31st August

1.0 Huntingdon-This wont take much winning and as long as the fences dont get in the way then I think Jackthejourneyman is overpriced here.
This horse hasnt managed to get its head in front yet but has only had just the six starts over fences and this is a drop in class from its last 2 races.
It wont mind a little rain(Its best rating came on good to soft) and Ive got it as slight favourite on my prices.
Capisci won this last year and drops in class but it will need to step up a lot on what its been showing.
Table Bluff is respected but might not want too much rain while Molko Jack has the ratings to run well but has a poor record after a break.
Back Jackthejourneyman 7pts at 6.5 at bet365(Accept 5.5)-Won(+31pts *Rule 4 ,2 Non runners)Jumped pretty well throughout and saw them all off.

235 Ripon-The Wee Barra can be a bit in and out but its possible it could get an easy lead and thats never a bad thing around here.
The drop to this trip worked the oracle last time and if it can back that up then its got a serious chance here.
Bahamian Desert is consistent and looks certain to run well but is a tight enough price based on my figures.
Sandgate looks too short to me as it steps up in class but Skiddaw Valleys may run better than its last 2 starts,as its best rating was over this trip.
Back The Wee Barra 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+40pts)Given a fine ride by a jockey,I dont know much about but really impressed me here.(DT+71pts)

520 Epsom-Ive got Paladin bigger than it currently is with the bookies.
This is a step up in class for it and the ground is a big unknown.
That in itself will put emphasis on stamina and should see this horse vulnerable late on.
I respect the jockey booking but I cant have it as favourite.
Pyrocumulus has won 3 of its last 4 starts and is a progressive 3yo while Cosmic Ray has posted some consistent ratings that should see it go close.
Shifting Star will handle the ground and although up in class,isnt out of it while Bakht A Rawan has been below par on its last two starts but a return to the form of its course and distance win ,3 starts back,would see it very competitve.
Lay Paladin 20pts at 5.5(lay up to 6.0)-UP(+19pts after commission)Beaten miles!(DT+90pts)
Monthly Total+400.02pts
Running Total+8397.22pts

30th August

415 Goodwood-Ivawood heads the market and at its very best,you can see why but its been struggling to get its in front and is possibly regressing.
The stable do have a fine record in this race and the horse is 1 from 1 here however,so you have to respect but the ground isnt ideal.
It is for Here Comes When,who is 3 from 3 on soft ground.Conditions it hasnt had all season.
It was getting pretty soft at the course on Saturday and you will need to get home certainly.
This horse has spent all season running in Group one and two`s ,so will appreciate the drop to a group 3 and on its best soft ground rating from last season,it wins this.
Back Here Comes When 12pts at 4.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Still not sure how this didnt win(touched 1.04 in running) as it moved to the front a 100 yards out but the winner battled back.
Monthly Total+310.02pts
Running Total+8307.22pts

29th August

325 Newmarket-Lucky Kristale is undoubtably the one to beat here as its just top rated and is dropped in class.
However,everything for me,is value related and this one is around the right price.
Portamento would hold chances on its run 2 starts back but ran 7Ibs below that last time while Wet Sail needs to improve to take this.
The overpriced one is Dinkum Diamond,who doesnt win that often but is never far away.
Its won around here and ran very well in a hot handicap last time and will handle the conditions.
Back Dinkum Diamond 6pts at 9.0-5th(-6pts)

28th August

755 Newcastle-Pryers Princess won well 2 starts back and posted the best rating in this race.That was over todays trip of 6 furlongs and in todays grade(class 5)
Last time, it not only moved up in class but also in distance and couldnt get involved.
Today,its back in trip and grade again and looks overpriced if it can run close to its best.
Punk Rocker looks rock solid,with hardly any negatives,it did finish behind the selection two starts back however.
Its the right price.
Back Pryers Princess 5pts at 10.0 at various bookies-3rd(-5pts)Ran well and once again finished in front of the fav.

515 Newmarket-Its never raced on ground on the easy side of good but Mister Brightside`s sire stats suggest it could improve for it.
It moves back upto 7 furlongs,a distance it posted its best rating so far and has finished 1st and 3rd in its 2 starts at this track.
A slight worry is it can pull hard early on in its races but hopefully Dettori can get it settled.
The jockey has a 27% strike rate for the Noseda yard.
Beardwood has been put in as favourite,presumably based on the expected improvement for todays step up in trip.
Having said that,on my figures it does need to improve & I cant have it as favourite.
Field Game looked a bigger danger to me.
Back Mister Brightside 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies.-Won(+36pts)Nicely backed into 2/1 fav and hosed up!(DT+31pts)
Monthly Total+328.02pts
Running Total+8325.22pts

27th August

6.0 Sedgefield-Sleep in First ran a decent race last time out on its return over fences.
This horse has dropped 15Ibs in its last 4 runs over the big obstacles and is now 10Ibs lower than its last winning mark.
Its clearly dangerously handicapped now and its last time out rating suggests this race could be within its compass.
Its got 2 course wins to its name here,is 5w-0p-19r in this grade and the trainer is 6 from 21 with his handicap chasers at this track.
The Bay Bandit has only had 3 starts over fences and may improve but its short enough on what its done so far while Dynamo has only had 2 goes but seems a bit inconsistent and although Dan Skelton has a fine record here(3/7),just 3 of his last 21 runners have hit the frame(No winners) & the yard look to be going through a quiet patch.
Sendiym and Alba King are both course specialists,who look out of nick at present but could easily bounce back at their favourite track.
Back Sleep In First 12pts at 4.3-3rd(-12pts)Beaten under a length after jumping to its right far too much.

7.0 Sedgefield-Really not many that can be realistically fancied here.
Ever So Much ground out a win last week,is 2 from 2 at this track and 5w-0p-6r during August and September,its very much respected but is a tight enough price based on the rating it posted last time.
Grams and Ounces returned to form last time ,over shorter and a lesser grade.
That rating gives it a decent shout here but whether it can repeat it,is another matter plus its a poor 0w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less like this.
The one I like Waterclock.This horse has only had 4 starts over hurdles(all on softish ground) and now gets the chance to race on fast ground over timber for the first time.(Both flat wins on fast ground)
Added to that,its also got the visor on(not worn before over hurdles) that has seen it run well on the flat of late.
Its bare ratings from last season give it a solid chance but im hoping with the different set of circumstances,it can improve on that.
Back Waterclock 10pts at 5.0 at bet365(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-10pts)Kicked clear into a clear lead with 2 to jump(Touched 1.13 in running) but got ran down close home.Frustrating day!(DT-22pts)

26th August

330 Musselburgh-Since stepping up to 2 miles,Silver Shuffle has finished 1st and 2nd and has looked an improved performer.
It will be fine if the rain arrives and has been pretty consistent since joining this yard.
La Bacouetteuse goes very well here(5 course wins),is a force in this grade(Class 6 5w-3p-16r) and beat the selection last time but is badly off at the weights here,however for me,its still the main danger.
Wor Lass has won its last 4 but ive got it a better horse at slightly shorter and this is a better race than the ones its been winning.
Hero`s Story isnt out of it on ratings but is 0 from 20 now.
Back Silver Shuffle 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Poor effort from the jockey.Possibly would have won if the horse had been got going earlier
Monthly Total+319.02pts
Running Total+8316.22pts

25th August

415 Brighton-Nothing in this race is a certainty to go on the ground,which could be very soft by post time.
Theres already been plenty of money for Ainslie,for a trainer that has a 30% strike rate here but it looks plenty short enough now for a horse that is 0w-1p-5r in this grade.
Rock Lobster stands out on the rating it achieved last time on the all weather at Chelmsford but its turf ratings arent close to that and its soft ground figures are 16Ibs lower.
Symphony Of Kings has been consistent but struggles to get its head in front and there is no evidence from it or its sire that soft ground will suit.
At a price,I will take a punt of Ayr of Elegance,who`s only had just the 4 runs and has produced progressive ratings.
It needs to improve again but the sire has a 15% strike rate on heavy/soft ground(The best sire stats in the race) and the trainer is 5 from 21 with his runners here.
Back Ayr Of Elegance 6pts at 10.0 at Betvictor/Paddys(Accept 8.0)-UP(-6pts)Barely raceable and in a fog.Horse didnt handle it.

540 Newbury-Cottesloe has been consistent since joining John Berry and posted a career best last time out over this trip on Lingfield`s all weather surface.
That rating gives it a decent shout here but up in grade,on soft ground and reappearing quickly 10 days later(Its record when reappearing after 14 days or less 0w-1p-7r)....7/4 with the bookies looks incredibly short.
Man Look has to prove itself on the ground as well but its latest run,gives it a fair chance here while Kallisha,although a bit inconsistent recently,drops into a grade,where its 1 from 1 and has George Baker taking over for the first time.The sire has an impressive 18% strike rate on soft ground and it could easily outrun its odds.
Excellent Puck is another with good sire,ground stats(18%) and if back to its best,can go close.
Lay Cottesloe to win 15pts at 3.0(lay upto 3.5) and 10pts to place.-2nd(Wasnt Matched)7/4 out to 9/2,so we was on the right lines but the evening betfair markets are so weak now,we couldnt get matched before the drift came.

720 Fontwell-Unless the ground turns completely bottomless,I feel Caspian Piper has a fine chance here.
This horse has been progressive since joining its current yard,posting several consistent ratings.
It drops back in class into a grade where it won its last two and is 2w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.
Its completely proven over this trip but I think it could improve it as it wasnt stopping when winning over 2m6f recently.
Shady Glen is a danger as its very unexposed over fences after just the one run while The Wee Midget has been running well but is more likely to place than win.
Back Caspian Piper 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies-Non Runner(DT-6pts)

23rd August

420 Brighton-Mistamel has been put in as favourite here and although I can see it has improved since moving up to this trip,I cant have it front of Idle Talker in the market.
Idle Talker has already finished in front of the fav 2 starts back and then improved again last time,when taking a race quite easily.
Both of its last 2 runs have seen plenty of winners come out since and win in races and the trainer is an impressive 3 from 9 at this track.
It should be favourite.
Mistamel won easily last time but that was only a 3 runner event while Roy Rocket goes well here but was below par last time & the ground is an unknown.
Back Idle Talker 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Made harder work of it than it should have been as the jockey made an error but it came all okay in the end.
Monthly Total+337.02pts
Running Total+8334.22pts

22nd August

535 Perth-This is quite competitive on a very difficult days racing but Gleann Na Ndochais represents a little bit of value.
After 6 runs in class 4 races,it drops back in grade,into a class where it won its last race.
It has 2 course wins to its name & it really should be shorter in the betting than it currently is.
That is is no small part that there isnt a convincing opponent against it.
Dystonia`s Revenge just tops my ratings but its terribly inconsistent & whether it backs up its latest victory,is anyones guess.
Romany Ryme pulled up last time but would have chances on its run 2starts back but it is now 7Ibs higher than its last winning mark.
Owen Glendower has rather lost its way after posting some solid efforts,a month or two back.
Count Salazar looks the most reliable,at the front of the market,to run its race but its priced accordingly.
Back Gleann Na Ndochais 6pts at 10.0 at corals/Betvictor(Accept 8.0)-4th(-6pts)Plenty of money for it and showed up well for a long way.Only beaten around 5 lengths.

21st August

430 Bangor-I do have a niggle about the 3 mile trip and the fact that its above its last winning mark but Hinton Indiana is another horse that has improved under trainer Dan Skelton and the fact is,the rating it posted last time out(Over 3m2f),gives it a far better chance than the current odds suggest.
The trainer is 4 from 20 with his runners here and this horse is 2w-0p-3r in August and September.
Strumble Head drops in class and should run well but it has never won off a mark this high.
Highway Code is unexposed at the trip & down in class,it looks a little overpriced.
Pena Dorada has won its last 2 but they were both at Cartmel and im not sure that track form translates elsewhere.
Back Hinton Indiana 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies.-4th(-7pts)Strong in the market and looked the winner down the back but just couldnt go with them.

505 Bangor-If you can take Daizy`s last time out win at face value then it has a fine chance here but that was in a seller that only two finished in.
The horse had shown next to nothing before that and im dubious about the form.
It provides value elsewhere and the dropped in class,Ever So Much could go well.
This horse has been running okay in a higher grade and now,in this weaker race,it could easily come back to form.
Its 1 from 1 in this class,3w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less like this,,4w-0p-6r going left handed and 4w-0p-5r when racing during August/September.
Back Ever So Much 8pts at 6.0 at Betfair sportsbook/5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Came off the bridle down the back(Touched 50/1 in running) but the jockey gave it a tremendous ride to get up close home.Fantastic!(DT+33pts)
Monthly Total+307.02pts
Running Total+8304.22pts

20th August

730 Lingfield-Rum Swizzle looks a horse that lacks tactical pace and it often finishes its races well but thats normally because it cant take up the position it wants early enough.Theres nothing in its ratings that suggest it should be near the front of the market here.
Its 0 from 9 in its career and the sire is 1 from 19 here.Its hit the frame on the last 3 starts but all those have been on fast turf.
Layline has hit a bit of form of late and is a 3 time course winner here,its latest run behind an unexposed stayer gives it a solid chance.
El Campeon drops in class and has won here,it should run well while Mistamel comes here after a good win but has to prove itself on the All Weather.
At a big price,I dont think Shirataki is completely out of it,it goes well here.
Lay Rum Swizzle 20pts at 4.8(Lay upto 5.5)-(Wasnt Matched)Massive drifter all day

330 Stratford-After a spell in the doldrums,Domtaline came back to form last time,its very well handicapped now and is 1w-1p-3r around this track.
This horse likes a little break between races(41 days+ 5w-2p-16r) and anything close to that last run,would see this go very close.
Town Mouse ran well last time over shorter but is unproven over this far and is 0w-1p-11r in this grade.It looks very short to me.
Stephen Hero has only had 3 starts over fences & hails from a yard I really respect but it needs to find some surge of improvement from somewhere.
No Likey drops in class & wouldnt be far away on its run 2 starts back but it is 0w-0p-3r around this course.
Alwaystheoptimist is the other that has a squeak.
Back Domtaline 12pts at 4.5 at Corals/Bet365(Accept 4.0)-4th(-12pts)Well backed but looked a little outpaced throughout.

630 Lingfield-I like Monsieur Jamie here.
This horse produced its best run so far this year when finishing second,in a better race than this just 5 days ago.
The quick return isnt a concern(Returning to the track within 7 days or less 1w-1p-2r) and in its 3 starts at this track its finished 1st-2nd-2nd.
Its 5Ibs lower than its last winning mark and the drop in class can only help.
Any rain will only help its chance.
Captain Ryan is a Bath Specialist,with 4 course wins there,its record elsewhere isnt so good(0w-2p-14r),its far too short in the market.
Blue Amazon has only 6 starts and could be capable of better while Picansort finally got its head in front on turf last time but is now up in class and at a track where its 0w-0p-3r.
Back Monsieur Jamie 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys/Ladbrokes(Accept 4.5)-Won(+25pts *Non runners)Hosed up,shame about the rule 4,as it wouldve won anyway.(DT+13pts)
Monthly Total+274.02pts
Running Total+8271.22pts

19th August--

255 carlisle-Signoret looked to find the trip too far last time and back down in trip & grade,it looks to hold a solid chance here.
2 starts back in this class and at this distance,it posted the best rating in the race plus a strong topspeed figure.
Trainer Richard Fahey continues in good form and has a 23% strike rate with his 3yo`s here.
Jillanar finally got off the mark at the 11th time of asking last time,when taking a 7 furlong maiden at this track.
The drop in trip shouldnt be a problem but it does have a 6Ib penalty to carry.
On my figures,it needs to improve again.
Lydiate Lady looks to be the other in with a chance after a win last time although Debt Free Dame does have bits of form to give it a chance.
Back Signoret 12pts at 4.5-UP(-12pts)Loomed up 3f out but very one paced.

16th August

230 Southwell-Jack The Gent burst back to form last time and theres no doubt its still well treated on previous efforts.
However,it has been a pretty unreliable sort the last 2 years and whether it can repeat it,off a 9Ibs higher mark,is another matter.
Added to that,the win last time was when it was dropped back to 2 miles and back over another 4 furlongs,it could be very vulnerable late on.
My feeling is,this horse will either hose up or completely bomb out,so its a ideal candidate to place lay.
Sureness is lightly raced over fences and although its been a little inconsistent,it achieved a decent rating in a better race than this last time & holds chances on that.
Ladfromhighworth is consistent and ran well last time,despite losing a shoe.It stays well and should come home strong.
River Purple has been in good form but is 10Ib higher than its last winning mark while this is a drop in grade for Master Of The Hall.
Its another horse that stays well & if its close up to the lay 4 out,you would have to fancy it to come by.
Lay Jack The Gent 15pts to win at 4.3(Lay upto 4.5) 10pts to place-UP(+23.75pts)
Monthly Total+273.02pts
Running Total+8270.22pts

15th August

715 Market Rasen-This is a tight race,with very little seperating the principals on my ratings.
The value is Don Padeja,who produced a good rating and a fine topspeed figure last time.
Richard Johnson gets off him to ride the favourite Manhattan Swing but Noel Fehilly is a good substitute.
Hopefully this horse wont get stuck in a battle for the lead with Australia Day and it represents a touch of value at the prices.
Ruler Of All is solid and runs many good races but struggles to win(3/32) and off top weight ,it must be vulnerable.
Manhattan Swing drops in class and has a fine chance on that last run but its a tight enough price,as on the rating it posted last time,its got little in hand here.
Back Don Padeja 7pts at 7.5-UP(-7pts)Never picked up when the pace quickened.
Monthly Total+247.37pts
Running Total+8246.47pts

14th August

440 Newcastle-Jebediah Shine won yesterday and has a decent chance on the figures of posting back to back wins.
However,its got the double penalty here meaning its got a big weight to carry and its record when reappearing quickly isnt great.
It may be possible that its a little short given the negatives.
Ive got King Crimson a much shorter price than it is.
This horse has become very well handicapped(10Ibs below last winning mark) & finally came back to form last time when running an improver close.
That run gives it a fine chance and the topspeed figure suggests its capable of more.
Its finished 2nd in 2 out of 3 class 5 races(Todays grade) and is 1w-1p-3r in August.
Its slight favourite in my tissue.
Back King Crimson 13pts at 3.75 at Ladbrokes/bet365(Accept 3.5)-Won(+24.37pts *1 non runner)-Jumped out and won easily.
Monthly Total+254.37pts
Running Total+8253.47pts

13th August

335 Beverley-Although it drops in grade,Penny Royale looks to be on a tough enough mark at present.
Its still 5Ibs above its last winning mark & has got two very ordinary performances to its name at this track(Beaten a total of 25 lengths)
It has raced up the front in the past but not lately,this is a course where you really need to be on the pace.
Jebediah Shine looks a big runner here and it likes to front run,with conditions ideal,it should go close.
The Wispe ran well last time & is a prominent racer while Tweety Pie drops back in trip & has a series of good performances to its name at this track.
Lay Penny Royale 15pts to win 10 pts to place-Unplaced(+23.75pts)

255 Salisbury-For the first time in its career,Filosofo drops into a class 6 here and coming on the back of a fine second place behind a bang in form opponent.
Ive got a much shorter price to gain a deserved first career win.
Zeteah appears under a penalty and looks the danger although Plauseabella should run better,dropped in class & back on fast ground.
Back Filosofo 9pts at 5.5-Won(+32pts *Non runners)A very nice day(DT+55.75pts)
Monthly Total+230pts
Running Total+8229.10pts

12th August

720 Bath-Merritt Island will probably win this but it does have to prove its stamina & its a very short price.
If I Were A Boy drops in class and has been running well but at a big price,maybe Kastini can outrun its odds.
This horse actually drops 2 grades into a class 5 after 4 runs in class 3`s.
It doesnt have a great strike rate(2 from 25) but its record over this trip,in this grade read 2nd-1st-2nd-2nd-2nd.
On its rating it posted ,the last time it ran in a class 5,it would win this.
It has to be supported at the odds.
Back Kastini 5pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 9.0)-Non Runner

440 Beverley-Primogeniture has been in consistent form but has to carry a monster weight here & on my figures,needs to improve to take this.
It carries a penalty here & actually has a tough task at the weights based on its running behind King Of The Celts here in June.
That day King Of The Celts won by a neck & is now 6Ibs better off with Primogeniture.
I cant have it as favourite.
There are several course specialists on show,King Of The Celts(4 wins),Tin Pan Alley(2 from 4) and PeterHouse(1 from 1)
The latter looks a big runner here,getting in nicely at the foot of the weights & still being unexposed at the trip(2 from 4)
Big Storm Coming and Modernism both have the ratings to figure.
Lay Primogeniture 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.0)-UP(+19pts)
Monthly Total+174.25pts
Running Total+8178.35pts

11th August

745 Nottingham-Hardy Black is the one to beat here after a good win last time and would have a good chance on that rating but it is up in class and its the right price.
Tyfos drops in class and is back on its last winning mark while Sleepy Blue Ocean is a capable course winner.
Im interested in Only Ten Per Cent,who often travels well before finding little.
This fast track should suit & on its best rating from last season,its a clear winner.
Oisin Murphy takes over for the first time,which is interesting as the Dalton yard has a runner in this and he often rides their horses.
Back Only Ten Per Cent 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)

525 Carlisle-Mister Rockandroll appears just 5 days after winning at Brighton.It was having trouble getting its head in front prior to that & is now off a career high mark.
Its record turned out quickly is ordinary(14 days or less 0w-1p-6r) & it could be a vulnerable favourite.
Stanarley Pic has chances but looks a better horse at Hamilton while Baileys Concerto,is better known as a chaser but could be a factor here,up in trip on its handicap bow.
Card High ran well last time over course and distance and a repeat of that run would see it go close.Its chance is certainly better than the current price.
Back Card High 12pts at 4.0 at Totesport/Betfred/Betfair Sportsbook-UP(-12pts)Given every chance but very one paced.

7.0 Ffos Las-Last years winner Unison,has been largely overlooked in the market but im not sure why.
It posted its best rating this year last time out,its now 3Ibs below its last winning mark and has form figures of 7th-1st-1st-2nd at this track.
2w-1p-5r in August ,3w-1p-9r in this grade & the trainer is 7 from 17 with his older handicappers here.
Im no fan of the jockey but its a massive price.
Man of Harlech has the ratings to win this but often seems happier to place while Taqneyya has its stamina to prove.
Peak Storm has been in fine form at its beloved Chepstow(7 Course wins) but is 0w-5p-24r elsewhere.
Muraabit makes its stable debut for a decent yard but it needs to improve & is maybe better at further.
Back Unison 6pts at 10.0 at various bookies-4th(-6pts)Money for it into 5/1 but never really travelled.(DT-25pts)A Poor day!
Monthly Total+155.25pts
Running Total+8159.35pts

10th August

8.0 Thirsk-Mrs Biggs is a decent fav here after a good run last time but its the right price.
The one that isnt is Alans Pride.
This horse has been pretty in and out but produced a better run last time,in a race that has worked out well.
Its now 4Ibs lower than its last winning mark and interestingly,drops back to 7 furlongs,a trip that its achieved its best ratings over,from the summer of last year.
If it can run close to last seasons best over the distance then its a big runner here and is value at the prices.
What Could She Be represents the same stable and is still lightly raced,id be interested the way these stablemates go in the market.
Back Alans Pride 7pts at 7.0 at Various bookies(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)Missed the kick from the stalls and used a lot of petrol up to get in contention but the money was there.

9th August

445 Windsor-Choral Festival won this race last year but a repeat looks tough against two improving 3yo`s.
From a price persepective,we have to be with SeeBeeDee,whos been in good form and actually takes a small drop in class for this.
Theres very little between it and Who`sthedaddy but the differential in prices is far too big for me.
The latter has won two lesser events in good style and should run well but this is tougher.
Back SeeBeeDee 13pts at 3.75 at various bookies-Won(+35.75pts)Jumped out and made all.
Monthly Total+187.25pts
Running Total+8191.35pts

8th August

230 Newmarket-Blue Waltz heads the market and it does hold chances but it may prefer slightly easier ground and at the prices,it can be passed over.
Azmaam has been running well and shouldnt be far away while Spirit of the Law has been consistent but needs to find more on my figures.
The value is Sharp Sailor,who ran well in a listed race last time and before that was denied a clear run in a hot handicap at Chester.
It shouldnt have any problems on that score here and after just 9 starts,my ratings suggest its still improving and should go close.
Back Sharp Sailor 6pts at 9.0(Already Advised)-Won(+48pts)Brilliant ride by Luke Morris.
Monthly Total+151.50pts
Running Total+8155.60pts

7th August

No Selections today

6th August

845 Newcastle-Competitive field and Perfect Peak looks too short to me.
This horse broke its duck last time,in a race that the subsequent runners from that event,have done little for the form.
It also looks to have questions to answer on rain softened ground and at the prices,it needs to be taken on.
Perardua is inconsistent but produced a fine run last time and if repeating that,will take a bit of beating.
Alaskan Wing runs under a penalty and is fine under the conditions while Edgar Balthazar and Lily Moreton both hold solid chances.
Lay Perfect Peak to win 15pts at 5.0(Lay upto 6.0) Lay 10pts place-UP(+23.75pts)

755 Sandown-Fruity and Big Whiskey are both big runners here but the market has them covered.
The one that im surprised about is Skinny Love.
This horse has raced over a mile the last 3 times and that may be a bit too far.
It now drops back to 7 furlongs,a trip its finished 1st-2nd-1st in its only 3 runs over the distance.The rating on its last run over the trip makes it very competitive here and certainly more than the price suggests.
Back Skinny Love 5pts at 13.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-Won(+60pts)Got a great ride and a lovely big priced winner.

310 Haydock-Lucy The Painter produced a career best last time,that rating and speed figure make it the one to beat here.
Added to that ,is the fact that this horse has only had 7 runs,so there could easily be more to come.
Etienne Gerard and Diatomic finished 1st and 2nd in a weak maiden handicap last time and both need more to win this.
Mo Henry looks better over further and on the all weather,it looks well underpriced to me.
The only one im worried about is Lady Desire,who couldnt win on current form but is 1 from 1 at this track and the rating from that win last season,would make it seriously competitive.
Back Lucy The Painter 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Ran a lifeless race in a strange result.(DT+71.75pts)
Monthly Total+103.50pts
Running Total+8107.60pts

5th August

5.0 Chepstow-Strait of Magellan drops in grade and looks the one to beat back on turf.
It ran well last time on the all weather at Lingfield but its run 2 starts back on the grass,stands out on my figures.
The trainer is 2 from 6 with his 3yo handicappers here and this horse is 1w-1p-2r in small fields like this.
Azure Amour won last time and looks mildly progressive but it needs to conclusively prove its stamina.
Doctor Kehoe and Idle Talker are the others that have chances.
Back Strait of Magellan 12pts at 4.5-2nd(-12pts)Ran a good race.

620 Newcastle-Exotic Guest has been in pretty consistent form of late and looks well in here at the weights,at a track where its got a fine record(Newcastle 2w-2p-7r)
If it can run anywhere close to its latest effort then it will take a bit of beating.
Armelle isnt a bad shout for the forecast,its up in class but is 1 from 1 here and ran ok last time out.
Back Exotic Guest 16pts at 3.25-Won(+36pts)Hammered into 11/10 and won easily(DT+24pts)

320 Brighton-Pretty open race and one in which I feel we can take on the favourite,Hulcolt.
This horse has done all its winning at Beverley(3w-1p-5r) and is 0w-0p-7r elsewhere.
This track is totally different to Beverley and it still isnt proven over the mile.Its no standout at the weights on my figures either.
Pick A Little is rock solid.a tough,consistent horse that loves it here(3 wins from 8 starts),it should run well.
Muqarred represents a yard that are 9 from 26 with their runners here and a jockey that is 15/58 for the stable.
Pyrocumulus should go close while Shifting Star likes it here and is in good form.
Lay Hulcolt to win 15pts at 4.5 10 pts to place.-UP(+23.75pts after commission)Called it spot on(DT+47.75pts)

350 Brighton-This drop in trip could prove ideal for Acclio.
This horse has the ratings to figure anyway but its been weakening late on and hopefully Adam Kirby can have it competitive 2f out and it should come home strong.
Beautiful Ending is lightly raced and could be capable of better than its shown so far.
Kizingo is another unexposed horse after just the 5 starts but it may find easier opportunities than this to get its head in front.
Back Acclio 7pts at 7.0-4th(-7pts)Given every chance but very one paced when it mattered.(DT+40.75pts)
Monthly Total+31.75pts
Running Total+8035.85pts

4th August

230 Salisbury-Holland Park looks a bit vulnerable on its handicap debut here.Its ratings suggest its not got in lightly in the weights and if anything,it looks to be regressing.
There are several horses that have to bounce back from a quiet run including Groundworker,Lightning Charlie and Lucky Di and it remains to be seen how they go.
Dishy Guru is a horse that has an annoying habit of starting slowly before running on.Its been racing at 5 furlongs but now steps back up to 6 furlongs,a distance its won over 3 times before.
It also drops in class into a grade where its won 2 of its last 3 starts in and it looks a decent price to add to its 8 career wins.
Back Dishy Guru 6pts at 9.0 at ladbrokes(Accept 7.0)-UP(-6pts)Given no chance at all as the jockey removed the blindfold far too late and the horse was left 5 or 6 lengths at the start.Absolute Joke!

1st August

510 Newmarket-Mustadaam was well backed last time out but disappointed and if the money comes again then you have to respect it but it is 0w-0p-5r in this grade and it looks short enough on what its actually achieved on the racecourse.
Stock Hill Fair and Endless Credit are similar in that they are both rock solid handicappers with nothing in hand in thr weights.So although im sure they will be competitive,they are both beatable.
The one that interests me is Malekov,who makes its debut for the Hugo Palmer yard.
This horse has been racing abroad and needs to find a little extra on what it was doing when we last saw it but it is 2 out of 2 in this grade in the UK.
I expect this trainer to improve it and the jockey is 4 from 10 for the yard.
Back Malekov 6pts at 9.0 at corals(Accept 7.0)-2nd(-6pts)Touched 1.77 in running as it appeared to be coming to win the race but hung right which clearly cost it the race.Very frustrating!

545 Newmarket-Mister Brightside is very progressive and looks hard to beat here.
Its improving fast and stands out on my figures,its also 1 from 1 on the July course.
Martin harley is 3 from 12 for the Jeremy Noseda yard.
Atletico makes its handicap debut from an in form yard but needs to step up while Maybe Definitely has to prove its effectiveness down in trip.
Back Mister Brightside 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies-3rd(-16pts)Well backed all day and touched 1.33 in running but was one paced the last furlong.(DT-22pts)

645 Hamilton-Soft ground looks a negative for Fast Charlie,as is the step up to 8 furlongs but combine the two on a stiff track like this and I expect this horse to struggle in the latter stages here.
Trail Blaze won last time and is 2w-1p-5r in this grade,it should go close with conditions to suit.
Sakhalin Star is pretty consistent and runs well here but not as well as Lord Franklin,whos 3w-4p-12r at this track and 4w-4p-14r in this grade,with soft ideal,its a big runner.
Piccadilly Jim shouldnt be far away while Tectonic is a course and distance that should be in the frame.
Lay Fast Charlie 20pts at 5.5-UP(+19pts)Finished tailed off last!(DT-3pts)
Running Total+8001.10pts