30th November

 115 Fakenham-Captain Speaking has been progressive since its started over fences and you have to respect its chance but its up in class (0w-0p-6r in class 4 over hurdles) and also didnt hit the frame when racing around here before,so it may be vulnerable.

Graystown is also up in class and its recent good form has been at Hexham,not exactly a similar track to this and its better on softer ground.

Big Chief Benny is lightly raced over fences and this trainer does very well here with his horses but its a hold up horse and thats not ideal at this track but it will like the better ground.

The value has to be Thomas Todd,who drops in class and ran well on its seasonal debut ,on ground much softer than it prefers.Its form figures around here read 1st-2nd-3rd-2nd ,for a yard that have won with 3 of their last 10 runners.

Back Thomas Todd 10pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-10pts)Backed into 15/8 but found the progressive winner too much to handle.

Monthly Total+4.25pts A very ordinary month comes to an end.Just couldnt seem to put a sequence together.

Running Total+162.25pts

29th November

 1210 Carlisle-Tom Symonds has got his horses in great form(operating at a strike rate of 41% in the last month) and his improving Meteorite should go close here.

It ran well on its seasonal debut but probably found Plumpton a bit sharp for it,so this stiffer track should suit with the drop in class an added bonus.It should be favourite.

Sarosota Star is also improving but the much softer going could be an issue while Coole Well drops in class but has struggled to get its head in front plus looks to have a lot of competition for the lead.

Amberose could be a danger as its 2 from 4 around here but it is inconsistent.

Back Meteorite 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-UP(-8pts)Well backed but ran poorly

250 Carlisle-Rath An Luir boasts a progressive and unexposed profile and make an impressive start to its chasing career by winning at this track last time.

The rating it posted suggests its got at least 10Ibs in hand of its mark and it really should improve for experience and the longer trip,given it runs it race.This is a good race but it should be around the even money mark.

Up Helly Aa King is 3 from 5 over fences and 2/2 here.I`m not so sure how much its got in hand now though but could improve for the longer trip.

Ashfield Paddy and SirWillaimWallace are both unexposed over fences but need to show a lot more.

Back Rath An Luir 25pts at 2.75 at Bet365-Won(+43.75)Looks progressive and stays very well(DT+35.75pts)

28th November

 307 Bangor-This is weak and looks a decent opportunity for Tipalong Tyler.

Its still lightly raced and has produced 3 decent efforts of late and then isnt many in this that can say that.

As long as it doesnt get too soft,it really should run well especially as its dropping in class and is also into a mares only race for the first time for a while.

Quiet Penny hasnt raced for nearly 2 years but makes its debut for a new yard while Rollercoaster is another to have moved stables and that could have a positive effect but it needs too.

Back Tipalong Tyler 12pts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-UP(-12pts)Ground went against it despite it being well backed.

1205 Doncaster-Calin Du Brizais has managed to be dropped 22Ibs in 5 runs this season and although,an infrequent winner,it showed a lot more last time and that rating stands out here.

There looks to be lots of pace on and that should suit as it stays well.

Rose Dobbin as won this race twice in recent years,so her Geordielandgangsta could go well and I can see the chance of Furius De Ciergues but it looks short enough to me.

Back Calin Du Brizais 5pts at 8.0 at Bet365-3rd(-5PTS)Plodded on ito 3rd without every threatening.

150 Newbury-The progressive ratings of Tea Clipper suggest its better than this grade and im surprised it isnt even shorter in the betting,despite this being quite competitve.

The trainer has sent out 4 winners from his last 14 runners and boasts a 30% strike rate with his hurdlers at this track.

On The Wild Side makes its handicap debut and is up in class and trip ,on ground faster than its recent runs.It looks on a fairly tough mark although could improve but its trainer has an unusually poor record here,which is also the case for Flash The Steel,there cannot be many courses where Dan Skelton has a 3% strike rate with his hurdlers but thats the case here.

Back Tea Clipper 12ts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-5th(-12pts)Massively disappointing run.

225 Newbury-It may not be good enough but my ratings suggest Pisgah Pike is a crazy price here.

Last time was a career best run and if it can improve again then ive got being competitive.

There are some lightly raced,progressive horses on show here,so it is a warm race but its the wrong price.

Back Pisgah Price 2pt Each Way at 21.0 at Bet365/Betfred-UP(-4pts)Halved in price but never involved in a messy race.(DT-19pts)

335 Newbury-Moonlighter ran a career best on its seasonal return and with the slight drop in trip suiting,Hopefully it will make them all go from the front.

It won on its only start at this track over fences and with its main market rival Ibleo needing it softer,im expecting a big run.

Zanza is lightly raced over fences and could figure but im hoping the selection can put pressure on its novicey jumping.

Back Moonlighter 12ts at 4.33 at Betvictor/Paddys-Fell(-12pts)To round off a shocker of a day,took off too early and had a heavy fall(DT-48pts)

27th November

 125 Doncaster-Competitive race although nothing with a compelling profile.

Dr Sanderson heads the market but although lightly raced,it looks to need to improve  on my figures.

Nietzsche drops in class and should run well but has mostly raced at shorter distances than this in its career while Cracking Find is slowly finding its feet,its not very consistent.

The Unit would have chances ,if coming on for its run after a long layoff but it could easily bounce after such an absence,so at a fair price,the lightly raced Pogue,looks too big to me.

It chased home a very progressive horse last time out and that horse came out and won again on Monday,it produced its best rating over this course and distance and although creeping up in class,it should go well.

Back Pogue 6pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Betfair/Paddys-2nd(-6pts)Ran well,no excuses.

300 Newbury-I find it interesting that Paul Nicholls,after winning this race from 2009 to 2013 ,hasnt ran another horse in it since.It must be significant that he sends McFabulous to take his chance here.

Although yet to prove its stamina,this horse is seriously progressive and the trainer must think it will stay.

On my ratings,the favourite Paisley Park(despite taking a weak renewal of this last season),didnt run to within 10Ibs of the previous season efforts and signed off with a poor run at the Cheltenham Festival.You cannot argue with its strike rate but I do think its vulnerable to an improving sort.

Thyme Hill is still unexposed and should be involved.

Back McFabulous 14pts at 3.75 at Bet365 -3rd(-14pts)Either didnt quite stay or wasnt good enough.(DT-20pts)

26th November

 141 Taunton-Two lightly raced horses head the market in High Change and Peckinpah but behind that,this looks fairly weak.

The dropping in class First Quest looks overpriced and is back on its last winning mark.

It wants this better ground and im hoping the jockey will sit it handy as there doesnt look to be much pace in the race unless the blinkers fire up High Change.It should run well.

Back First Quest 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-4th(-6pts)Nicely backed and looked threatening but just went noowhere.

311 Taunton-On its second start over fences,De Barley Basket produced a rating that suggests its better than a class 5 animal.With more improvement likely,Im surprised it isnt around the 5/4 mark.

The obvious danger is Write It Down,whos pretty consistent but lacks the potential of the selection.

Back De Barley Basket 25pts at 2.62 at Bet365-Won(+56.25*BOG)At last,a fine front running ride from a proper jockey in Dave Bass.Never looked like losing.(DT+50.25pts)

Monthly Total+46.25pts

Running Total+204.50

25th November

 225 Wetherby-I can see the chance of Smarty Wild,as a lightly raced chaser from last years winning stable but it looks a little short to me especially as its done all its winning going right handed so far.

The value looks to be Some Reign ,who was so unlucky not to win over course and distance last time out ,when coming down at the last.That run continued a progressive set of ratings and if continuing in that vein then its a big runner here.

Joke Dancer drops in grade and trip ,which will help it but the yard continue to struggle for winners.Ballyvic Boru is 2 from 4 at this track but was a fortunate winner last time out and is on a career high mark now.

Back Some Reign 10 pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-10pts)Another to run well without prevailing,possibly misjudged the ride and gave it a little too much to do.

320 Hereford-For a horse,that historically has always needed a run after a absence,it was a fine effort put up by Eclair De Guye on its seasonal debut 35 days ago and if it comes on a little for that then it really should run well here.

I always think Bryony Frost is a great jockey over fences and she has an encouraging 25% strike rate when riding for this yard over the big obstacles.

Elan De Balme is lightly raced and has to be a danger but does have its stamina to prove while Cuban Pete,although is 2 from 4 at this track,it seems to be better after a long break,as its 0w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 60 days.

Clondaw Rigger does have chances as it stays well and has won here but it is a little exposed now.

Back Eclair De Guye 3pts at 4.5 at Bet365-UP(-10pts)Never in it at any stage.(DT-20pts)

24th November

 800 Wolverhampton-Id prefer to see the trainer having more winners but Passional ran well for him on its stable debut 5 days ago and the same horse should go well here ,dropping in trip.

This horse is one of the least exposed in this field and hopefully will be handy before using its stamina late on.The added 5Ib claim from the jockey can only help.

Trouser The Cash dropped down to this trip to break its duck last time out at Chelmsford but ran below form on its previous run here while Qaaraat is often there or thereabouts but has little in hand and is thoroughly exposed.

Thegreyvtrain will probably try and make all but is just 2 from 35 in its career.

Back Passional 10pts at 4.5 at Bet365-2nd(-10pts)Fell out the stalls then couldnt get a run.Very Unlucky.

23rd November

 245 Ludlow-Mr Washington looks a little short to me here,Up in class and on different ground.

Take it on with Get The Appeal,who was travelling best when coming down 2 out last time out.The winner of that race has followed up since and Im surprised this horse isnt favourite.

Towards The Dawn could improve for further and is respected but the trainer has only a 4% strike rate here.

Back Get The Appeal 10pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-10pts)Very weak in the betting but ran quite well.

235 Kempton-Locks Corner is up in the weights back over fences but its improving fast and the drop back in trip looks ideal.This horse is 4w-1p-5r since being fitted with cheek pieces and although this is competitive,Its difficult to see it not running very well.

Getareason has only had 2 runs over fences and is a contender while Templepark is very consistent but doesnt look to have a lot in hand.Mythical Clouds ran its best race over this course and distance and has a chance also.

Back Locks Corner 14pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+42pts)Really progressive horse that is a strong stayer at this trip and won well.

715 Chelmsford-Im surprised the in form and improving Smokey isnt favourite here.

It won on its only start here and is 3w-1p-7r in this class and its got a nice draw here.

Indian Pursuit and Jorvik Prince are both course specialists and head the dangers.

Back Smokey 10pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor-3rd(-10pts)(DT+22pts)

Monthly Total+20.25pts

Running Total+178.25pts

22nd December

 1248 Uttoxeter-Providing this doesnt come too soon after its comeback run from a long absence then Princess Roxy holds strong claims here.

Its not only lightly raced fences (1 run) but its a very unexposed in total(Just 7 runs under rules).Its rating on its chase debut exceeds anything else in this race and the trainer has been in good form recently too.I am expecting some good support for this horse and the current prices are big value.

City Never Sleeps is also improving and heads the dangers while Scartare is consistent but is totally exposed and is 0/33,so its unlikely its a danger despite some decent ratings.

Rintulla finished a fair way behind the selection on its chase debut but could improve although it clearly needs to.Louse Talk Looks better over hurdles than fences(0/12) while Skipping On is 2 from 3 in this grade but hasnt won for 2 years.

Back Princess Roxy 10pts at 5.0 at  Betvictor/Betfair/Paddys-UP(-10pts)Moved into it 4 out but didnt seem to go anywhere although not beaten far.

153 Uttoxeter-Misty Whisky and Peace Prevails are both lightly raced and head the market,it wouldnt be a surprise if either took this but the former has started finishing second while the latter has to improve on my figures.

Take them on with Fair Kate,whos won in a higher grade than this before and the trainer has won with 3 of his last 4 runners of late and also has a 24% strike rate here.

Back Fair Kate 4pt at 10.0 at Betvictor/Betfair/Paddys-UP(-4pts)

20th November

 615 Newcastle-Dandys Gold looks well overpriced here.This horse has only had the 5 runs in England and drops in class.

Its 3 runs at this track read 1st-2nd-2nd and I like the booking of Tyler Heard on top,who will take off 7Ibs and is 3/7 for this yard.It should be half the price it currently is.

Fantasy Keeper is the obvious danger while Gunmetal hasnt hit the frame in its 2 starts at this track,so looks underpriced to me.Outrage has good course form but is maybe better att shorter.

Back Dandys Gold 5pt at 11.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Disappointing run

140 Chepstow-For me,this is a 2 horse race.Kapga De Lily could stroll away with this as the rating it posted last time,shows its ahead of its current rating.

However,its up in class and distance plus also ridden by a fairly inexperienced jockey,who has just a 5% strike rate over fences,I would have it bigger in the market and if Fergal O`Brien can perform his magic with his new recruit No No Juliet then this is a big runner.

The trainer operates at a 30% strke rate with experienced horses on their first run for his yard and its stamina is assured as it stays a bit further.Its only had 4 runs itself over fences and 2 of those ratings definitely suggest its got a few pounds in hand of its current mark.

Miss Zip will love the ground but 3 miles is a question mark while Silent Steps doesnt look well handicapped.

Back No No Juliet 11pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-11pts)Looked a big danger entering the straight but weakened incredibly quickly.(DT-16pts)

21st November

No Selections

19th November

 233 Market Rasen-Against a bunch of mainly exposed chasers,Outcrop makes a fair bit of appeal here.

It posted a fine rating last time ,on its chase debut and the drop in trip can only help its chance.

I`m a big fan of the jockey Sean Quinlan and Ive got this around the 13/8 mark.

Fort De L`Ocean ran well over hurdles last time but ive got it a few pounds behind the selection on its chase runs while Cesar Collonges in very inconsistent and surely wants it softer than this.

Dallas Cowboy could be the danger if it put its seasonal debut run behind it as its got very good Market Rasen form but it did pull up last time.

Back OutCrop 15pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies-Won(+41.25pts)The write up concerning  the jockey wasnt misplaced.Perfectly timed run to lead after the last.

Monthly Total+26.25pts

Running Total+184.25pts

18th November

 725 Kempton-On to Victory won a big 12f handicap on soft ground last time out but this is over further and on a different surface,so it looks a bit short to me.

Rock Eagle has been running well at a variety of trips and 2 miles could be ideal but its never ran on an All Weather track yet.

Soghan`s 2 mile form figures 2nd-1st-1st catch my eye and with those 2 wins both coming on the all weather,I would definitely have this horse shorter in the betting,particularly as it won off a 2Ibs higher mark last year.

True Destiny is closely tied in with the selection based on their Wolverhampton run 2 starts back but its since ran a stinker back on turf and is 8Ibs higher than its highest winning mark.

Back Soghan 8pts at 6.0 at Betfair and Paddys-2nd(-8pts)Led all the way until the final 5 yards for a pretty gut wrenching defeat.

17th November

 233 Fakenham-Midnights Gift has spent more than half its career in grade 1 races and performed with credit,so this drop to a class 3 will be welcome.Although giving weight away,this horse won on its only start at this track,for a trainer who operates at a 44% here in recent times.

I have got it as favourite,so it looks value to me.

Getariver is unexposed over hurdles after only 4 starts but couldnt manage to win a class 4 last time,so it needs to cope with the rise in class while Nordican Bleue and Fantastic Ms Fox boast similar profiles but both look on a fairly tough marks for their handicap debuts.

Back Midnights Gift 11pts at 5.0 at Betfair and Paddys-Won(+44pts)Fine strong ride by Tom Cannon.

 303 Fakenham-Its possible Goldencard has completely gone but is so well handicapped now,that it wont take a lot for it to bounce back.

It won a race last November off an incredible 24Ibs higher and turns up at a track where trainer Christian Williams has a 41% strike rate,there cannot be many places where he has a similar record.The trainer puts blinkers on for the first time and if they produce something better than of late then it should be far too good for these.

Muilean Na Madog heads the market and I can see its obvious chances but backing up twice in a week after over 600 days off,will not be easy.

Wisecracker should run its race but is 1/30 now and is 9Ibs higher than for that win while Glimpse Of Gold looks better over hurdles than fences but has been in good form.Champion Chase has some reasonable ratings but a record of 0 from 24 tells its own story.

Back Goldencard 4pts at 12.0 At William Hill and Betvictor-2nd(-4pts)Strange betting heat and race.The selection was punted into 3/1 before drifting back out 12/1.It actually ran quite well and isnt finished yet but I didnt consider the winner and nor did the betting market.(DT+40pts)

Monthly Total-7pts

Running Total+151pts

16th November

300 Leicester-This is a competitive race and a few have chances.

Cape of Fear has been fav on all 3 of its chase starts and would hold decent chances on its run 2 starts back but ran way below par last time.Station Master is 3w-2p-6r in this class but refused to race last time.

Poker School has been around for ages but has never won over this trip while Boughtbeforelunch is consistent and should run well but is 1 from 20 and is 22Ibs higher than that win.

Big Difference should run well although ive got it needing to improve a little to take this.

I like Bandsman,who ran well last time over a trip too short and ground too soft.Its 4w-2p-9r in class 4 races like this and Dan Skelton is 5 out of 5 with his chasers here in the last 2 years.

Back Bandsman 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365-PU(-7pts)Everything seemed fine until weakening quickly down the back straight.

220 Plumpton-Court Duty won a poor race at Ffos Las 8 days ago and if it backs that up then it will go close but it will be no surprise to me if first of all,drifts in the betting and gets beat.

Bad Boy Du Pouldu has been consistent around Fontwell recently but is 0w-1p-5r on soft/heavy ground.

Le Coeur Net has the ratings to figure but is a tight enough price so the value for me is Wenceslaus,who is no gimme on the figures but returns to its favourite track(Plumpton 2/2 over fences 3/4 overall) on ground its fine on but I really like a record of 3w-1p-4r when returning to the track within 15 days like today and the refitting of cheekpieces(2w-0p-4r in them)

Back Wenceslaus 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-Fell(-7pts)Every chance and just in the lead when fell 2 out.Very Frustrating(DT-14pts)

15th November

 315 Fontwell-This will take a bit of getting and I like the chances of Christmas In April.

The last time we saw this horse it went off favourite for a class 1 handicap and now reappears 2 grades lower,at a track where it won on its only previous visit.

A record of 3 from 6 on soft/heavy ground means theres no issues there while over distances from 3m2+ its a very solid 3w-1p-5r and as its won after a break before then I`d be very disappointed if it didnt go very close.

Cloudy Glen is the main market rival but has to prove its stamina while Doing Fine ran poorly last time and is a 12yo who is running off a 2Ib higher mark than its ever won off.

Diable De Sivola has a win record of 1 from 22 and that win was over hurdles in 2016.

Gangster is inconsistent and 0w-1p-9r on undulating tracks like this.

Back Christmas In April 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-2nd(-16pts)Cloudy Glen hosed up.

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14th November

 333 Wetherby-After this race has finished I could be regretting the fact I couldnt stay away from a 12yo that hasnt won since 2017 but I keep coming back to Silver Tassie in this.

In 6 of its last 8 races its produced a rating that is superior to its handicap mark,suggesting it can win again.

It only went down by a neck and a head in this race last year but this looks a much weaker renewal.

You can find holes everywhere you look in this,Eceparti heads the market but is not well handicapped and has to prove its stamina on ground that could be really soft by racetime.

I make Cesar Et Rosalie the main danger as its 3 from 9 in this grade but consistency is not its strongpoint.

Lithic is 0 from 19 over fences,Chase the Wind is out of form while the unexposed Commit or Quit could figure but to my eye,this trip looks too far at the moment.

Back Silver Tassie 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-UP(-8pts)Rank bad analysis.

Monthly Total-17pts

Running Total+141pts

13th November

 233 Newcastle-The further Chanting Hill went on its chase debut,the better it got so this stiff track should help to do itself justice.

That bare rating gives it an outstanding chance of following up and thats without even adding in the expected improvement.If its still in touch 3 out then I would expect it to power home.

I would definitely have it around 6/4 chance for a yard among the winners.

PrettyLittlething has only won one race since 2017 and looks a but underpriced to me while Tb Broke Her could enjoy a solo up front and if it doesnt bounce on its second run back then it looks the main danger.

Tokaramore has to prove its stamina and Liffeydale Dreamer is still lightly raced but does need to improve.

Back Chanting Hill 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365 & Hills-Fell(-16pts)Smashed into 6/5 and going well when fell 5 out.

12th November

 215 Ludlow-Theres no doubt theres potential in the unexposed chasers at the top of the market but Lord Bryan looks well overpriced to me here.

This horse was only just beaten 2 runs ago under similar conditions before getting bogged down on heavy ground last time.It is on a lengthy losing run but from a ratings perspective,it has to be supported.

Back Lord Bryan 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365-3rd(-5pts)Ran quite well but got left behind.

240 Taunton-Pontresina is lightly raced over fences and won well last time but my ratings suggest ,its massively underpriced here.

Irish Prophecy has been in good form but going up 7Ib for finishing second last time ,is hardly ideal.

I like Looksnowtlikebrian.Its been running itself into form,is 5w-2p-10r with Richard Johnson onboard and 2 from 5 going right handed.

Back Looksnowtlikebrian 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365-2nd(-7pts)Pontresina was vulnerable but the winner won easy although we were never put in the race at any stage.

415 Taunton-Since moving into handicaps and having wind surgery,Outonpatrol`s form has moved up a level.This horse is improving and is clear top rated with possibly more to come.

The 5Ib claim of Alexander Thorne can only be a bonus as well,it should be favourite unless Dan Skelton produces some magic out of Shes Gina on its first run for the yard.

Rose to Fame is 2/2 at this track and the yard are flying,so I can see its chance but its price looks tight to me while Frau Georgia has been running well but is now 17Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

Back Outonpatrol 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-2nd(-8pts)Beat everything I thought was a danger but Richard Johnson always seems to beat me while never riding a winner for me.(DT-20pts)

11th November

 1235 Ayr-Crack Du Ninian is greatly respected here but if theres any time to get with Those Tiger Feet then surely this is it.

Kim Bailey doesnt venture to Scotland very often and certainly not for a class 5 handicap like this.

The horse is 2w-0p-3r in this grade but 2 from 2 when returning from a break of over 120 days like today and 2 from 2 in November.I would expect David Bass to make plenty of use of it as it stays further and could hopefully run the finish out of the fav.

Back Those Tiger Feet 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+35pts)Got a solo upfront as hoped and picked up well when they got close late on

1245 Bangor-Big Chief Benny and Subcontinent are unexposed over fences and could make the required improvement to take this but I like the solid Glance Back.

When we last saw this horse it was in great form and is clear top rated on my figures.

Its finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 runs at this track ,is 4w-2p-9r on soft/heavy ground ,2w-1p-4 over this trip and 3w-1p-8r in fields of 7 or less like today.

Back Glance Back 11pts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-NON RUNNER

333 Bangor-Mint Condition is up in class but is improving fast and its rating last time on its handicap debut suggests its better than this grade.

The trainer has a 21% strike rate at this track but that increases with her handicap hurdlers.

Chirico Vallis is on a roll and should give the selection a good toe into the race while Ballymoy has been a force in this grade before but has lost its way while Christopher Wood moves up in trip but is hardly well handicapped,so needs to improve for it.

Back Mint Condition 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Several heart attacks down the straight as it went to the front then got headed but battled back to win close home(DT+71pts)

Monthly Total+27pts

Running Total+185pts

10th November

 323 Lingfield-This is a decent little race but its also 2 grades lower than the race Getaround finished fourth in last time out.

It now makes its handicap debut  and moves back up in trip,to the distance where it posted its top rated performance from last season,add in the valuable 5Ibs that jockey Brian Carver is taking off and I expect a big run from this lightly raced horse.

As I See it also drops a grade and should run well but is now 8Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

Storm Arising doesnt get much respite from the handicapper and will need to turn up fit and well to hold any chance while Potters Hedger is now off a career high mark and has a patchy record when fresh.

The biggest danger looks to be recent course winner,Robin Gold,whos thriving for its current trainer but it does have ts stamina to prove and this is the highest class its raced in.

Back Getaround 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365-4th(-12pts)Jumped well but appeared fairly laboured throughout,so no surprise they went past it at the last.

9th November

 No Selections

8th November

 355 Ffos Las-You have to respect the hat trick seeking MouseintheHouse,whos 2 from 3 at this track but my ratings suggest,another jolt of improvement may be needed to take this.

Donatello Mail has its first run for Tom Symonds and hes booked the champion jockey for the ride,so clearly a good run is expected but the trainer is 0/19 at this track.

I like the unexposed Cobaltic ,who is top rated on its latest run,.That was its first run over fences,so you would expect more to come for a trainer who is operating at a 24% in the last two weeks.

Back Cobaltic 12pts at 4.0 at Skybet/WilliamHill

1240 Sandown-5 of the 8 runners are stepping up in class here but the only one dropping in grade is Espion.

This horse actually went off fav for a 13 runner class 2 handicap last time but made a bad blunder halfway round and that ruined its chance.This is much easier and the trainer also drops in trip ,back to the distance of its top rated run from last season.I expect a much better showing here.

First Lord De Cuet could not be considered well handicapped on my figures although its still early days for it while Espalion is in good form but has ran at least 7Ibs below its mark on its 3 runs on soft ground,so these conditions and grade(Class 3 0w-0p-3r) are not ideal.

Twenty Twenty is much better after a recent run(31 days+ away from the track 0w-1p-5r) and is off a career high mark here.

Back Espion 12pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor

7th November

 1240 Wincanton-The consistency of Buster Thomas gets my vote here.Its clear top rated on not only its latest run but also produced 2 good ratings both times its ran over these fences.

The trainer has a decent 22% strike rate here and as long as the inexperienced jockey can keep things together then this must go very close.

Oleg heads the market but this is surely based on the trainer ,rather than what its done in its 3 races over jumps,bearing in mind its pulled up and unseated on its two latest efforts.

Fresno Emery is unexposed over fences but these do take some jumping while Hey Bud needs to improve.

Back Buster Thomas 12pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12ps)Ran a good race and maybe the jockey held onto to it for too long.

6th November

 310 Fontwell-Im not a big fan of a quick return to the track over the jumps and therefore,the fav College Oak may be vulnerable here.From a ratings perspective,its got a good chance  but its a tight enough price for me.

Gustavian makes its handicap debut for a yard going well but again,the price is tight enough.

At bigger odds,I quite like the look of Mahlers Promise,who made its handicap debut last time,on its first run of the season and showed up well before weakening late on.

The rating it posted when winning a decent event at Newbury last term,heads my figures and it looks overpriced based on that.

Back Mahlers Promise 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-Fell(-6pts)Cruised into it until tipping over at the last.Very Unlucky!

400 Newcastle-You have to respect Mustaarid,who did us a favour last week but its never raced here before and it may pay to take it on.

Dawaaleeb`s record at this track over a mile reads 1st-1st-3rd and that third was a week ago,when the draw appeared to count against it.It appeals as overpriced to me.

Back Dawaaleeb 10pts at 5.0 at Betvictor/Skybet-Won(+40pts)A fine ride from the front got it done.

245 Warwick-Ebony Gale is unexposed over fences but needs to improve on my ratings to take this.

Write it Down is respected as a CD winner thats been running well but a record of 0w-1p-7r in this class puts me off.

This looks a decent opportunity for Jarlath ,whos 2w-1p-4r in November,is a two time course winner and will be more at home on this good ground,rather than the soft it encountered last time out.

Back Jarlath 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-3rd(-8pts)Ran a good race(DT+26pts)

Monthly Total+4pts

Running Total+162pts

5th November

 1240 Sedgefield-Last years winner Late Date,looks to have been teed up for a repeat victory here.

It has a poor record fresh,so it ran ok first time out under the circumstances and with that under its belt,I would expect a much more competitive run here.

This course and distance on soft ground is what it wants(3w-0p-6r) and its back on the mark it won off last year.

Richard Newland does well here and his lightly raced Classic escape rates the danger.

Back Late Date 12pts at 4.0 at bet365/Betvictor/Skybet-UP(-12pts)Jockey never looked happy.

325 Sedgefield-Splash The Cash heads the market but its got a bit to find on my ratings and a record 0/12 makes it a favourite to take on.

Sally Cant Wait returns after a long absence and is difficult to assess but I like at the prices,Millie The Minx.

Its produced 2 good runs over fences and now returns to hurdles on a decent mark.Danny Mcmenamin gets back in the saddle and hes the only jockey to have won on it over jumps.I do have a little niggle about its finishing effort over this trip but the price is big enough to find out.

Back Millie The Minx 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Betvictor/Skybet-3rd(-7pts)Hammered into 9/4 but didnt seem to be able to go with them and was outpaced before rattling home.(DT-19pts)

Monthly Total-12pts

Running Total+146pts

4th November

 310 Nottingham-Lincoln Park ran a fine race on its debut for Tom Dascombe and the trainer immediately drops the horse back to 5 furlongs,for the first time in its career.

This looks an interesting move and as long as it doesnt get involved in a pace battle up front then this horse should go very close.Its latest rating is the best in this field and it hopefully may even improve on that with the drop in trip.

This horse rarely races in this lower class but has finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 runs when it did and late in the season is when its at its best(October/November(2w-1p-5r)

The obvious danger is John Kirkup,who thrives on soft ground but this 5yo has generally struggled off this mark and hasnt been rated this high for 2 years.

Back Lincoln Park 13pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies-3rd(-13pts)No excuses,wasnt good enough.

3rd November

 No Selections

2nd November

 355 Hereford-Cotton End heads the market but is up 11Ibs from its latest win and my ratings suggest,it needs to improve again to defy this mark and it also possibly prefers better ground.

Darlyn returns from an absence but loves soft ground(3w-1p-4r) and rates the main danger on my figures to Fair Kate.

This horse also returns from a lay off but ran well first time out last season ,weakening late on,after leading over a longer distance.Its rating it achieved when winning over this trip, in a higher class than this,last season, stands out here and the jockey has a fine 31% strike rate for this yard,which suggests, it will be ready for this.

Back Fair Kate 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-UP(-10pts)Weak in the betting and never really showed

1st November

 2.22 Huntingdon-I have a very slight niggle regarding the trainers recent form but Bathiva looks to have a bit in hand here.Its unexposed over fences and its ratings were on an upward curve,when last seen.

Its adaptable ground wise and the trainer operates at a 33% strike rate here ,in recent times.

Lots Of Luck rates an obvious danger but it is up in class ,off a mark 9Ibs higher than its latest win,it needs to improve again.

A bigger danger could be Wenceslaus ,who ran well after a break last time.

Back Bathiva 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+35pts)Won easily

345 Carlisle-This will be a test on this trip and ground.

Sams Adventure is respected with such a good record on heavy ground(4w-3p-8r),Sojourn is very lightly raced while Very First Time hails from a top yard but at a price,I could see Fortified Bay outrunning its odds.

Its 2w-1p-3r when returning from an absence of over 121 days like today and is 2w-1p-3r going right handed,the trainer is in decent nick and I am a big fan of the jockey.

Back Fortified Bay 5pts at 12.0 at Betvictor/Skybet-4th(-5pts)Ran quite well in desperate ground

Days Total +30pts

Running Total+188pts