12th September

240 Doncaster-Estimate`s chance is there for all to see.Its officially rated the best horse in the race and the slight step up in trip will suit.
Its pretty close on my figures however and with Stoute`s horses running a bit in and out plus I think it needs the ground fast,it has to be swerved at 6/4
Times Up has won this race the last 2 years and comes here after its best run of the season.Its clearly an Autumn horse and must go close.
At a bigger price,Whiplash Willie finally gets the chance to run over a marathon trip,its always staying on at the end of its races and could easily improve for the extra distance .
It will like the big field(10runners+ 3w-1p-7r) and as long as the ground doesnt quicken up(It likes some cut),I can see it running a big race.
Back Whiplash Willie 7pts at 7.5 at Paddys/*Independent bookie Racebets are 8.0*(Accept 6.5)-2nd(-7pts)Ran a great race but just found Estimate too good.

250 Sandown-Gm Hopkins looks a talking horse from the Gosden yard.Its prominent in the betting for the big Cambridgeshire handicap and clearly has lots of potential.
It may be different class but until it proves it is(Particularly with the jockey having a 3% strike rate here) I like some value elsewhere.
Merry Me is progressing and has a better chance than the odds suggest.Its raced on turf with some cut in the ground so far but its sire loved fast ground,so it may improve for it.
Between Wickets improved for the application of a hood last time,whether that works again remains to be seen.
Back Merry Me 7pts at 7.0 at Corals(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-7pts)Gm Hopkins drifted from 2/1 to 8/1 and still won.Merry Me looked liked getting there 2 furlongs out but just flattened out near the finish.Very frustrating(DT-14pts)

No comments:

Post a Comment