Theres already been plenty of money for Ainslie,for a trainer that has a 30% strike rate here but it looks plenty short enough now for a horse that is 0w-1p-5r in this grade.
Rock Lobster stands out on the rating it achieved last time on the all weather at Chelmsford but its turf ratings arent close to that and its soft ground figures are 16Ibs lower.
Symphony Of Kings has been consistent but struggles to get its head in front and there is no evidence from it or its sire that soft ground will suit.
At a price,I will take a punt of Ayr of Elegance,who`s only had just the 4 runs and has produced progressive ratings.
It needs to improve again but the sire has a 15% strike rate on heavy/soft ground(The best sire stats in the race) and the trainer is 5 from 21 with his runners here.
Back Ayr Of Elegance 6pts at 10.0 at Betvictor/Paddys(Accept 8.0)-UP(-6pts)Barely raceable and in a fog.Horse didnt handle it.
540 Newbury-Cottesloe has been consistent since joining John Berry and posted a career best last time out over this trip on Lingfield`s all weather surface.
That rating gives it a decent shout here but up in grade,on soft ground and reappearing quickly 10 days later(Its record when reappearing after 14 days or less 0w-1p-7r)....7/4 with the bookies looks incredibly short.
Man Look has to prove itself on the ground as well but its latest run,gives it a fair chance here while Kallisha,although a bit inconsistent recently,drops into a grade,where its 1 from 1 and has George Baker taking over for the first time.The sire has an impressive 18% strike rate on soft ground and it could easily outrun its odds.
Excellent Puck is another with good sire,ground stats(18%) and if back to its best,can go close.
Lay Cottesloe to win 15pts at 3.0(lay upto 3.5) and 10pts to place.-2nd(Wasnt Matched)7/4 out to 9/2,so we was on the right lines but the evening betfair markets are so weak now,we couldnt get matched before the drift came.
720 Fontwell-Unless the ground turns completely bottomless,I feel Caspian Piper has a fine chance here.
This horse has been progressive since joining its current yard,posting several consistent ratings.
It drops back in class into a grade where it won its last two and is 2w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.
Its completely proven over this trip but I think it could improve it as it wasnt stopping when winning over 2m6f recently.
Shady Glen is a danger as its very unexposed over fences after just the one run while The Wee Midget has been running well but is more likely to place than win.
Back Caspian Piper 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies-Non Runner(DT-6pts)
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