30th September

520 Chepstow-Dont take me Alive represents the red hot Charlie Longsdon stable here.I respect its chance but its not a typical win machine from this yard and has questions on its profile to answer.0w-3p-9r in fields of 9 or less...0w-0p-7r when returning to the track within 29 days like today and 0w-3p-13r in this class of race.

I feel it is a favourite that has to be taken on.

This isnt a strong race though.Surprise Us and Midnight Thomas are both lightly raced over fences and may improve but they certainly need to.

Le Grand Chene has won around here and didnt run badly last time but it is 0w-1p-9r in this grade and 0w-0p-7r between August and November.

Bennys Quest is well handicapped and represents an in form but hasnt been at its best of late,so the value in the race looks to be IslandMagee,who should be favourite for me.

This horse has posted some consistent ratings.Some recent ones ,easily the best here and the yard had a double yesterday.Its been running over slightly further and this long straight should be ideal for it.

Back IslandMagee 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-Won(+35pts)Jumped well and stayed on strongly up the long straight.

Monthly Total+136.91pts

Running Total+7204.87pts

29th September

3.0 Newton Abbot-A 2 horse race for me.Lysino has only had the 1 run over fences,running well over a trip further than this.This drop in distance will suit and it should go close but it did struggle in this grade (Class 4 0w-1p7r)over hurdles.Its the right price in my opinion.

The one that isnt is Going Concern,whos improving after 3 races over fences and connections said after its win last time,it was always going to be a better chaser than hurdler.

Its 2 speed figures it posted in its last 2 runs are miles clear of this field and if running its race,it must be involved in the finish.

Amuse Me continues to tumble down the weights but also continues to disappoint.

Gud Day often posts decent ratings but prefers hitting the frame rather than winning(2 wins from 38 starts)

Back Going Concern 12pts at 4.5 at Betvictor/Corals(Accept 3.75)-Won(+42pts)Called the race spot on.Very pleased to finish the month in winning fashion.

Monthly Total+101.91pts

Running Total+7169.87pts

27th September

325 Market Rasen-I always like it when Jonjo O`Neill steps one of his horses up in trip and that is the case here with his Spoil Me.

This horse ran one of its better races last time(After being well supported in the market).The trainer has a 21% strike rate with his chasers here and if the extra distance suits then it should go really well.

Long Wave is very consistent and shouldnt be far away while Saddlers Deal makes its debut for Brian Ellison after winning a weak race last time.

Prince Des Marais hasnt won since 2011 and while it ran well last time over shorter,it has stamina doubts and is only 0w-1p-9r when returning to the track after 40 days or more.

Back Spoil Me 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies(Accept 7.0)-2nd(-6pts)  What can you say? Backed in from 7/1 into 9/4 and arrived at the last looking the winner but the horse just wouldnt go past the winner.

26th September

250 Worcester-Sublime Talent deserves to get its head in front and has a decent chance on the ratings in this race.

Its posted a series of consistent efforts but has been bumping into progressive,unexposed rivals of late.Its still 3Ibs below its last winning mark and it will be a surprise if it isnt involved in the finish.Its certainly a much bigger price than than the 2/1 on my tissue prices.

Dealing River could be another of those progressive rivals after winning last time and is 2 from 3 at this track but,it reappears under a penalty just 7 days later in a stronger race and at 6/4 generally,its short enough.

Surf and Turf on its best form has a chance but looks handicapped up to its best.

Nearest the Pin has the services of McCoy but needs to find some improvement from somewhere and is only 1 from 15 over fences.

Back Sublime Talent 10pts at 5.0 at Paddys(Accept 4.3)-4th(-10pts)Well backed but ran a shocker.Looked like either something was amiss or the horse has had enough for the time being.

530 Newmarket-The improving Moshe stands out here.Its clear on my figures and progressing.The trainer is in fine form and this big galloping track should prove ideal for a horse that stays a bit further.I would imagine Richard Hughes will have it very handy and make full use of its stamina.

Swordbearer steps up in trip for a trainer that has won this race 3 times in the last decade,its probably the biggest danger.

Back Moshe 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-5th(-12pts)Got the value again but just hasnt run its race(DT-22pts)

Monthly Total+65.91pts

Running Total+7133.87pts

25th September

450 Newmarket-Decent race but not that many you would say,turn up here in the best of form.

One that does is Master the World ,who produced its best career rating last time and takes a slight drop in class here.

It won its maiden on this card last year and with David Elsworths horses going very well,it should go close.

Billingsgate is progressive and looks the danger to me.

Back Master the World 10pts at 5.5 at Boyles(Accept 4.5)-UP(-10pts)Strong in the market but you have to be disappointed with this run.

545 Pontefract-For a horse thats 0 from 24 on the all weather,Men Dont Cry`s latest performance when finishing 2nd over todays trip at Wolverhampton was a career best.

Back on its favoured quick turf surface,anything close to that rating,would see it tough to beat.Its 4w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less such as this.

Saint Thomas has 5 wins on stiff tracks like this and is the clear danger.

Back Men Dont Cry 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-3rd(-10pts)Winner got an easy time of it in front and although it threatened coming into the straight,it just ran on one paced.(DT-20pts)

24th September

820 Kempton-Competitve race with several holding chances but Modernism catches my eye.

This horse is well handicapped now(5Ibs below its last winning mark) and is at its best on the all weather.

It drops in class here into a grade where its comfortable(Class 4 runs on the all weather read 1st-1st-6th-1st-5th).

Jim Crowley(1 from 1 on the horse)takes the ride and he has a 24% strike rate when riding for this yard.

Soul Intent is the early market leader but is unproven here and is 0w-1p-6r in this grade,so looks vulnerable.

Cousin Khee and Double Discount look bigger dangers.

Back Modernism 5pts at 12.0 at Betvictor/Skybet(Accept 9.0)-3rd(-5pts)Well backed into 5/1 but this wasnt a good ride.Buick was granted an easy lead on Soul Angel and made it count meanwhile Crowley had Modernism in last off a slow pace and it stayed on well but was never going to get there.

545 Perth-Its possible the unexposed Island Heights could improve past it but Solway Sam looks the most reliable to run its race here.

At the age of 11,its holds no secrets from the handicapper but has plenty going for it profile wise,including a good 3w-2p-11r record at this track.

Its 2w-1p-3r when returning to the track within 15 days and its young jockey has a form figures of 1st-2nd-1st when riding this horse.

Tico has run well on its last 2 starts but a record of 1 win from 36 starts is hardly inspiring.

Back Solway Sam 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-10pts)Ran a fine race but was beaten by a horse that the selection had beaten twice in its 2 previous runs :-(

315 Goodwood-Solid handicap form against potential here.Spacelab provides the latter and heads the market and you can understand why but whether it should be as short as 2/1 is another matter.Its trainer has won this 3 times in the last decade,so it has to be respected but looks too short to me.

Serena Grae looks rock solid to run its race and its possible that could be good enough.

This is a drop in class and its 2w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.It finished 2nd to a horse last time, that has followed up since.

King Calypso is improving but steps up 2 grades and the market has it about right.

Back Serena Grae 7pts at 7.0 at Corals/Ladbrokes(Accept 5.0)-Won(+42pts)Tough battling performance to get back up after the fav had headed it.(DT+27pts)

Monthly Total+107.91pts

Running Total+7175.87pts

23rd September

415 Beverley-The unexposed Tasmanian heads the market and while thats fair enough,it does need to improve for its move into handicap company.

Rangi Chase won last time but has been very inconsistent and doesnt have a great draw.Its got a bit on to follow up.

Space War is another with an ordinary draw and the trainer has been struggling for winners.

The value looks to be Shamaheart who represents a trainer that has won this race twice in recent years.

The booking of in form 5Ib claimer Kevin Stott could make the difference.

Back Shamaheart 6pts at 7.5 at Betvictor(Accept 6.5)-UP(-6pts)Had to be up with the pace in this and although it briefly threatened 3 out,it just couldnt get involved.

Monthly Total+80.91pts

Running Total+7148.87pts

22nd September

350 Hamilton-This is a tight little race where most of the horses,on their best form would hold some sort of chance.

Alexandrakollontai is the most consistent of the principles and deserved to be favourite on that alone but it is beatable.

Ventura Mist would have decent claims on its run 2 starts back but ran 7Ibs below that last time out while similar comments apply to Lady Frances.

The most unexposed horse in the field is Ridge Ranger,who has only had just 3 runs.

It was progressing nicely(including a win here on its debut) until a terrible run last time out at Chester.

I would always forgive a horse a bad run at that track and particularly as it was drawn in the widest stall and got badly hampered early on.

The price is big enough to see if it can get back on track.

Back Ridge Ranger 6pts at 8.5 at betvictor(Accept 7.0) -3rd(-6pts)Very weak in the betting but didnt run a bad race despite the saddle slipping.

21st September

No Selections

20th September

330 Newbury-Mecca`s Angel really looks to be improving and if fully recovered from her good win 10 days ago,will surely take the beating.

That win rating puts her 4Ibs clear of anything here and over this trip,shes pretty good(1st-1st-1st-2nd-2nd-1st-1st-4th)

The cut in the ground isnt a problem and if shes runs her race then she wins.

Take Cover has been pretty consistent and shouldnt be far away.

Justice Day posted a decent rating last time but that was over a furlong further.

Ladies Are Forever could have done without the rain.

Back Mecca`s Angel 14pts at 3.5(Already Advised)-(+26.25pts Non Runners)Shame about the non runners as they wouldnt have beaten the selection.

320 Catterick-Mambo Rhythm has suddenly found winning much easier since being fitted with a visor,however on my figures,this horse will need to improve a fair bit again to take this race.It has no easy task giving weight to the rest of the field.

Crakehall Lad should run well if proving as good as away from Redcar.

Scrafton is very lightly raced and could improve past everything but is dropping 3 furlongs from its win on its latest start.

Mighty Missile looks a touch of value to me.Its posted some consistent ratings and the first time cheek pieces could make the difference.

Back Mighty Missile 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Betfair sportsbook(Accept 5.0)-4th(-8pts)Heavily backed but just never got in the race.Not sure if it was a poor ride or the horse lacked tactical speed.(DT+18.25pts)

Monthly Total+92.96pts

Running Total+7160.87pts

19th September

440 Newbury-Absolutely So produced the best rating last time out and also the best topspeed figure in the race.

Its form figures over 7 furlongs on turf read 1st-2nd-1st.

Its the one to beat.

Safety Check and Lady Lara look the main dangers.

Back Absolutely So 13pts at 3.75 with various bookies(Accept 3.25)-UP(-13pts)Smashed into 6/4 but despite travelling well for the first half on the race,seemed to completely fold up.

424 Worcester-Hi Tide has been in good form over hurdles for a trainer that has sent out some winners on the flat recently.

It now switches to fences,off a lower handicap mark and may prove itself to be nicely handicapped if it handles the fences.

Temple Lord looks too short but is priced on its connections rather than what its been doing.

Ulis De Vassy is the main danger after a good run last time.

Back Hi Tide 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365/Betfair sportsbook(Accept 7.5)-UP(-6pts)Another that finished poorly after looking dangerous.

4.0 Newton Abbot-Im hoping the return to this track will spark Respectueux back to life.Its 2w-1p-3r at this course and anything close to its win here 3 starts back,gives it major claims.

The trainer has won with 2 of her last 6 runners.

Nikos Extra looks nailed on to run well but is around the right price while Boxer Beat has the ratings to figure but has only won 1 of its 62 starts.

Sublime Talent has been running well as had Gud Day both the latter finds it difficult to get its head in front.

Back Respectueux 5pts at 11.0 at Hills(accept 9.0)-UP(-5pts)Backed into 4/1 but went off fair too quick.Disappointing day especially with 2 of the 3 being well supported(DT-24pts)x

18th September

320 Yarmouth-Democretes ran well last time and achieved a good rating but has a poor strike rate(2/24) and hasnt won since 2011.It has to passed over at the price.

Red Refraction is the most likely to be involved in the finish with its consistent profile but its short enough at 9/4.

Little Shambles was below par at the weekend but that was over a mile on softish ground.

This horse wants 7 furlongs and its got a good record at the trip(2nd-1st-8th-6th-1st-1st).The 8th place came when it had the outside draw at Goodwood,which gave it very little chance and the 6th place was on very soft ground.Over this trip and on its favoured fast ground the figures become 2nd-1st-1st-1st.

Its very overpriced.

Back Little Shambles 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365(Accept 7.0)-UP(-6pts)Caught in a speed duel up front.Had no chance after that.

420 Yarmouth-Last Minute Lisa has been in good form all summer but will need a career best to win this.

Add to that,the fact that all its best runs have been on Undulating tracks(4 wins from 8 starts).I wouldnt expect it to run to its best on this galloping,flat track(0w-2p-8r)

It shouldnt be favourite in my view.

Placidia would be a good thing if it could match its latest all weather run but its still early days on turf,so it may yet produce the goods on turf.

The Ducking Stool won this last year and has 6 course wins to its name,its looks rock solid to run its race.

Archduchess is improving and still lightly raced and James Doyle is a good booking while Dutch Rifle has Ryan Moore on board(7/18 for the yard)

Lay Last Minute Lisa 20pts at 4.0(Lay upto 5.0)-2nd(Traded out due to non runner)Placidia won this easily.

*Cancel or Trade out if there any any non runners*

330 Pontefract-Correggio ran a poor race last time when a selection for us.I want to give it one more try as my ratings suggest,its ready to win.

If its to do so then it will surely be here at this track(Pontefract 2w-2p-6r) where its ran all its best races.It was consistent until last time and is a fair price.

Sophisticated Heir has been in fine form but looks like it needs the rain to arrive.If it does then its the danger.

Legal Waves broke its maiden last time and Fallon is 10 from 42 for the stable.

Cosmic Halo may prefer a bigger field but is 2 from 4 in September and is respected while Sellingallthetime has the ratings to figure but this is a rise in class for it.

Back Correggio 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-UP(-5pts)Just a poor run.(DT-11pts)

17th September

4.0 Yarmouth-Pretty tight race.Endless Credit represents the Cumani yard and shouldnt be far away while Qanan looks rock solid to finish in the frame.

Blighty looks slightly progressive but the yard are struggling for winners so at a big price,maybe Nullarbor Sky could bounce back at its favourite track.

It is 4 from 5 at this course and 4w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.Freddy Tylicki is 5 from 16 when riding for this yard.

It was below par last time but that may have been over a trip too far and it just looks the wrong price.

Back Nullarbor Sky 5pts at 13.0 at various bookies(Accept 11.0)-2nd(-5pts)Led everywhere apart from the final stride.Should I have tipped it each way..maybe but I understand why I didnt.So unlucky!.

350 Beverley-Mr Gallivanter drops in grade and after winning over hurdles last time,returns to the flat in top form.

Its rating 2 starts back gives it every chance and it may see out the trip on this stiff track better than some of these.

Leaderene is the obvious danger as its been very progressive although this is a rise in grade.

Gleese The Devil steps up in trip for its handicap debut and the betting will tell how fancied it is.

Back Mr Gallivanter 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-4th(-10pts)Leaderene done its own thing in front and was too good.The selection looked very one paced.

340 Sandown-Producer takes a drop in grade and could easily outclass these but its a short enough price for a horse thats lost the winning habit.

Emell is another that has the ratings to figure but is only 0w-1p-8r over this trip.

At a bigger price,Tenor has been progressing and has a consistent profile.Its 5w-3p-13r at this trip and 4w-2p-9r when returning to the track within 14 days.

It looks the value to me.

Back Tenor 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Always looked liked it needed niggling along but Kirby was brilliant on it to stay on strongly.(DT+25pts)

Monthly Total+109.71pts

Running Total+7177.62pts

16th September

515 Thirsk-Noble Alan was unsuited by the soft ground last time and will prefer this quicker ground.If it can return to the form when winning at Carlisle 2 starts back then its got every chance.

Its won around here,has won in September and the jockey is 2 from 5 for the yard.

The unexposed Ruwasi is well fancied but did flop last time.

Back Noble Alan 6pts at 8.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 7.0)-4th(-6pts)Race wasnt really run to suit and it wasnt best positioned when they kicked for home then didnt really get a clear run but the winner won well.

530 Yarmouth-Not sure about Rex Imperator being favourite here.Its been pretty inconsistent and is 0w-0p-4r in September.

There are several that at their best could win this but Royal Rock has won this race twice in the last 3 years(Course record 3w-0p-5r) and posted the best current rating of them all last time out.Its got 4 wins to its name in the Autumn and is 7w-4p-20r in fields of 9 or less.

Back Royal Rock 12pts at 4.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.0)-Won(+54pts)Weak in the market but it knows where the winning line is at this track.Won very easily.(DT+48pts)

6.0 Yarmouth-Its a bit of an in and out performer but Doctor Parkes could easily bounce back here.

It drops back into a grade where its a real force(Class 4 4w-1p-8r) and has 7 wins on fast ground.

The last time it ran in this grade(6 runs back)it won off a similar mark to this.

Green Monkey has 3 wins here and Vodka Chaser 2,they are both respected.

Back Doctor Parkes 6pts at 10.0 at Betvictor(Accept 8.0)-Non Runner(Wouldnt go in the stalls)

405 Sedgefield-Tight little race but Tregaro travelled and jumped well last time before flattening out near the finish.Back here at a track where its 2 from 2,it should finish its race off stronger and is the value call.

Sudski Star has been a winning machine and cant be discounted while Strumble Head will give it a good go from the front but looks weighted to its best.

Dunowen Point has the ratings to win this from a while ago but is very in and out these days.

Back Tregaro 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-Won(+42pts)Perfect ride from Brian Harding(DT+90pts)

Monthly Total+84.71pts

Running Total+7152.62pts

15th September

520 Brighton-Pastureyes should be at the head of the market.Ive got it top rated and progressing.

Its 1 from 1 at this specialist track ,2w-2p-5r over this trip and 2w-2p-5r in fields of 9 or less like this.

Captain Ryan is the one that does head the market but looks better at a furlong further and is 0w-0p-5r in this class of race.

Back Pastureyes 15pts at 3.75 at Bet365(Accept 3.0)-UP(-15pts)Hard to understand the result of this race or why the selection just never got involved.

14th September

455 Bath-Several in form horses and its possible that Hi Note has lost its edge a little but it ran pretty well last time over fences and back here,at its favourite track(Bath 2w-0p-3r) it could bounce back at a decent price.

Its been running over much shorter than this trip but its unbeaten over this distance(2 from 2) and is 4w-0p-11r between August and September.

Teak won over hurdles on its latest start but ive got it a few pounds behind some of these and shouldnt be favourite for me.

See and be Seen and Annaluna have been in good form and shouldnt be far away.

Back Hi Note 5pts at 11.0 at Bet365(Accept 8.0)-UP(-5pts)Got the race wrong,Teak won easily.

Monthly Total+9.71pts

Running Total+7077.62pts

13th September

305 Lingfield-Miracle of Medinah has spent the last 6 races in class 1 company and will surely appreciate this big drop in class.The last time it raced 2 grades lower like today,it won and is clear top rated on its 2nd place in listed company last time.

Its 1 from 1 in September and is 4w-1p-8r in fields of 9 or less.Ive got it a strong 5/4 on my tissue prices.

Patentar is quite unexposed but Dark Emerald,whos 1 from 1 here,looks the main danger.

Back Miracle of Medina 20pts at 3.5 at Ladbrokes(Accept 3.0)-UP(-20pts)Weak in the betting and ran as though something was amiss.Very disappointing.

340 Lingfield-Interception is respected but i couldnt have any horse ridden by Shane Kelly at short odds.

At a massive price,I can see Diamond Lady running well.

This horse looks to be very in and out but a closer look and a clear profile appears.

Take its efforts in fields of 9 or less and on fast ground like today and its form figures read 2nd-1st-4th-1st-1st-4th-1st.

Thats pretty good but if you take its runs in todays grade,it then reads 1st-1st-1st.

Its also possible that if Lady Horatia leaves it alone then Diamond Lady could get a solo in front.

Back Diamond Lady 4pts at 15.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-2nd(-4pts)Really well backed into 6/1 but just found the fav too strong.(DT-24pts)

415 Bath-This is pretty open and Alpine Storm looks overpriced for a trainer that has a 22% strike rate when he sends his runner on the long journey down here.

It ran a good race last time from the front and this is a drop in class.Its the value in a tight race.

Cornish Path looks the main danger although Picks Pinta is 1 from 1 here,it does return from a small break however.

Back Alpine Storm 7pts at 6.5 at bet365(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)Went off too fast(DT-31pts)

255 Chester-Marco Botti bids to win this race for the 2nd year running,with a horse (Energia Fribby)with a very similar profile.

This will be its first run for the trainer and its the highest rated horse in the race.The trainer is 21% with his older horses here.

Pinzolo looks the main danger after a good run last time while Sennockian Star looks better at shorter than this.

Back Energia Fribby 12pts at 4.5 at bet365(Accept 4.0)-Won(+39.96pts)(DT+8.96pts)

425 Doncaster-After just 6 runs,Mount Logan is still very unexposed for the in form Cumani yard.This trainer excels with this type of handicapper and I would expect it to continue to improve and should go very close here.

This horse has won in September and is 2w-1p-5r in fields of 9 or less.

This is quite competitve with Highland Castle,Mighty Yar,Forgotten hero and Im Fraam Govan all holding chances but the selection should be tough to beat.

Back Mount Logan 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-Won(+42pts)Hammered into 7/4 and stayed on strongly(DT+50.96pts)

Monthly Total+14.71pts

Running Total+7082.62pts

12th September

240 Doncaster-Estimate`s chance is there for all to see.Its officially rated the best horse in the race and the slight step up in trip will suit.

Its pretty close on my figures however and with Stoute`s horses running a bit in and out plus I think it needs the ground fast,it has to be swerved at 6/4

Times Up has won this race the last 2 years and comes here after its best run of the season.Its clearly an Autumn horse and must go close.

At a bigger price,Whiplash Willie finally gets the chance to run over a marathon trip,its always staying on at the end of its races and could easily improve for the extra distance .

It will like the big field(10runners+ 3w-1p-7r) and as long as the ground doesnt quicken up(It likes some cut),I can see it running a big race.

Back Whiplash Willie 7pts at 7.5 at Paddys/*Independent bookie Racebets are 8.0*(Accept 6.5)-2nd(-7pts)Ran a great race but just found Estimate too good.

250 Sandown-Gm Hopkins looks a talking horse from the Gosden yard.Its prominent in the betting for the big Cambridgeshire handicap and clearly has lots of potential.

It may be different class but until it proves it is(Particularly with the jockey having a 3% strike rate here) I like some value elsewhere.

Merry Me is progressing and has a better chance than the odds suggest.Its raced on turf with some cut in the ground so far but its sire loved fast ground,so it may improve for it.

Between Wickets improved for the application of a hood last time,whether that works again remains to be seen.

Back Merry Me 7pts at 7.0 at Corals(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-7pts)Gm Hopkins drifted from 2/1 to 8/1 and still won.Merry Me looked liked getting there 2 furlongs out but just flattened out near the finish.Very frustrating(DT-14pts)

10th September

455 Uttoxeter-This is pretty competitve and although the McCoy/O`Neill combo are flying,im not sure O`Callaghan should be favourite here.

Qoubilai and Tregaro finished 1st and 2nd to each other last time and shouldnt be far away in this.Particularly the latter,who won this race last year.

Unknown Legend made an encouraging chase debut and improvement on that would see it go close.

With a record of 0w-0p-5r going right handed,its perhaps no surprise River Purple didnt run up to its mark last time.

Back here,on its favourite track(Form figures over fences at Uttoxeter read 1st-2nd-1st-1st),i would expect a much better run.

Its best rating would see it go very close.

Back River Purple 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365(Accept 6.5)-UP(-7pts)Never got involved.Horse has probably lost its edge or had enough for the time being.

915 Kempton-Celestial Knight has a decent chance but whether it should be a 7/4 chance,is another thing.

So im keen to find a bit of value elsewhere.

Bennelong is very solid  over this course and distance(Form figures 1st-2nd-2nd-1st-1st) and I would expect it to run well despite a poor draw.

At a bigger price though,Lorraine could go well.Its looked a better horse on polytrack,so last times run can be excused.

The rating of its run 2 starts back,puts it right there and it is a course and distance winner.George Baker is a good jockey booking.

Back Lorraine 6pts at 9.0 at bet365(Accept 7.5)-4th(-6pts)Ran really well and looked the winner when bursting through a furlong out but got beaten no more than a neck by 3 horses.(DT-13pts)

9th September

455 Perth-Blue Ridge Lane reappears quickly after running well 3 days ago.That rating gives it strong claims in this very weak event.

Diamond Gesture isnt out of it,dropped back in trip but Alkali could be the biggest danger,on its handicap debut with Richard Johnson 4 from 9 for the yard.

It does have to step up markedly on what its done so far and has to defy an absence of 155 days.

Back Blue Ridge Lane 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-Won(+33.75pts)

630 Perth-Dynamic Drive has been running well of late but struggles in this grade(Class 4 0w-1p-5r),its 0w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less and the trainer has a poor 4% strike rate with his hurdlers at this track.

Dr Moloney should run well with the same jockey/trainer combination mentioned above and this CD winner,makes its handicap debut off a fair mark.

This is probably the more fancied of the stables runners.

City Line continues to run well and goes well here while Pulpitarian is inconsistent but on a going day, wouldnt be far away.

Obispo ran well last time and has a good jockey booking in Brian Hughes.

Lay Dynamic Drive 20pts at 5.0(Lay no higher)-2nd(Wasnt Matched\0

*Cancel or Trade out if Dr Moloney or Obispo dont run*

6.0 Perth-If a slow pace doesnt scupper its chance then surely I C Gold will win this.Its latest run puts it 9Ibs clear for a trainer thats 33% with his hurdlers here.

Richard Johnson takes the ride and is 6 from 19 for the yard.

Plan Again is the only conceivable danger.

I will put this up and hope we get a bit of 3.0 on Betfair(Currently biggest 2.75 at the bookies)

Its a 4/5 chance on my tissue.

I wouldnt put anyone off backing it at the current 7/4.

Back I C Gold 20pts at 3.0 on Betfair Exchange-Won(Wasnt Matched)The 7/4 was great value,I hope some took it.

Monthly Total-9.25pts

Running Total+7058.66pts

8th September

No Selections

7th September

240 Fontwell-Regal One took a heavy fall at the first a few days ago and the trip hasnt looked to suit in the past.Given that its 0w-3p-12r in this grade as well,its difficult to see why its 2nd favourite.

Ladfromhighworth is lightly raced and improving.Its a course and distance winner and is the one to beat.

Upton Mead has the form from last year to win if fully tuned up after an absence,it has won when fresh before.

Perfect Timing has posted consistent ratings and sholdnt be far away while Majy D`Auteuil has been struggling but us a duo course course winner.

Lay Regal One 20pts at 3.9(Lay upto 4.0)-UP(+20pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Ladfromhighworth.Upton Mead or Perfect Timing dont run*

415 Fontwell-The unexposed Halling`s Wish should go close here.Its finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 starts at this track and comes here after a good win on the flat 8 days ago.

It likes the fast ground and the Jamie Moore/Gary Moore combination are strong around this course.

Fourth Estate represents the Nicky Henderson yard(26% strike rate here) and is at its best fresh(80days+ 2w-1p-4r).Its a danger.

Get Home Now ran well last time but the winner disappointed badly next time out and this is horse is very inconsistent.

Marjus Quest won last time and has McCoy on board.Its likely to be involved in the finish.

Back halling`s Wish 10pts at 5.0 at Paddys(Accept 4.3)-4th(-10pts)Never got involved for another loser(DT+10pts)

Days total minus commission+9pts

Monthly Total-43pts

Running Total+7024.91pts

6th September

505 Stratford-It could easily be a repeat for last years winner Giant O Murchu in this.This horse has came back to form the last twice and is 2 from 5 at this track.

Its latest performance puts it just top rated and Aidan Coleman is 23 wins from 90 rides for the yard.

Gracchus is just behind it on the figures and is respected but does tend to lose its way at this time of year(July-September 0w-2p-12r).

Amuse Me is well handicapped but is going nowhere at present and is 0w-0p-5r at this track.

Back Giant O Murchu 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Another awful run

240 Haydock-On the figures,Ocean Tempest has an outstanding chance.This horse bounced back to form last time and is 9Ibs clear on that run.

Its a horse that once in form tends to post multiple good performances,the forecast morning rain will add to its chance and its 3w-1p-4r in the month of September.

Ive got it a strong favourite.

Captain Cat is respected for a yard that has won this twice in the last 4 years but it will do well to give 4Ibs to the selection and not on its favoured quick surface.

Short Squeeze is the danger after posting a career best rating last time,its 1 from 1 at this track and 3w-0p-4r in August and September.

Back Ocean Tempest 20pts at 4.3 at Stan James(Accept 3.5)-3rd(-20pts)Didnt get the rain I hoped for but got to be disappointed with this run.Terrible day again(DT-32pts)

5th September

335 Haydock-This is very competitve with several in form horses,none more so than Poyle Vinnie and Triple Chocolate ,who have both won their last 2 races respectively.

I would expect to see them involved in the finish once again.

Misplaced Fortune drops into a class it hasnt run in for a while and is respected while Free Rein is an improving 3yo.

Mishaal has been running consistently but not(ratings wise) to the level of those mentioned.Ive also got it as a better horse over an extra furlong.

Lay Mishaal 20pts at 6.0-3rd(+20pts)

610 Mussleburgh-Green Howard won well last time but it is 0w-1p-7r over this trip and 0w-0p-2r at this track.Ive got it around 8Ibs worse at this distance and it looks a vulnerable fav,

Chinese Jade is improving for Sir Mark Prescott,who has a 35% strike rate at this track.That horse just edged out Argaki last time and I can see both horses being there at the death.

Lockhart drops in class and wouldnt be far away at its best but Ralphy Boy loves it here(Musselburgh 2w-1p-4r) and is 4w-1p-14 in small field like this.

The drop back a furlong on softer ground probably didnt suit last time and it could run much better at a big price.

Lay Green Howard 20pts at 3.75(Lay upto 4.0)*Providing there are no non runners*-Won(Cancelled due to non runner)

Back Ralphy Boy 5pts at 15.0 at various bookies(Accept 12.0)-3rd(-5pts)Halved in price but just got collared inside the final furlong.(DT+15pts)

640 Musselburgh-Another good race but the very consistent First Experience looks overpriced.

It posted the top rating last time out,clocking a big speed figure and has conditions to suit.

Its 3w-1p-6r over this trip and 4w-2p-8r in fields of 9 or less.

Lady Frances drops in class,Joe Fanning chooses to ride this rather than Little Shambles and its at its best in small fields.It would be a big danger if granted an easy lead.

Meeting Waters is consistent but keeps finding one too good while Inxelles Diamond showed improved form last time out but that was at Epsom on heavy ground,its fast ground ratings are 9Ib worse,so im slightly dubious about that run/rating.

Back First Experience 7pts at 7.0 at Betvictor(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Not surprisingly drifted after all the rain.(DT+8pts)
Monthly Total-20.0
Running Total+7047.51pts

4th September

450 Salisbury-Decent race where the progressive Felwah has an obvious chance but is the right price in my view.

Remember is pretty consistent and wouldnt be out of it although it may prefer another furlong.

If Royal Seal came back to its best,it would have chances but its been below par the last twice and Shane Kelly riding,wouldnt be a positive for me.

Saucy Minx has been in consistent form most of the season and won well last time but may be a better horse at Goodwood.

The value for me is Tight Fit,whos a winner around here and represents an in form yard.Its latest rating gives it a better chance than the odds suggest.

Back Tight Fit 6pts at 8.5 at bet365(Accept 7.5)-UP(-6pts)And so it continues,probably the worst run ive ever had since starting this.This horse had the run of the race and looked a big danger 2 furlongs when clearly in front but somehow finished last!

2nd September

450 Carlisle-Correggio is a bigger price than I would have it here.Its been posting consistent ratings and has been running pretty well over further but now drops back to the trip it last won over.The booking of claimer Jack Garrity catches my eye ,taking off a handy 5Ibs that could well make the difference.

Jacob Black is 1 from 1 at this track but was below par last time for a trainer who has been a bit in and out of late.

An Chulain has been consistent but always seem to find something to beat it and its up in class today.

Back Correggio 12pts at 4.0 at Boyles/Corals/betvictor(Accept 3.75)-U/P(-12pts)Never looked like winning at any stage.An awful run!

520 Carlisle-Apart from handicap debutante Chilly Miss,the most unexposed horse in the field is Moon Over Rio,who posted its best rating last time when stepped upto this trip for the first time.That wasnt a strong race but nor is this and the trainer has won with 3 of his last 4 runners.

Saint Thomas and Vicky Valentine have similar chances but find winning difficult while Harrisons Cave hasnt passed the post in front since 2011.

Mitcd ran a little better than of late last time but has to prove its stamina leaving Chilly Miss as probably the main danger.

Back Moon Over Rio 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-3rd(-10pts)Ran a good race but chased a fast pace and after hitting the front,just weakened inisde the final furlong(DT-22pts)

1st September

No Selections