5th September

335 Haydock-This is very competitve with several in form horses,none more so than Poyle Vinnie and Triple Chocolate ,who have both won their last 2 races respectively.
I would expect to see them involved in the finish once again.
Misplaced Fortune drops into a class it hasnt run in for a while and is respected while Free Rein is an improving 3yo.
Mishaal has been running consistently but not(ratings wise) to the level of those mentioned.Ive also got it as a better horse over an extra furlong.
Lay Mishaal 20pts at 6.0-3rd(+20pts)

610 Mussleburgh-Green Howard won well last time but it is 0w-1p-7r over this trip and 0w-0p-2r at this track.Ive got it around 8Ibs worse at this distance and it looks a vulnerable fav,
Chinese Jade is improving for Sir Mark Prescott,who has a 35% strike rate at this track.That horse just edged out Argaki last time and I can see both horses being there at the death.
Lockhart drops in class and wouldnt be far away at its best but Ralphy Boy loves it here(Musselburgh 2w-1p-4r) and is 4w-1p-14 in small field like this.
The drop back a furlong on softer ground probably didnt suit last time and it could run much better at a big price.
Lay Green Howard 20pts at 3.75(Lay upto 4.0)*Providing there are no non runners*-Won(Cancelled due to non runner)
Back Ralphy Boy 5pts at 15.0 at various bookies(Accept 12.0)-3rd(-5pts)Halved in price but just got collared inside the final furlong.(DT+15pts)

640 Musselburgh-Another good race but the very consistent First Experience looks overpriced.
It posted the top rating last time out,clocking a big speed figure and has conditions to suit.
Its 3w-1p-6r over this trip and 4w-2p-8r in fields of 9 or less.
Lady Frances drops in class,Joe Fanning chooses to ride this rather than Little Shambles and its at its best in small fields.It would be a big danger if granted an easy lead.
Meeting Waters is consistent but keeps finding one too good while Inxelles Diamond showed improved form last time out but that was at Epsom on heavy ground,its fast ground ratings are 9Ib worse,so im slightly dubious about that run/rating.
Back First Experience 7pts at 7.0 at Betvictor(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Not surprisingly drifted after all the rain.(DT+8pts)
Monthly Total-20.0
Running Total+7047.51pts

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