720 Bath-Merritt Island will probably win this but it does have to prove its stamina & its a very short price.
If I Were A Boy drops in class and has been running well but at a big price,maybe Kastini can outrun its odds.
This horse actually drops 2 grades into a class 5 after 4 runs in class 3`s.
It doesnt have a great strike rate(2 from 25) but its record over this trip,in this grade read 2nd-1st-2nd-2nd-2nd.
On its rating it posted ,the last time it ran in a class 5,it would win this.
It has to be supported at the odds.
Back Kastini 5pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 9.0)-Non Runner
440 Beverley-Primogeniture has been in consistent form but has to carry a monster weight here & on my figures,needs to improve to take this.
It carries a penalty here & actually has a tough task at the weights based on its running behind King Of The Celts here in June.
That day King Of The Celts won by a neck & is now 6Ibs better off with Primogeniture.
I cant have it as favourite.
There are several course specialists on show,King Of The Celts(4 wins),Tin Pan Alley(2 from 4) and PeterHouse(1 from 1)
The latter looks a big runner here,getting in nicely at the foot of the weights & still being unexposed at the trip(2 from 4)
Big Storm Coming and Modernism both have the ratings to figure.
Lay Primogeniture 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.0)-UP(+19pts)
Monthly Total+174.25pts
Running Total+8178.35pts
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