615 Newcastle-Dandys Gold looks well overpriced here.This horse has only had the 5 runs in England and drops in class.
Its 3 runs at this track read 1st-2nd-2nd and I like the booking of Tyler Heard on top,who will take off 7Ibs and is 3/7 for this yard.It should be half the price it currently is.
Fantasy Keeper is the obvious danger while Gunmetal hasnt hit the frame in its 2 starts at this track,so looks underpriced to me.Outrage has good course form but is maybe better att shorter.
Back Dandys Gold 5pt at 11.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Disappointing run
140 Chepstow-For me,this is a 2 horse race.Kapga De Lily could stroll away with this as the rating it posted last time,shows its ahead of its current rating.
However,its up in class and distance plus also ridden by a fairly inexperienced jockey,who has just a 5% strike rate over fences,I would have it bigger in the market and if Fergal O`Brien can perform his magic with his new recruit No No Juliet then this is a big runner.
The trainer operates at a 30% strke rate with experienced horses on their first run for his yard and its stamina is assured as it stays a bit further.Its only had 4 runs itself over fences and 2 of those ratings definitely suggest its got a few pounds in hand of its current mark.
Miss Zip will love the ground but 3 miles is a question mark while Silent Steps doesnt look well handicapped.
Back No No Juliet 11pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-11pts)Looked a big danger entering the straight but weakened incredibly quickly.(DT-16pts)
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