520 Chepstow-Dont take me Alive represents the red hot Charlie Longsdon stable here.I respect its chance but its not a typical win machine from this yard and has questions on its profile to answer.0w-3p-9r in fields of 9 or less...0w-0p-7r when returning to the track within 29 days like today and 0w-3p-13r in this class of race.
I feel it is a favourite that has to be taken on.
This isnt a strong race though.Surprise Us and Midnight Thomas are both lightly raced over fences and may improve but they certainly need to.
Le Grand Chene has won around here and didnt run badly last time but it is 0w-1p-9r in this grade and 0w-0p-7r between August and November.
Bennys Quest is well handicapped and represents an in form but hasnt been at its best of late,so the value in the race looks to be IslandMagee,who should be favourite for me.
This horse has posted some consistent ratings.Some recent ones ,easily the best here and the yard had a double yesterday.Its been running over slightly further and this long straight should be ideal for it.
Back IslandMagee 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-Won(+35pts)Jumped well and stayed on strongly up the long straight.
Monthly Total+136.91pts
Running Total+7204.87pts
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