck on and finished 2nd.It steps up 1 furlong and tries Kempton for the 1st time but its All weather record of 3wins-1place-8runs gives me confidence and this young jockey is 1w-1-2r on the horse.Whitby Jet,Ishikawa and Canary Wharf are all respected as dangers.
Back On the Hoof 8.5pts at 5.7-3rd(-8.5pts)(DT-16.5pts)Another one that ran well but the stream of placed horses continues for a below par end to the month after such a brilliant start.
Monthly Total+228.98pts
Running Total+4761.83pts
Back Sawpit Supreme 8pts at 7.5 at William Hill(accept 6.0)-2nd(-8pts)Ran really well and looked the winner 3 out but couldnt reel in the winner.
520 Kempton-On the Hoof put up a good rating last time out,in a race where it was at the front in what looked like a suicidal speed duel,whereas the other horse fell away and finished last,On the Hoof stuck on and finished 2nd.It steps up 1 furlong and tries Kempton for the 1st time but its All weather record of 3wins-1place-8runs gives me confidence and this young jockey is 1w-1-2r on the horse.Whitby Jet,Ishikawa and Canary Wharf are all respected as dangers.
Back On the Hoof 8.5pts at 5.7-3rd(-8.5pts)(DT-16.5pts)Another one that ran well but the stream of placed horses continues for a below par end to the month after such a brilliant start.
Monthly Total+228.98pts
Running Total+4761.83pts
29th January
No selections today
With only Wolverhampton to work on,it always looked like another no bet day and so it has proved.
I do have a few pointers on the races I have rated and priced up.
230 Climaxfortackle has a good chance but a record of 2 wins from 41 races is not really what you want from a 7/4 fav.Im convinced they need to make more use of this horse as its such a strong stayer at this trip.I considered a lay of Night Trade as it has a poor record fresh but wasnt convinced about what I had running for me.Song of Parkes has a rating 5 runs back that wins this but the trainer is out of form and it looks like a late summer/Autumn horse.
5.0 Spinning Ridge is top rated and my fav but is the right price.Bitaphon seems to hold a decent chance but is 0w-0p-5r in fields of 9 or less which made me mark it down a little.I basically had this priced up as the market has.
530 A race that is extremely tight,in fact 6 of the 7 runners on their last run all achieved a rating within 3lbs of each other.Even trying to find a fav on my tissue wasnt easy but I went with Maggie Pink,who is 2/2 over this trip,2w-0p-5r in this class and The jockey is 1/2 for this yard.
Hopefully we will find something to bet on tomorrow
With only Wolverhampton to work on,it always looked like another no bet day and so it has proved.
I do have a few pointers on the races I have rated and priced up.
230 Climaxfortackle has a good chance but a record of 2 wins from 41 races is not really what you want from a 7/4 fav.Im convinced they need to make more use of this horse as its such a strong stayer at this trip.I considered a lay of Night Trade as it has a poor record fresh but wasnt convinced about what I had running for me.Song of Parkes has a rating 5 runs back that wins this but the trainer is out of form and it looks like a late summer/Autumn horse.
5.0 Spinning Ridge is top rated and my fav but is the right price.Bitaphon seems to hold a decent chance but is 0w-0p-5r in fields of 9 or less which made me mark it down a little.I basically had this priced up as the market has.
530 A race that is extremely tight,in fact 6 of the 7 runners on their last run all achieved a rating within 3lbs of each other.Even trying to find a fav on my tissue wasnt easy but I went with Maggie Pink,who is 2/2 over this trip,2w-0p-5r in this class and The jockey is 1/2 for this yard.
Hopefully we will find something to bet on tomorrow
26th January
325 Wolverhampton-Posting this very early as this is the same horse with the same opponents that was abandoned last week,when a strong selection for the blog.Piscean is clear top rated on its recent runs and the step up to 7f is firmly in its favour while a course record of 3wins from 8 starts only adds to its appeal.Anaconda is the danger as its progressing but does need to do so again.It also has Verse of Love to contest the lead,so it shouldnt get an easy time of in front and in fact the good pace should play into the hands of the held up Piscean,who can swoop late.
Back Piscean 30pts at 3.0 at Bet365-2nd(-30pts)After initially shortening up overnight this drifted to a very big 4.4.Jockey produced it perfectly to come and win it but curled up and wouldnt go past.Hit an in running low of 1.33.
345 Lingfield-A race that really revolves around Buy Art,who hasnt been seen since the summer and obviously could be anything but I prefer the top rated Lager Time,whos 2/4 around this course and on my ratings,is still progressing.
Back Lager Time 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)The winner everywhere apart from the most important part(Hit an in running low of 1.05).Really dont know what to put about today,both looked the winner and yet somehow it turned into two 2nd places.(DT-45pts)
Monthly Total+245.42pts
Running Total+4778.33pts
Back Piscean 30pts at 3.0 at Bet365-2nd(-30pts)After initially shortening up overnight this drifted to a very big 4.4.Jockey produced it perfectly to come and win it but curled up and wouldnt go past.Hit an in running low of 1.33.
345 Lingfield-A race that really revolves around Buy Art,who hasnt been seen since the summer and obviously could be anything but I prefer the top rated Lager Time,whos 2/4 around this course and on my ratings,is still progressing.
Back Lager Time 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)The winner everywhere apart from the most important part(Hit an in running low of 1.05).Really dont know what to put about today,both looked the winner and yet somehow it turned into two 2nd places.(DT-45pts)
Monthly Total+245.42pts
Running Total+4778.33pts
25th January
5.0 Wolverhampton-Ferryview Place ran well on its debut for Ian Williams and a repeat of that run would see it go close here.One Way or Another has a decent chance on my ratings but it seems to run its best races after 14 days or less and its record in class 5 races isnt good(0wins-3places-11runs).Creek Falcon looks to be the main danger.
Back Ferryview Place 9pts at 6.0(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-9pts)Nicely backed but got boxed in when the pace quickened and was never going to pick the 1st 2 up.
630 Wolverhampton-This looks between Drawninthepast,Noverre to go,Le Toreador and Hamoody and all of them look solid to run their race.I got partly matched on a lay of Wheres Reilly on Thursday night and hopefully the rest will be matched as ive got it 10lbs behind the 4 mentioned.
Lay Wheres Reilly 30pts at 6.0-Non Runner
Back Ferryview Place 9pts at 6.0(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-9pts)Nicely backed but got boxed in when the pace quickened and was never going to pick the 1st 2 up.
630 Wolverhampton-This looks between Drawninthepast,Noverre to go,Le Toreador and Hamoody and all of them look solid to run their race.I got partly matched on a lay of Wheres Reilly on Thursday night and hopefully the rest will be matched as ive got it 10lbs behind the 4 mentioned.
Lay Wheres Reilly 30pts at 6.0-Non Runner
24th January
315 Lingfield-Another difficult days racing where Tight Knit looks to be the best bet on the day.It has put up some solid ratings and they are still getting better.It should run well.
Back Tight Knit 9pts at 5.7-3rd(-9pts)Well backed but the slow pace didnt suit and although looked a danger 2 furlongs out,the winner came across it and it was one paced after.
705 Kempton-I cant see why Kakatosi is fav here,this is very competitve with Laskingofscotland,Profile Star and Lujeanie all fairly solid against it.
Lay Kakatosi 30pts at 4.5-UP(+30pts)
735 Kempton-Cannot ignore Baby Dottie now its drifted a bit,its no win machine but very little is in this race.If it runs its race then it should go very close.
Back Baby Dottie 11.5pts at 4.0-2nd(-11.5pts)Another to hit the frame but just cant get their head in front at the moment.(DT+9.5pts)
Days total minus commission+9.02pts
Monthly Total+299.42pts
Running Total+4832.33pts
Back Tight Knit 9pts at 5.7-3rd(-9pts)Well backed but the slow pace didnt suit and although looked a danger 2 furlongs out,the winner came across it and it was one paced after.
705 Kempton-I cant see why Kakatosi is fav here,this is very competitve with Laskingofscotland,Profile Star and Lujeanie all fairly solid against it.
Lay Kakatosi 30pts at 4.5-UP(+30pts)
735 Kempton-Cannot ignore Baby Dottie now its drifted a bit,its no win machine but very little is in this race.If it runs its race then it should go very close.
Back Baby Dottie 11.5pts at 4.0-2nd(-11.5pts)Another to hit the frame but just cant get their head in front at the moment.(DT+9.5pts)
Days total minus commission+9.02pts
Monthly Total+299.42pts
Running Total+4832.33pts
23rd January
240 Ayr-One for Harry is progressing well and looks to hold a solid chance here.Top Wood looks a danger and King of the Wolds steps up in trip for its handicap debut but hopefully the selection can continue its upward curve.
Back One for Harry 8pts at 6.4-UP(Wasnt Matched)
310 Ayr-Theres no doubting that Consigliere and Stormin Exit are the most likely winners of this race but Prosecco surely shouldnt be the price it is.Its put a very consistent run of figures together and is 4wins-2places-9runs at this track and 4w-2p-8r on soft ground.You can only assume that the step up in trip is responsible for the price but I still think it will run well.
Back Prosecco 4pts at 21.0(Accept 12.0)-3rd(-4pts)Ran a really good race and was in front 3 out when making a serious error(Hit 1.75 in running)
Monthly Total+290.40
Running Total+4823.31
Back One for Harry 8pts at 6.4-UP(Wasnt Matched)
310 Ayr-Theres no doubting that Consigliere and Stormin Exit are the most likely winners of this race but Prosecco surely shouldnt be the price it is.Its put a very consistent run of figures together and is 4wins-2places-9runs at this track and 4w-2p-8r on soft ground.You can only assume that the step up in trip is responsible for the price but I still think it will run well.
Back Prosecco 4pts at 21.0(Accept 12.0)-3rd(-4pts)Ran a really good race and was in front 3 out when making a serious error(Hit 1.75 in running)
Monthly Total+290.40
Running Total+4823.31
21st January
535 Wolverhampton-Very Competitive in which several have chances but from a value point of view,I just have to have a little bit on Honey of a Kitten.It only won a 3 runner event last time but the rating was decent and more interestingly,the topspeed figure was very good and at such a big price,I cant let it go unbacked.
Back Honey of a Kitten 5pts at 17.0-UP(-5pts)Ran like its price suggested it would unfortunately
Back Honey of a Kitten 5pts at 17.0-UP(-5pts)Ran like its price suggested it would unfortunately
20th January
425 Kempton-Everyone get their prayer mats out and pray that this meeting is on.Piscean ran well when a big priced selection for the blog last month.It looks to hold excellent claims here and it steps back up to 7f,which looks to be definitely in its favour while a record of 2wins-1place-4runs at this track means its very very solid.Chapter and Verse goes well here and is consistent but has got 9Ibs to find on my ratings,so probably the main danger is Anacondo,who is improving but its got to step forward again.
Back Piscean 25pts at Ladbrokes at 3.5(Accept 3.0)
Meeting Abandoned ,real shame as this was a great bet
Back Piscean 25pts at Ladbrokes at 3.5(Accept 3.0)
Meeting Abandoned ,real shame as this was a great bet
18th January
730 Wolverhampton-Kieltys Folly looks ready to strike off a mark 6Ilbs below its last winning one.Its last 2 ratings would win this and it looks hard to see it not going close.Kai looks the danger with Basle looking very underpriced even though its won its last 2 races,ive got it 8lb inferior to the selection but as a dual course winner im reluctant to lay.
Back Kieltys Folly 10pts at 7.0 at Paddy Power(Accept 5.8)
7.0 Wolverhampton-Marshall Art has a few pounds to find here and coupled with a poor draw,looks the wrong price.Bertie Blu Boy is top rated but over a mile rather than todays 7f.Its ratings over todays trip have been quite a way below its best so I think Boy the Bell(who has the best 7f ratings)could go well.This is quite competitive though with Piccolos Express and Ace Master also fancied to run well.
Back Boy the Bell 9pts at 6.0 and Lay Marshall Art 30pts at 6.0
MEETING ABANDONED
Back Kieltys Folly 10pts at 7.0 at Paddy Power(Accept 5.8)
7.0 Wolverhampton-Marshall Art has a few pounds to find here and coupled with a poor draw,looks the wrong price.Bertie Blu Boy is top rated but over a mile rather than todays 7f.Its ratings over todays trip have been quite a way below its best so I think Boy the Bell(who has the best 7f ratings)could go well.This is quite competitive though with Piccolos Express and Ace Master also fancied to run well.
Back Boy the Bell 9pts at 6.0 and Lay Marshall Art 30pts at 6.0
MEETING ABANDONED
17th January
220 Wincanton-Fine Parchment has run really well on its last 2 starts without gaining any reward,it looks a big price if it can reproduce its ratings from those runs.Definity is the obvious fly in the ointment as it returns to action after 674 days for its powerful stable but it looks short enough.
Back Fine Parchment 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Shortened up during the morning into 5.5 but got taken up front and just slowly lost its position.
Monthly Total+299.40pts
Running Total+4832.31pts
Back Fine Parchment 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Shortened up during the morning into 5.5 but got taken up front and just slowly lost its position.
Monthly Total+299.40pts
Running Total+4832.31pts
16th January
340 Lingfield-This looks to concern Dixie Gwalia and Spartic.Dixie is just top rated but isnt as good at this track so I prefer Spartic who looks much more likely to run its race.
Back Spartic 11.5pts at 4.5-2nd(-11.5pts)Not sure if it ran its race coz you couldnt see a thing in the fog
445 Kempton-Saharia and Hurricane Spirit look pretty solid here with April Fool following them home.Hierarch has a few pounds to find on my ratings and ive got its price much bigger.
Lay Hierarch 30pts at 5.5
Back Spartic 11.5pts at 4.5-2nd(-11.5pts)Not sure if it ran its race coz you couldnt see a thing in the fog
445 Kempton-Saharia and Hurricane Spirit look pretty solid here with April Fool following them home.Hierarch has a few pounds to find on my ratings and ive got its price much bigger.
Lay Hierarch 30pts at 5.5
14th January
340 Plumpton-The unexposed Tidal dance stands out here.Ive got it clear top rated as it makes its handicap debut and the slight step up in trip should be ideal.
Back Tidal Dance 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-14pts)Looked the winner when it jumped in to the lead 2 out(touched 1.17 in running) but just got outstayed
310 Plumpton-Really good little race where if No No Bingo continues its progression,it will be difficult to beat but I feel its the right price currently.Midnight Sail will run well but doesnt win very often.The value in the race is Delgany Gunner,who is very consistent, also has 3wins-1place-11runs when carrying under 10st7 and goes well for this jockey(2w-1p-4r)
Back Delgany Gunner 8pts at 7.4(Accept 6.6)-3rd(-8pts)Looked to me,a big danger when it hit the 3rd last really hard and the jockey did well to stay on but although it rallied well,its chance had gone(DT-22pts)
410 Plumpton-Little Roxy has been running really well and surely will go close again.Its won both its career races around this track and also both of them were when carrying under 10st7.I cant find that many obvious dangers with On the Feather looking the main one.
Back Little Roxy 12pts at 4.3-3rd(-12pts)Ran another solid race on a very frustrating day.The winner impossible to find.(DT-34pts)
Monthly Total+316.90pts
Running Total+4849.81pts
Back Tidal Dance 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-14pts)Looked the winner when it jumped in to the lead 2 out(touched 1.17 in running) but just got outstayed
310 Plumpton-Really good little race where if No No Bingo continues its progression,it will be difficult to beat but I feel its the right price currently.Midnight Sail will run well but doesnt win very often.The value in the race is Delgany Gunner,who is very consistent, also has 3wins-1place-11runs when carrying under 10st7 and goes well for this jockey(2w-1p-4r)
Back Delgany Gunner 8pts at 7.4(Accept 6.6)-3rd(-8pts)Looked to me,a big danger when it hit the 3rd last really hard and the jockey did well to stay on but although it rallied well,its chance had gone(DT-22pts)
410 Plumpton-Little Roxy has been running really well and surely will go close again.Its won both its career races around this track and also both of them were when carrying under 10st7.I cant find that many obvious dangers with On the Feather looking the main one.
Back Little Roxy 12pts at 4.3-3rd(-12pts)Ran another solid race on a very frustrating day.The winner impossible to find.(DT-34pts)
Monthly Total+316.90pts
Running Total+4849.81pts
13th January
220 Kelso-This looks between 3 horses.Sergeant Pink will run well but is the right price as is Gleann Na Ndochais.Emirate Isle looks very inconsistent but I think ive spotted a pattern in its profile.It only wins during the winter months(Nov-Jan),its 2wins-0places-4runs in fields of 9 or less but probably the most interesting is that its 3w-0p-5r when carrying less than 11st while its 0w-0p-12 when over that weight.Its got 10st9 today.Its topspeed figure last time is well clear of anything the others have achieved thus far.
Back Emirate Isle 9.5pts at 5.2-UP(-9.5pts)It turns out Emirate Isle is inconsistent after all.Really poor run.
Monthly Total+350.90pts
Running Total+4883.81pts
Back Emirate Isle 9.5pts at 5.2-UP(-9.5pts)It turns out Emirate Isle is inconsistent after all.Really poor run.
Monthly Total+350.90pts
Running Total+4883.81pts
12th January
310 Lingfield-A very competitve race with some in form rivals.I feel Loyalty is vulnerable over this trip but dont want to lay it as it does go well at this track.Kaafel is imprving and will run well but from a value viewpoint,Robin Hoods Bay is a decent price,its been running very consistently and if again reproducing its last 2 ratings,will go close.
Back Robin Hoods Bay 7.5pts at 6.6(Accept 5.8)-3rd(-7.5pts)Thought it should have won,went for a run up the inner,got murdered then flew home
215 Wetherby-Only 5 runners but a very good race.Slowly but surely Lease Lend has been running into form and its record at this track(3 wins),Soft ground(3wins-0places-7runs) and the time of year(Jan 3/3) means it looks a big player here.Havingatascoobydoo has lots of positives in its profiles but ive got it rated behind the selection and the progressive Dunowen Point,who looks the main danger.
Back Lease Lend 11pts at 4.5-2nd(-11pts)Painful to watch as it had the race won but it made a strange jump at the last and weakened badly.1.04 in running.
115 Warwick-I cannot have Kapga De Cerisy here,its got a fair bit to find against some strong opponents.Eastlake is just top rated and is 2/2 when encountering 2m on soft/heavy ground,George Nympton is 2/2 at the track and Fehily is unbeaten on it,Rody is a progressive chaser and The Chazer has the ratings to be in the mix.
Lay Kapga De Cerisy 30pts at 5.5-3rd(+30pts)Rody won easily and looks very progressive(DT+11.5pts)No doubt in my mind that this should have been 3 winning selections today
Days total minus commission+10.92pts
Monthly Total+360.40pts
Running Total+4893.31pts
Back Robin Hoods Bay 7.5pts at 6.6(Accept 5.8)-3rd(-7.5pts)Thought it should have won,went for a run up the inner,got murdered then flew home
215 Wetherby-Only 5 runners but a very good race.Slowly but surely Lease Lend has been running into form and its record at this track(3 wins),Soft ground(3wins-0places-7runs) and the time of year(Jan 3/3) means it looks a big player here.Havingatascoobydoo has lots of positives in its profiles but ive got it rated behind the selection and the progressive Dunowen Point,who looks the main danger.
Back Lease Lend 11pts at 4.5-2nd(-11pts)Painful to watch as it had the race won but it made a strange jump at the last and weakened badly.1.04 in running.
115 Warwick-I cannot have Kapga De Cerisy here,its got a fair bit to find against some strong opponents.Eastlake is just top rated and is 2/2 when encountering 2m on soft/heavy ground,George Nympton is 2/2 at the track and Fehily is unbeaten on it,Rody is a progressive chaser and The Chazer has the ratings to be in the mix.
Lay Kapga De Cerisy 30pts at 5.5-3rd(+30pts)Rody won easily and looks very progressive(DT+11.5pts)No doubt in my mind that this should have been 3 winning selections today
Days total minus commission+10.92pts
Monthly Total+360.40pts
Running Total+4893.31pts
11th January
1.0 Lingfield-Really competitive race with several in form runners not least Monumental Man,Liberty lady and Pharaoh Jake.Ive got Charming 7Ibs behind the principals and will need to improve to troubling these.
Lay Charming 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)This horse drifted as I thought then the money came back for it which was surprising.Monumental Man won this easily with Charming finishing where it should have.
320 Huntingdon-Sawago is no win machine but after a spell in the doldrums,it sprang back to life with a good performance last time,it will have no problems with the soft ground and if it can reproduce its latest rating then it will go very close.I would have to be concerned about Memorabilla,who is impossible to assess as it pulled up on its only start but comes from a good stable and is fav on the early shows.
Back Sawago 9pts at 6.6(Accept5.7)-Non Runner
140 Sedgefield-This looks fairly weak and Hobbs Dream should run well,its top rated on its last run and is 4/5 in January.Gwladys Street is the danger but does have to prove itself over the longer trip.
Back Hobbs Dream 10pts at 5.0-5th(-10pts)Was up there throughout but looks like it needs to drop a few pounds in the handicap.(DT+20pts)
Days total minus commission+19pts
Monthly Total+349.48pts
Running Total+4882.39pts
Lay Charming 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)This horse drifted as I thought then the money came back for it which was surprising.Monumental Man won this easily with Charming finishing where it should have.
320 Huntingdon-Sawago is no win machine but after a spell in the doldrums,it sprang back to life with a good performance last time,it will have no problems with the soft ground and if it can reproduce its latest rating then it will go very close.I would have to be concerned about Memorabilla,who is impossible to assess as it pulled up on its only start but comes from a good stable and is fav on the early shows.
Back Sawago 9pts at 6.6(Accept5.7)-Non Runner
140 Sedgefield-This looks fairly weak and Hobbs Dream should run well,its top rated on its last run and is 4/5 in January.Gwladys Street is the danger but does have to prove itself over the longer trip.
Back Hobbs Dream 10pts at 5.0-5th(-10pts)Was up there throughout but looks like it needs to drop a few pounds in the handicap.(DT+20pts)
Days total minus commission+19pts
Monthly Total+349.48pts
Running Total+4882.39pts
10th January
225 Lingfield-Storm Runner is running some very solid races and will no doubt go well again here but I think thet Avertis has at least,as good a chance but at a much bigger price.Its 1/2 at this track and from a pure value viewpoint,has to be the selection.
Back Avertis 9.5pts at 5.5-Won(+42.75)Given a peach of a ride by Amy Scott,always in the right place.For the grade,I believe this is very strong form.
515 Kempton-West Leake interests me here.This is a 7yo that has ran in 49 races but has an interesting profile.It does its winning between January and May,its record in the 1st 2 months of the year is 3wins-1place-6runs.Also the fact that it ran very well last time after a break of over 80 days(0/7 after such a break) means it should be in tip top form for this race at a track that its won 4 times at,a record of 3w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or less only adds to its appeal.
Back West Leake 9.5pts at 5.3-2nd(-9.5pts)Ran a good race,no complaints)DT+33.25)
Days total minus commission+31.58pts
Monthly Total+330.48pts
Running total+4863.39pts
Back Avertis 9.5pts at 5.5-Won(+42.75)Given a peach of a ride by Amy Scott,always in the right place.For the grade,I believe this is very strong form.
515 Kempton-West Leake interests me here.This is a 7yo that has ran in 49 races but has an interesting profile.It does its winning between January and May,its record in the 1st 2 months of the year is 3wins-1place-6runs.Also the fact that it ran very well last time after a break of over 80 days(0/7 after such a break) means it should be in tip top form for this race at a track that its won 4 times at,a record of 3w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or less only adds to its appeal.
Back West Leake 9.5pts at 5.3-2nd(-9.5pts)Ran a good race,no complaints)DT+33.25)
Days total minus commission+31.58pts
Monthly Total+330.48pts
Running total+4863.39pts
9th January
205 Lingfield-This looks mainly to concern Haaf a Sixpence and Fast Finian ,who are both progressive and its difficult to split them while on my ratings,Crew Cut should be next best.Bayleyf is pretty inconsistent and has a few pounds to find to trouble the 3 mentioned.Its also 0wins-1place-5runs in fields of 0-9 runners
Lay Bayleyf 30pts at 5.4-UP(+30pts)Big drifter and ran as I expected.
Days total minus commission+28.50pts
Monthly Total+298.90pts
Running Total+4831.81pts
Lay Bayleyf 30pts at 5.4-UP(+30pts)Big drifter and ran as I expected.
Days total minus commission+28.50pts
Monthly Total+298.90pts
Running Total+4831.81pts
7th January
310 Taunton-Extremely So ran well last time as it reverted back to its ideal trip and finished behind the prolific winner Home Run.Anything close to that would see it go very close.Scoter Fontaine switches to hurdles after failing as a chaser but has no great record fresh.Tornado in Milan may be the main danger as it makes its handicap debut.
Back Extremely So 12pts at 4.5(Accept 4.3)at Paddy Power or Boyles Sports-Won(1 NR +39.90pts)Ran on strongly despite not hurdling great
Monthly Total+271.40pts
Running Total+4803.31pts
Back Extremely So 12pts at 4.5(Accept 4.3)at Paddy Power or Boyles Sports-Won(1 NR +39.90pts)Ran on strongly despite not hurdling great
Monthly Total+271.40pts
Running Total+4803.31pts
6th January
350 Wolverhampton-This is a decent little race featuring some improving horses,namely Archie Stevens,Fortinbrass,Boxing Shadows and Rene Mathis.Equitania won its last race but ive got it nearly a stone behind the principals.Its got to improve to trouble these.
Lay Equitania 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)Got partially matched last night just before posting and drifted all day out to the price it shouldve been in the first place.Managed to get the rest matched in the 1st 50 yards as it took the lead.
225 Plumpton-This looks mainly to concern Aureate and Noble Chic.I prefer the latter as its the bigger price and as it achieved its best ever rating on its debut for this stable last time,it may even improve on that.Rulbin Realta hasnt done much so far but this is its handicap debut,so it may improve.
Back Noble Chic 8pts at 7.6(Accept 6.6)-UP(-8pts)(DT+22pts)
Days total minus commission+20.90pts
Monthly Total+231.50pts
Running Total+4763.41pts
Lay Equitania 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)Got partially matched last night just before posting and drifted all day out to the price it shouldve been in the first place.Managed to get the rest matched in the 1st 50 yards as it took the lead.
225 Plumpton-This looks mainly to concern Aureate and Noble Chic.I prefer the latter as its the bigger price and as it achieved its best ever rating on its debut for this stable last time,it may even improve on that.Rulbin Realta hasnt done much so far but this is its handicap debut,so it may improve.
Back Noble Chic 8pts at 7.6(Accept 6.6)-UP(-8pts)(DT+22pts)
Days total minus commission+20.90pts
Monthly Total+231.50pts
Running Total+4763.41pts
5th January
210 Chepstow-Competitve race in which there are a few in here that if they came back to their best, could prove a problem but Cedre Bleu has a nice progressive profile and is 3wins-1place-5runs in fields of 9 or less,and should go close.Carrickboy only wins between January and March but it does take a leap of faith to support it.
Back Cedre Bleu 13pts at 4.3-Fell(-13pts)Ran well and traded at a low of 1.11 when falling at the last
240 Wincanton-Ive got Current Event as a vulnerable favourite here but am reluctant to lay as Paul Nicholls has a habit of getting them to keep improving but its going to need to.Consigliere comes alive in January and could run well while Big Fella Thanks should also be about but I like the very consistent Plein Pouvoir who posted the top rating last time,is 2w-3p-7r on heavy and 1w-2p-4r at this track.
Back Plein Pouvoir 8pts at 7.6(Accept 6.6)-UP(-8pts)Never travelling and sluggish jumping.(DT-21pts)
140 Newcastle-Possibly a little late in the day for Royal Mackintosh to start winning left handed(Its 12yo),Ive got this as bottom rated on my ratings.Boris the Blade`s all 5 career wins have been on heavy,Quacity is running some solid races while Armedanddangerous and Gorey Lane have the potental the lay lacks.
Lay Royal Mackintosh 30pts at 5.3-2nd(+30pts)(DT+9pts)
235 Lingfield-Piscean has been a drifter,which isnt a great sign but I cannot let this go unbacked at such a huge price.Its very competitive but its 2/8 at this track and it will surely outrun its current price.
Back Piscean 5pts at 13.0(Accept 10.0)-3rd(-5pts)(DT+4pts)Tiny profit on the day,thanks to the lay.Not quite the fireworks of recently!
Days total minus commission+3.80pts
Monthly Total+210.60pts
Running Total+4742.51pts
Back Cedre Bleu 13pts at 4.3-Fell(-13pts)Ran well and traded at a low of 1.11 when falling at the last
240 Wincanton-Ive got Current Event as a vulnerable favourite here but am reluctant to lay as Paul Nicholls has a habit of getting them to keep improving but its going to need to.Consigliere comes alive in January and could run well while Big Fella Thanks should also be about but I like the very consistent Plein Pouvoir who posted the top rating last time,is 2w-3p-7r on heavy and 1w-2p-4r at this track.
Back Plein Pouvoir 8pts at 7.6(Accept 6.6)-UP(-8pts)Never travelling and sluggish jumping.(DT-21pts)
140 Newcastle-Possibly a little late in the day for Royal Mackintosh to start winning left handed(Its 12yo),Ive got this as bottom rated on my ratings.Boris the Blade`s all 5 career wins have been on heavy,Quacity is running some solid races while Armedanddangerous and Gorey Lane have the potental the lay lacks.
Lay Royal Mackintosh 30pts at 5.3-2nd(+30pts)(DT+9pts)
235 Lingfield-Piscean has been a drifter,which isnt a great sign but I cannot let this go unbacked at such a huge price.Its very competitive but its 2/8 at this track and it will surely outrun its current price.
Back Piscean 5pts at 13.0(Accept 10.0)-3rd(-5pts)(DT+4pts)Tiny profit on the day,thanks to the lay.Not quite the fireworks of recently!
Days total minus commission+3.80pts
Monthly Total+210.60pts
Running Total+4742.51pts
4th January
250 Lingfield-Noble Legend is certain to run well and is a worthy fav but im surprised to see Ringa Bay at the price it is(7am ).It ran well last time over ideal conditions and hasnt got many miles on the clock as a chaser.Pretty sure it will be a much shorter price by the off.
Back Ringa Bay 10pts at 9.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.0)-Won(+80pts)The good run continues.I thought the jockey gave it a great ride,keeping the horse in there when it got a little outpaced and then brought it through with a strong run at the last.
Monthly Total+206.80pts
Running Total+4738.71pts
Back Ringa Bay 10pts at 9.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.0)-Won(+80pts)The good run continues.I thought the jockey gave it a great ride,keeping the horse in there when it got a little outpaced and then brought it through with a strong run at the last.
Monthly Total+206.80pts
Running Total+4738.71pts
2nd January
320 Ayr-Shadow Boxer ran a great race last time and is clear top rated on that.It won its only race so far in January and everything looks in place for a massive run.Overlady appears to be the biggest danger with McCoy on board and a 2/4 record fresh.Samson Collonges is current fav but has another 11Ilbs to find on my ratings.
Back Shadow Boxer 12pts at 7.0 at Bet365 -Won(+72pts)Really well backed into 3.75 and stayed on strongly.
240 Wolverhampton-Desert Vision has just put 3 good ratings together over CD.Last time it ran in a class 2 and today,finds itself in a class 6.In its last 5 runs at this course,in this class,its form figures read 1st,1st,3rd,1st,1st.Its hard to envisage it not going very close here.
Back Desert Vision 25pts at 3.0-2nd(-25pts)Not sure what was more surprising,the fact that I got matched when it was odds on or that it got beat!
410 Wolverhampton-A race featuring a bunch of mainly exposed horses except for the improving Miss Bunter.Clear top rated and still on the up,granted luck in running,it should take the beating.
Back Miss Bunter 20pts at 3.0-Won(Wasnt Matched)Rather ironic not to get matched after the above.(DT+47pts)
Monthly Total+126.80pts
Running Total+4758.71pts
Back Shadow Boxer 12pts at 7.0 at Bet365 -Won(+72pts)Really well backed into 3.75 and stayed on strongly.
240 Wolverhampton-Desert Vision has just put 3 good ratings together over CD.Last time it ran in a class 2 and today,finds itself in a class 6.In its last 5 runs at this course,in this class,its form figures read 1st,1st,3rd,1st,1st.Its hard to envisage it not going very close here.
Back Desert Vision 25pts at 3.0-2nd(-25pts)Not sure what was more surprising,the fact that I got matched when it was odds on or that it got beat!
410 Wolverhampton-A race featuring a bunch of mainly exposed horses except for the improving Miss Bunter.Clear top rated and still on the up,granted luck in running,it should take the beating.
Back Miss Bunter 20pts at 3.0-Won(Wasnt Matched)Rather ironic not to get matched after the above.(DT+47pts)
Monthly Total+126.80pts
Running Total+4758.71pts
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