This horse broke its duck last time,in a race that the subsequent runners from that event,have done little for the form.
It also looks to have questions to answer on rain softened ground and at the prices,it needs to be taken on.
Perardua is inconsistent but produced a fine run last time and if repeating that,will take a bit of beating.
Alaskan Wing runs under a penalty and is fine under the conditions while Edgar Balthazar and Lily Moreton both hold solid chances.
Lay Perfect Peak to win 15pts at 5.0(Lay upto 6.0) Lay 10pts place-UP(+23.75pts)
755 Sandown-Fruity and Big Whiskey are both big runners here but the market has them covered.
The one that im surprised about is Skinny Love.
This horse has raced over a mile the last 3 times and that may be a bit too far.
It now drops back to 7 furlongs,a trip its finished 1st-2nd-1st in its only 3 runs over the distance.The rating on its last run over the trip makes it very competitive here and certainly more than the price suggests.
Back Skinny Love 5pts at 13.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-Won(+60pts)Got a great ride and a lovely big priced winner.
310 Haydock-Lucy The Painter produced a career best last time,that rating and speed figure make it the one to beat here.
Added to that ,is the fact that this horse has only had 7 runs,so there could easily be more to come.
Etienne Gerard and Diatomic finished 1st and 2nd in a weak maiden handicap last time and both need more to win this.
Mo Henry looks better over further and on the all weather,it looks well underpriced to me.
The only one im worried about is Lady Desire,who couldnt win on current form but is 1 from 1 at this track and the rating from that win last season,would make it seriously competitive.
Back Lucy The Painter 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Ran a lifeless race in a strange result.(DT+71.75pts)
Monthly Total+103.50pts
Running Total+8107.60pts
Monthly Total+103.50pts
Running Total+8107.60pts
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