30th September

340 Hamilton-It does need to drift a little to get matched but I feel that may happen as it probably looks like Lord Franklin is in the grip of the handicapper.However my ratings suggest it will be very competitive here and its profile also provides hope for a very good run.

When returning to the track within 14 days,its 3w-3p-9r.Over this trip its 3w-3p-8r and at Hamilton its 2w-2p-6r.

Pivotman ran well last time but that was over 10 furlongs and its ratings are much better at that trip than todays mile.

Steers by the Stars gets the blinkers first time and would appear to be fancied but I find it hard to see why? its 0w-0p-5r over this trip.

Ralphy Boy is a danger on its last run but its 0w-1p-7r when returning within 14days.

Tectonic ran well yesterday and if taking its chance,isnt out of it.

Back Lord Franklin 7pts at 8.0-Non Runner

430 Bath-The question is,is Marmalady`s recent improvement down to it running at Kemptons polytrack surface or is it the drop to 6 furlongs?It takes another drop in trip but back on turf.Not only this but it jumps up from a class 6 to a class 4.It looks much shorter than it should be as its still to put up a decent performance on grass.

Emjayem has only had 3 starts and is improving plus its a course and distance winner.

Daylight also has a win to its name here and should be bang there.

Cross my Heart has 2 ordinary runs to its name this season but drops back to 5f since it won last season.It achieved a very good rating that day.A return to form would not surprise.

Vallarta came good this time last season and put up its best performance last time out.If it copes with the drop to 5f then it will be thereabouts.

Lay Marmalady 30pts at 5.5-Won(-135pts)Drifted badly but while everything got in problems down the rail,it scooted clear up the outside.The end of a really rubbish couple of weeks.

*Cancel or Trade out if Emjayem,Daylight or Cross my Heart dont run*

Monthly Total-108.40pts

Running Total+5609.43pts

29th September

320 Epsom-Thouwra is consistent and progressive.If repeating its last run,it will go very close.

Tobacco Road is next best but would prefer lots of rain while Strong Conviction isnt out of it.

Back Thouwra 18pts at 3.0 at Ladbrokes-Won(+36pts)Well backed and won easily

Monthly Total+26.6pts

Running Total+5744,43pts

28 September

320 Market Rasen-Another McCoy/O`Neill animal that is shorter than it should be in Amuse Me,who won on its first attempt at this trip but whether it backs it up is another thing as its always been very inconsistent and ive got it a few pounds behind Brimham Boy,whos pretty consistent,only wins going right handed(like today) and despite winning last time is still 2Ibs below its highest winning mark.

Back Brimham Boy 10pts at 6.0 at William Hill/BetVictor-UP(-10pts)Ran terrible

Accept 5.0

8.0 Wolverhampton-Dangerous Age has a decent record at this track but needs to improve again to take this.Its got an awful draw and moves up into a class 4.It shouldnt be favourite.

Trinityelitedotcom hasnt run here but won on its polytrack debut last time and achieved a good rating in the process.

Royal Bajan didnt run great last time probably due to soft ground but this 3 time CD winner will be more at home here.

Agerzam represents a stable thats flying,its trainer is 8/22 at this track and the only time it returned to the track within 14 days,it won.

Lay Dangerous Age 30pts at 6.0-Won(Wasnt Matched) Thankfully it drifted badly but still won.Completely read this wrong along with most other things the last 2 weeks.

Cancel or Trade out if Trinityelitedotcom,Royal Bajan or Agerzam dont run

Monthly Total-9.40pts

Running Total+5708.43pts

27th September

250 Worcester-Sagredo makes the market here as its far too short.Its got a fair bit to find with the improving Citrus Mark and the dropped in class Royal Charter.It does represent Jonjo O`Neill/McCoy/JP Mcmanus however so if the money really comes for it then it will be a worry but its 0w-0p-5r in class 3 races and I prefer Royal Charter,who looks good value.

This horse hasnt been at its best so far this year but I feel there have been excuses.Its last 3 runs have been up in trip and in a much higher class than this plus the ground was softer than ideal,so back in the right grade,on the right trip(2m 3w-3p-10r) and on the right ground,it should run well.

This horse is also a CD winner and it could be classed as an Autumn horse(September/October 3w-0p-5r)

Back Royal Charter 15pts at 5.5 at Paddys-2nd(-15pts)This sums up hows things are at the moment.This horse was value and was well backed into 3.0.It beats the dangers and gets beaten 1/2 a length by an outsider

Accept 4.3

240 Newmarket-Guest of Honour was below par last time in a big field over 10 furlongs but back in a small field over a mile,it should run to its best and that would see it go close.This horse has ran 3 times in fields of 9 or less over a mile and finished 1st-1st-1st.

Soft Falling Rain is unbeaten over a mile and will be a tough opponent but its very short.

Montiridge has to bounce back from a poor run last time but its rating 2 runs back puts it right there.

Back Guest of Honour 8pts at 7.6-UP(-8pts)Got warm beforehand and ran like it was 1 too many this season.(DT-23pts)

425 Newmarket-Wigmore Hall goes well here(Newmarket 2w-1p-5r) and has the back class to win this but it doesnt look the same horse recently.Renew has a progressive profile while Gatewood is the obvious favourite as its joint top rated and 1/1 in listed class.

However the other top rated horse Contributer ,should be a shorter price than it is.Its achieved a consistent set of ratings in its 6 career starts,the 3 month break is a positive(80 days break or more 2w-0p-3r) and Ryan Moore is 21% when riding for Ed Dunlop.

Back Contributer 10pts at 6.0 at Skybet-Non Runner

Accept 5.5

530 Newmarket-The final bet on a busy day is Rosaceous,whos still pretty unexposed after just 6 starts.Silverstre De Sousa is 1/1 on it and this horse should be the favourite.

Aegaeus has that honour but surely this horse is an All Weather horse? It looks to be priced up on its last time out win on the polytrack at Kempton.Its 2w-2p-4r on that surface but only 0w-1p-9r on grass.

There really isnt much else that can be seriously fancied.

Back Rosaceous 12pts at 4.0 at Paddys-Non Runner

Accept 3.75

26th September

525 Newmarket-Very competitive race with a few holding chances but Millys Gift shouldnt be the price it is.This horse has only had 7 races and is 3 out of 5 over this trip.Its recent win was a career best and although stepping up in class,its speed ratings suggest it can handle it.

Ladyship represents top connections and this trip may be ideal but im not sure it should be favourite.

Reqaaba is 1/1 over this trip and lightly raced,so should go well while Victor Ludorum drops in class and is 2/4 at this track,it wouldnt surprise me if it ran well.

Back Millys Gift 5pts at 12.0 at Betvictor-4th(-5pts)Nicely backed into 11/2 and looked like it was coming with a winning run 2 furlongs out but after getting slightly boxed,it was only one paced.Struggling for winners at present!

Monthly Total+23.60pts

Running Total+5741.43pts

25th September

8.0 Kempton-Cat O`Mountain is 3/3 around here and is a tough opponent but there shouldnt be such a gap in the prices between it and Ningara.The selection is consistent and progressive and stepping up 1 extra furlong should bring about more improvement.Its also finished 1st and 2nd on its only 2 starts here.

Back Ningara 12pts at 5.0 at Bet365-2nd(-12pts)Ran a good race but the winner is seriously progressive on this surface.

23rd & 24th September

No selections

22nd September

330 Plumpton-Health is Wealth is a course specialist here with 3 wins from 6 starts.It came out of the doldrums when winning last time on its first start over this distance of 3mile 2furlongs.Its still well handicapped on its best form and if it really has turned the corner,should go well here.

The clear danger is Jayandbee,who also won stepped up in trip last time but the selection is a bigger price.

Back Health is Wealth 13pts at 4.5 at various bookies-3rd(-13pts)With the fav falling early on,this looked at the mercy of the selection,who appeared to running all over field for most of the race but found nothing.

Accept 4.3

5.0 Uttoxeter-Maizy Missile is a horse that likes a little break between its races,it ran well on its latest start but that was just after 10 days.If given a gap of 41 to 80 days off then its 3w-3p-9r,its 3w-4p-13r in this class and should go really well.

Shalamiyr won last time but has been very in and out during its career.Crack at Dawn is the other that could be seriously fancied.

Back Maizy Missile 10pts at 5.0-UP(-10pts)Massive drifter and weakened out of it.Poor few days!(DT-23pts)

Monthly Total+40.60pts

Running Total+5758.43pts

21st September

1.50 Newbury-Kassiano looks a bit short to me here.Its best form is in Meydan on the tapeta surface and its not guaranteed to handle the soft ground.

Camborne should go very well but is a better horse over further while Main Sequence doesnt look quite the same horse this season.

Contributer is 1/1 over this course and distance,is an improving 3yo on my ratings and clearly likes a break between its races.Other than its debut ,its won both other starts when returning after a break of 80 days or more.

Given the doubts about those at the top of the market,its a big price.

Back Contributer 5pts at 13.0 at Paddys/Bet365-Non Runner

Accept 10.0

525 Newmarket-Quite a few unexposed types with some stepping up in trip but none appeal more than Astonishing This horse looks a typical Sir Michael Stoute improver,with each rating greater than the last.I doubt weve seen the best of it yet.

Willow Beck is progressive but needs to improve for the step up in trip while Silk Sari has only had 2 starts and makes its handicap debut.

Back Astonishing 12pts at 4.5-Wasnt matched

620 Wolverhampton-Not that many that can be fancied here.Dream Catcher is just top rated on its run last time at Kempton but hasnt produced any decent ratings when racing here.

Angel Way steps back up in trip and should go well but has never raced here.

Going French achieved a good rating last time over course and distance and has several good runs to its name here.If it can avoid getting in a speed duel(There are several front runners in this race) then it should go well.

Back Going French 7pts at 7.5 at Paddys-UP(-7pts)

Accept 6.5

20th September

315 Newcastle-Pretty competitive race.Push Me looks a bit short to me.It will handle the ground but all its best ratings are at a mile and its only place run over this trip(10f) was in a very slowly run race on the All weather.Its still 9 Ibs above its highest winning mark on the turf and will need to improve for the step up in trip on this ground and that looks unlikely.

Waveguide looks sure to run well as does Yojojo whos 4w-1p-11r in fields of 9 or less and 3w-1p-8r in this grade.

Bobs yer Uncle should appreciate the step back up in trip while Gold Show has a rating 3 starts back that wins this.

Lay Push Me 30pts at 5.5-Non Runner

*Cancel or trade out if Waveguide,Yojojo or Bobs Yer Uncle dont run*

19th September

7.0 Kempton-Zain Spirit is a bit in and out but it is unexposed at a mile and produced its best rating 2 starts back over course and distance.It looks a big price if it can run to that again for its in form trainer.

McDelta is the obvious danger,as its an improving horse but it does have to prove itself on polytrack.

Back Zain Spirit 4pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes-4th(-4pts)

Accept 11.0

3.0 Pontefract-The ground is forecast to be good to firm but there is rain about.Frozen Over is fairly adaptable when it comes to ground and as a consistent horse that has won at this time of year before.I feel this should be a shorter price than it is.This horse should stay this trip very strongly.

Fazza goes well here and is a threat while Ralphy Boy should also run well.

Back Frozen Over 9pts at 5.5-UP(-9pts)

320 Yarmouth-Ocean Tempest is very solid and will surely go well but its the right price and its best ratings are over another furlong.

Azrur is 2/2 over this trip but has no form on this ground(which should be very soft if the forecast is correct).

Comrade Bond was a little below par last time but is bang there on its run 2 starts back.its 2w-0p-3r on soft ground and 3w-3p-10r at this track.It has ran here,on soft ground and over this trip twice and won them both.

Back Comrade Bond 6pts at 10.0 at Paddys-3rd(-6pts)(DT-19pts)

Accept 7.6

18th September

535 Sandown-Only 2 horses here are guaranteed to go on the soft ground.They are Topamichi,who is consistent and has the services of Ryan Moore.However it is starting to look a little exposed and was a well beaten 2nd last time.

The other horse is Fast Pace,who looks nicely progressive,is 2w-0p-4r over this trip and is 2w-1p-4r in fields of 9 or less.Its top rated on its most recent run and is 1/1 on soft ground.

Powder Hound is unexposed but returns after 135 days away from the track and will need to be at peak fitness on this ground.

Back Fast Pace 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-12pts)Weak in the betting and went out like a light at the 2f pole.

Monthly Total+89.60pts

Running Total+5807.43pts

17th September

515 Thirsk-White Noise is fairly unexposed and is respected while War Poet goes well here and should do so again but I think Next Edition is a touch of value.This horse ran really well in a competitive York Handicap last time and is just top rated on that,its won on the ground and is 1w-1p-3r when returning to the track within 14 days.

Back Next Edition 6pts at 7.6-UP(-6pts)Big Drifter pre race and never put it in the race.

450 Chepstow-I feel Princess Caetani should be at the top of the market rather than Rutherglen.Although the latter is unexposed at this distance,the selection is a very consistent animal whos been plying its trade at a higher level on its last 3 starts.It should appreciate the drop in grade(Class 4 2w-0p-6r) and the ground(Soft/Heavy 2w-1p-5r).

Astra Hall has a good profile,is a CD winner and will love the ground but my ratings suggest its needs to find 5Ibs to trouble the 2 mentioned.

Back Princess Caetani 9pts at 5.5  WilliamHill/Boyles-Won(+40.5pts)Won quite easily under a well timed ride.

Accept 4.5

635 Stratford-Joe the Rogue won a weak race last time on only its 3rd start over fences.You would think there could be more to come and this can hardly be described as a strong heat.Its clear top rated on that last run.

Al Alfa hasnt run for 185 days but has only had 2 chase starts.If its ready to go,it wont be far away.

Watch House won last time but has no form on easy ground.

Back Joe the Rogue 12pts at 4.0-3rd(-12pts)5 non runners and not a race I wouldve played in at the prices at the off.Another that never got into the race.(DT+22.5pts)

Monthly Total+101.60pts

Running Total+5819.43pts

16th September

310 Musselburgh-Every now and then,you think you have found one and im hoping this is one of those times.

Bowdlers Magic has got quite a bit of back class(Won class 2 & 3 hcps in the past),it probably isnt the horse it was but it now races off a mark 7Ib below its highest winning mark.

This horse has won all its races from June onwards,so its 3 below par runs early in the season are forgiven.It returned after 4 months off 10 days ago and finished 2nd, posting a solid rating in the process.What makes this performance more meritorious is that this horse has no history of going very well after a break.In fact it clearly prefers having a very recent run(14days or less 6w-3p-21r) compared to 0w-3-19r after 15 days or more,

Its 2w-1p-7r over this trip and 4w-4p-14r in fields of 9 or less and if you take its runs when returning to the track within 10 days or less in fields of 9 or less you get form figures of 1st-1st-6th-1st.

Its a massive price!

Jan Smuts is a course specialist but is up 2 grades(0w-0p-9r in class 4 & 5 races),Dr Irv is pretty solid but has to improve again.

Back Bowdlers Magic 13pts at 9.0 at Bet365-2nd(-13pts)Got the market run but this horse ran a cracker and if it had got out sooner,may have really gone close.

Ceiling Price 4,5

420 Brighton-Olney Lass loves it here(4w-0p-7r) and loves this time of year(September 4w-0p-6r).However its ratings at 6 furlongs are 20Ib below its ones at 7furlongs.

Jungle Bay hasnt won in this grade but otherwise looks fairly solid,Its the right price though.

Im no big fan of the jockey but Royal Reyah really interests me.Its at its best after a break(80 days or more 2w-2p-4r) and this is its trip(6 furlongs 3w-2p-7r),so its 2 runs over 7f before its break should be ignored.Its got form on soft ground and the jockey/trainer combination are 5/25 when teaming up.

Back Royal Reyah 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes/Skybet-UP(-7pts)Really well backed into 3.5 but started slowly and had no chance after.(DT-20pts)

Ceiling price 6.5

14th September

520 Lingfield-This is a very trappy conditions race where nothing has a stand out claim.

Set the Trend has Richard Hughes onboard and that must be the reason why its shorter than it should be,its also 0w-0p-4r when returning to the track within 14 days.

The Cheka is the right price and has a better claim than most as its dropped down to class 4 for first time in a while but its only 1w-5p-19r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Imtibaah ran a shocker last time and is also unproven over the distance but is somehow the market leader.

Mar Mar is the favourite on my tissue as it drops in class and ran well last time but it has no form on ground softer than good.

Grey Mirage has been better on the all weather so far but it does have a very good run on very soft ground last season.The last time we saw this horse it ran poorly,which may explain the 112 day absence.It has form fresh(1w-1p-3r) ,is 1 out of 2 over this trip and its raced in fields of 6 runners twice in its career,resulting in 2 wins!

Ideally,id like to see lots of rain and see this horse jump out,get the rail and make all.

Back Grey Mirage 6pts at 9.0 at Paddys-3rd(-6pts)Ran a really good race,just going down by half a length.

13th September

520 Sandown-Very competitve race but nothing has a really compelling profile amongst the market leaders.

Ishikawa has won over CD but has a doubt on the ground as has Siouxperhero,whos also up in class.

KickingtheLily is 0/11 on turf while despite this being its best time of year,Yojimbo is 0w-0p-4r at this track.

I think the First Post is a touch of value.A dual course winner,its fine with a bit of cut and a 4 time winner in this grade.

Take its runs at this track,on good or softer in this grade and you have form figures of 2nd,1st and 3rd.

Its trainer is 2w-2p-7r in the last 28 days,id be surprised if this doesnt run well.

Back First Post 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-Won(+48pts)Nicely backed and won easily

4.0 Bangor-Ballybough Gorta is rock solid and clearly the one to beat but the market realises this and if anything is a touch short.

Full of Joy is 0w-0p-5r over 3miles and is a hard ride,its too short a price.

The value is Lough Derg Way,whos 1/1 in September,the trainer is in good form(2w-2p-8r last 28 days) and is the one in the race with the most upside to it after just 3 runs over fences.This horse won twice over 3miles in the point to point field and I can see the step up to that trip bringing about more improvement.

Back Lough Derg Way 10pts at 4.5 at Bet365/Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-10pts)Another mover in the market but was never really jumping or travelling.(DT+38pts)

Monthly Total+105.10pts

Running Total+5822.93pts 

12th September

210 Doncaster-Pretty strong Group 3 with some in form,consistent types on show.

Annecdote is 4/4 over this distance and must run well while Maureen drops down to this class(2/2) after several runs in Group 1s,is another that should run its race and Winning Express is joint top rated on its last run.All of these horses are short enough however.

At a massive price,I have to have a bit on Nargys,in the hope that its recent poor form is due to running on unsuitably fast ground.

4 runs back,this horse posted the joint top rating here in a race at Royal Ascot.

It has encountered ground with soft in the description 3 times in its career and achieved finishing positions of 2nd(In a Group 2),1st and 2nd.

It may outrun its price for its in form trainer ,who has won this race in recent years.

Back Nargys 4pts at 15.0 at Ladbrokes/Paddys-Won(+47.6pts 2 Non runners)

510 Epsom-Lucky Di has a progressive profile and produced a decent rating when winning last time.Its trainer is 2w-1p-6r in the last 28 days.

The obvious danger is the Godolphin handicap debutante ,Mukhabarat,who obviously is fairly unexposed after just 3 runs.

Back Lucky Di 13pts at 6.0 at Paddys-UP(-13pts)Frustratingly,another horse this week that was well backed but clearly hasnt run its race.(DT+34.6pts)

Monthly Total+67.10pts

Running Total+5784.93pts

11th September

350 Uttoxeter-Social Realism has won 3 of its last 4 and looks progressive.It has form on fast and slow going,so wont mind if the rain comes.Its trainer has won with 6 of his last 16 runners.

Man of Leisure returns to hurdles after 2 falls over fences.If that hasnt left a mark then its not out of it

Dartford Warbler produced a career best rating last time but needs to improve again while Teak and First in the Queue both have chances but dont appear to have the porogression of the selection

Back Social Realism 12pts at 4.5-UP(-12pts)Backed into 3.0 and ran an absolute stinker,along with everything else so far this week.

10th September

350 Leicester-Livias Dream has been pretty consistent and looks sure to run its race.It has won in September in the past and that is very important on the flat at this time of year.

Hassle steps up in trip and needs to improve a bit for it.

Discay has a good record at 12f(3w-1p-6r) but is poor on galloping tracks like this one(0w-1p-5r) 

Probably the biggest danger is Nautilus who didnt show the expected improvement last time stepped up to this trip but still achieved a solid rating.The market is taking no chances with its price though.

Back Livias Dream 9pts at 6.0 at Ladbrokes-UP(-9pts)

Monthly Total+44.50pts

Running Total+5762.33pts

9th September

310 Huntingdon-Tangolan makes its handicap debut here after 3 runs in Ireland.On my ratings and Speed figures,it looks pretty well handicapped and is overpriced.

AlwaystheOptimist has progressed well as a chaser this summer but this is back over hurdles(career record 1/24) and its 9Ibs higher than its last run in this sphere.Its also 0w-1p-8r going right handed.

Tiny Tenor returns from a long absence for a new stable.If its the same horse it was,it should go well.

West Brit is 1/1 going right handed but it needs to step up a lot on its latest run.

Back Tangolan 13pts at 6.0 at Ladbrokes/Paddys-UP(-13pts)Hammered in the betting into 15/8 but went out like a light turning into the straight.Surprising and disappointing.

Ceiling Price 4.0

410 Huntingdon-Cap Elorn has 2 wins in its last 2 runs but this horse looks vulnerable.

0w-0p-5r going right handed.0w-0p-6r in class 4 races and 0w-0p-10r when returning to the track after 28 days or more.

It shouldnt be the price it is.

Lauberhorn is 1/1 at this track and the drop back in trip should suit.Chilbury Hill looks pretty solid and is the most likely winner.

The outsider of the field is FiftyoneFiftyone and I feel it has a better chance than the price suggests.

Its recent poor run was after a break when its clearly better after a recent run(Returned to the track within 14 days 2w-0p-3r),the run was also over 2m4(career record 0w-1p-5r) ,so the drop back in trip on a fast track like today should be ideal,I can see it running well and should be shorter than it is in the betting.

Back FiftyOneFiftOne 6pts at 8.0 at Paddys/Betvictor-3rd(-6pts)Got this totally wrong.The only thing I got right was the decision not to lay Cap Elorn.(DT-19pts)

Ceiling Price 6.0

8th September

345 Fontwell-If RepresentingCeltic is ready to go after its absence then it could prove a tough opponent,however its trainer hasnt had a runner over jumps for 221 days and is 0w-0p-9r in the last 3 weeks on the flat.

The Tracey Shuffle put up one of its better performances last time and is respected on that but it hasnt been very reliable in the past.

Guards Chapel produced easily its bests hurdles rating last time but needs to better it to win this while Della Sun is 2/2 over this trip and is probably the main danger to Chilworth Screamer,whos been pretty consistent and is the value in this.

Back Chilworth Screamer 5pts at 10.0 at Boyles-Won(+45pts)Really well backed into 4.5 and stayed on well.

520 Fontwell-Novikov had a promising start to its jumps career but completely lost its way and is now 37Ibs below its highest winning mark.Its latest run shows theres still some ability there and its clear top rated on that.If that wasnt a false dawn,it should have a fair chance here.The trainer is 33% with her chasers here which is encouraging and it has an unusual pattern in its profile where its 3w-1p-7r when carrying 10st13 or less,suggesting its not a very big animal.Its carries 10st6 today.

Chestnut Ben is a very consistent horse but form figures 2733332 this season shows its vulnerable.

Safe Investment is probably the other one with a chance(1w-1p-2r at the Track) as its one of the few thats shown recent winning form.

Back Novikov 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-UP(-10pts)Just got this all wrong.Chestnut Ben won easily whilst Novikov was never travelling or jumping.Will stay away from this horse.(DT+35pts)

Ceiling Price 4.3

Monthly Total+72.50pts

Running Total+5790.33pts

7th September

335 Kempton-Robin Hoods Bay has been a model of consistency and extremely progressive on the All weather for the last 2 seasons.It ran poorly last time but the rain softened ground wouldnt have suited and the horse is reported to have lost its action.

It is up in class but its 3w-1p-7r around this track and my ratings suggest,if back to its best,it shouldnt be the price it is.

Royal Empire is consistent and 1/1 in group 3 company and should run well.

There are horses in this that if back to their best(Main Sequence-Masterstroke-Prince Bishop) would go very close but there are doubts about that happening.

Back Robin Hoods Bay 5pts at 15.0-UP(-5pts)Never put in the race at any stage

Ceiling Price 10.0

505 Stratford-Bennys Quest is on a roll and will prove a tough opponent but im not sure there should be such a gap in prices between it and Synthe Davis.

The selection drops in class and is 4w-6p-14r in this grade.Tony McCoy takes the ride(2w-1p-4r on the horse),its 2/2 in the month of September and 4w-3p-13r on sharp tracks like todays.Providing the ground doesnt turn very soft,it should go close.

Try Catch Me is best at Fontwell and is only 0w-4p-16r in this grade.

Giant O Murchu has a chance on its run 3 starts back and Aidan Coleman is 20 wins/73 rides for this yard but its been well below par recently.

Back Synthe Davis 15pts at 4.5 at Bet365-3rd(-15pts)Beat the book as it went off 3.0 fav,so got that bit right.Thats where the good news ends however.(DT-20pts)

Ceiling price 4.0

Monthly Total+36.50pts

Running Total+5755.37pts

6th September

Todays selection was a non runner

5th September

430 Sedgefield-Quite a tight knit handicap but most have doubts against them.

Stormy Weather ran quite well on its return to hurdles but has never raced on good to firm ground and is pretty inconsistent.

Agent Archie is another who ran well last time but this horse looks better with a long break between its races.

Mount Vesuvius goes up 2 grades and may be up to it but it looks pretty short to me.

The value looks to be Lisbon,who showed a progressive,consistent profile until last time.That run is easily excused with it being its 2nd run in 24 hours on unsuitable rain softened ground.

Give this horse fast ground and a small field(8 runners or less) and its form figures are 1st,1st.

The good to firm ground and 6 runners should be ideal.

Hi Dancer looks right out of form but McCoy(2/3 on the horse) is booked and its 2w-1p-3r at this track,so it wouldnt be a massive surprise if it ran better.

Back Lisbon 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-2nd(-7pts)Nicely backed into 3.75 and ran a good race but just out done after the last

Ceiling Price 5.5

420 Salisbury-Indignant is solid here and should run well but im not sure there should be such a discrepancy in prices between it and Floating Along.The latter is an improving filly that hasnt been out of the 1st 2 in its last 6 starts.

Paul Hanagan is 24% when riding for William Haggas and this surely will run well.

Ghanaian is consistent and 1/1 over this course and distance but ive got it just a few pounds behind the 2 mentioned.

Back Floating Along 8pts at 6.0-3rd(-8pts)With Indignant a non runner,I thought this opened up for Floating Along but it had no answer when the first 2 went by.A poor run(DT-15pts)

4th September

210 Southwell-Nothing is solid here.Park Lane was in good form last time we saw it over fences but that was last season and it hasnt been doing much on the flat this summer.

Manger Management has an interesting profile(Returned to the track within 14 days 6w-1p-10r and 3w-1p-5r in September) However it just doesnt look the same animal these days.

Callhimwhatyouwant has probably the best recent form but is 0w-1p-9r in this class and looks better at shorter.

Points of View interests me.A good chaser 2 years ago,it was then off for over 500 days obviously due to injury.On its comeback run over hurdles(over a furlong further than todays trip) it ran well until understandably weakening late on.The trainer has then stepped it up to over 3 miles for its next 2 starts(both over hurdles) and its made no show.

Today,back over fences(Trainer 5/23 with his chasers here),at its best trip(2m4 3w-1p-5r) and in a field size it likes(0-9 runners 4w-4p-14r)

It may do better than the market predicts but I would like to see some money for this.

Back Points of View 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys/Skybet-2nd(-5pts)Bit of money for it and it stayed on after looking a little rusty but the winner won easily.

Ceiling Price 8.0

230 Bath-Course specialists everywhere here in a very competitve heat.

The best recent form belongs to Dreams of Glory and Annes Rocket.Both like it here and have a good record on firm ground,so should should both run well but their prices are right.

Kakapuka drops down a grade but hasnt run over this short a trip for 2 years,i would expect it to struggle to lay up.

At a very big price,I could see Crimson Queen running well especially if she can get an uncontested lead.

Its 2w-1p-6r at the track and 5w-1p-11r in fields of 9 or less.However if you look at races here,with a field of of todays size,it has form figures of 1st,2nd,1st.

Back Crimson Queen 4pts at 13.0 at Paddys-Won(+48pts)Sometimes you get it right and sometimes,really right! Backed into 3/1 and absolutely blew them to bits.(DT+43pts)

Monthly Total+71.50pts

Running Total+5790.33pts

2nd & 3rd September

No selections

1st September

350 Newton Abbot-My Mate Vinnie has lots to prove here.Its last 2 runs have been around 20Ibs below its best and its profile doesnt make good reading either.

0w-2p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

0w-2p-7r in this class of race and 0w-1p-7r on sharp tracks,it can only be McCoys presence thats made it the price it is.

The 2 course specialists look good here Lord Lescribaa has 4 wins to its name here and is 3/10 over 3m2f compared to 1/22 over shorter and Terfels Toscar (Newton Abbot 1w-1p-2r) has only had 5 runs over fences and there could be more to come.

Basil Fawlty is the other one that should run well with the first time hood on.

Lay My Mate Vinnie 30pts at 6.0-2nd(+30pts)The 3 horses I liked all ran poorly or fell but Western King got us out of jail.

*Cancel or trade out if Lord Lescribaa,Terfels Toscar or Basil Fawlty dont run*

455 Newton Abbot-Not that many that can be fancied and Bathwick Man should run well.It returned to form last time and if anything it should be better over this longer trip.Its got 6 career wins in this grade and is 2w-1p-5r at this track.Its also now 10Ibs below its highest winning mark.

Detroit Red looks the clear danger to me as a consistent horse that also goes well here(2w-1p-6r) but the selection has the better ratings.

Jigsaw Financial is 0/5 on sharp tracks(0/4 around here) and needs to find a few pounds to trouble Bathwick Man.

Back Bathwick Man 13pts at 3.85-2nd(Not Matched)

Days total minus commission+28.50pts

Monthly Total+28.50pts

Running Total+5747.33pts