31st December

220 Warwick-Samurai Way has put up 2 solid efforts since returning from injury and should go well.The stable is firing in the winners and this horse is 1 out of 1 when returning to the track within 14 days.

Roseneath is the main danger as it stays much further and gets McCoy on board(1 win from 12 rides for the yard),however it hasnt won in this higher class for 2 years.

Wood Yer ran better last time but very soft ground wont help it and the same comments apply to Elite Beneficial,who`s still waiting for its first career win.

Badgers Cove price surprises me.It looks very short for a horse that ran poorly last time,isnt proven on soft and is 0w-0p-4r going left handed.

Back Samurai Way 13pts at 3.75 at Boyles-3rd(-13pts)Uninspiring end to a reasonable winning month

Monthly Total+115.40pts

Running Total+5922.50

30th December

12.20 Haydock-Nicene Creed has produced 2 solid efforts in its last couple of runs and a reproduction of either will see it go close here.

Its 2w-0p-8r in fields of 9 or less and looks the value in this.I have it as 5/2 in my tissue.

American Life has a chance on its most recent run while Amore Mio should be about with its trainer in such good form.

Clouding Star may appreciate the 3 miles on very soft ground and may improve for it.

Back Nicene Creed 9pts at 6.0 at Paddys-UP(-9pts)Didnt hurdle very well and just didnt get into it.

Accept 5.5 

355 Haydock-Only 3 that can be seriously fancied.No No Bingo would have a very good chance if it was a chase and it had a recent run.

However it returns after an absence and its record after a break is ordinary(80days+ 0w-1p-3r) while this is its first hurdles run for nearly 2 years.

Teochew should run well.Its 2nd on my ratings and proven over trip and ground but Dundee should surely be clear favourite in this.

Top rated on its latest run(The third upheld the form by running a stormer on Boxing Day) and as its only had 5 runs,theres surely more to come.

Back Dundee 13pts at 3.75-UP(-13pts)Similar to the above.

1250 Haydock-Gauvain looks far too short to me in this.Its consistently put up ratings over 10Ibs behind the principles here and hasnt won for 2 years.

Baby Run ran a superb race on its seasonal debut last time.If this veteran doesnt bounce on its second run back then it has strong claims.

Its 2w-1p-3r around this track and 5w-4p-9r on soft/heavy ground.

Gansey should follow it home.This horse also likes it here and small fields(5w-2p-14r)

Charingworth should be the other to fill the frame.

Lay Gauvain 20pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)Had so many lays just not quite get matched,very frustrating.(DT-22pts)

*Cancel or trade out if Baby Run,Gansey or Charingworth dont run*

29th December

325 Doncaster-Theres a few improving hurdlers in this.Tara Muck makes its handicap debut and just a little improvement will see it go close.

Favourite Girl is another gradually improving but looks short enough in the betting to me while Entertain Me ran well over fences last time and if the same back over hurdles,will go well.

The value to me though is Iron Butterfly,who ran pretty well last time,achieving a very competitve rating and a good speed figure.

The only horse in that, to race again since that has come out and won plus the step up in trip should prove ideal.

This should be more around 5/1 mark.

Back Iron Butterfly 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365-Won(+60pts)Looked beaten but absolutely power packed finish saw it get up near the line.About time!

Accept 10.0

105 Kelso-Polarbrook and More Equity have a big doubt on the ground.while Or De Grugy despite being a 5 time winner around here needs to improve on its latest 2 starts.

Fog Patches has its ideal conditions but needs to come on a lot for its seasonal debut.Its trainer has a surprisingly poor record here(4wins from 59 runners)

This leaves Farm Pixie,whos only had 2 starts over fences and both starts saw a good progression in its ratings.This horse is still unexposed as a stayer unlike the rest of the field.

The horse that finished just behind it last time,came out and won yesterday also the trainer has come into form.Shes also 4 from 18 with her chasers here.

Back Farm Pixie 12pts at 4.0-3rd(-12pts)I had the impression this was going to be a better chaser than hurdler but im really not sure now.Never really looked like taking a hand.(DT+48pts)

Accept 3.75

210 Kelso-Mr Utah has only had 6 runs and still unexposed over this distance,it should run well.

Romany Ryme has been very consistent and top rated on its latest run.With trip and ground ideal,it must go close.

Quel Elite came back to form last time and if backing up that effort,will be in the frame.

Bescot Springs returns to hurdles after losing its way over fences and at its best,isnt out of it while Dickie Henderhoop has been very consistent of late.

Jack Albert won last time at Musselburgh on good ground.Its not as good going this way round(L/H 0w-0p-9r) and the ground is a concern(Sires progeny 10% on it)

Lay Jack Albert 20pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)So close to getting matched last night(I did do it in running to be fair) but drifted throughout the day.Will go down on the account as not matched though.

Monthly Total+150.40pts

Running Total+5957.50pts

28th December

125 Catterick-Milan Royale looks like it should go well here.Top rated on its last run when winning over course and distance.

2w-0p-5r in fields of 9 or less and 2w-0p-3r when dropped into class 5 races like this.

River Purple hit form last time on its 2nd chase start.Its got a chance on that but needs to improve again and its never been the most consistent.

Pistol Basc isnt out of it on its last 2 ratings but tends to lose form this time of year(December to March 0w-1p-15r)

Moonlight Maggie has only had 1 run over fences and may be capable of better.

Back Milan Royale 12pts at 4.5 at Skybet-UP(-12pts)Really well backed but was never travelling at any stage.

Accept 4.0

225 Catterick-Big Water is probably slightly better on better ground but its won 2 races on soft ground and based on its chase debut,it should hold a very good chance here.

Its 1w-1p-2r at this track,2w-2p-6r in fields of 9 or less and 3w-2p-8r over this trip.Clear top rated with possible improvement to come.

Surprise Vendor is the main danger as a consistent animal thats fine over the trip and ground.

Back Big Water 17pts at 4.0-3rd(-17pts)Really disappointing run despite looking threatening at one stage(touched 1.9 in running) it was very one paced in the straight.(-29pts)

Accept 3.0 

115 Newbury-Denali Highway is the one to beat but its the right price and I cant bring myself to support an Andrew Thornton ridden horse again anyway.

Howards Legacy will love the ground but does step up in trip and will need to get every yard in these conditions.

Shaking Hands and Restless Harry both go best on heavy ground but are both wildly inconsistent.At their best,they would hold chances but its difficult to know what they will produce.

Financial Climate is pretty consistent and should run its race for its very in form trainer(Won with 3 of his last 4 runners).

Its also 2w-0p-3r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Back Financial Climate 7pts at 7.0-Won(+42pts)Somehow touched 110s in running.(DT+13pts)

235 Chepstow-Ive been waiting for Well Refreshed to run on very soft ground again.This horse was a very progressive staying chaser last season and returned to good form last time at Sandown on good ground.What was encouraging about that run is that this horse is much better going left handed(5 win from 12 starts compared to 0 from 8 going right handed).

4w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 28 days and its record on Soft/heavy ground over 3miles+ is 1st-1st-1st-Fell.

Vintage Star is respected on its last run but it may be better in a smaller field.

Goonyella will stay and is fine on the ground.

Back Well Respected 7pts at 9.2-PU(-7pts)How do you explain a run as bad as this?(DT+6pts)

Accept 8.0

110 Lingfield-Dubai Hills has a fantastic record at Southwell(7wins from 8 starts) and it was no surprise when it won there last time over a furlong shorter than today.Its only 2 wins from 42 starts everywhere else and is 0 from 4 on polytrack(Nearly a stone inferior on my ratings).

This is its first run at this track and its possibly slighter better at 7 furlongs.It looks priced up on its fibresand efforts rather Polytrack.

Loyalty is nailed on to run well.Its the only course winner in the field and is 4w-4p-10r when returning to the track within 7 days.

Galician drops down to handicap company and must have a good chance with Adam Kirby(11 wins from 45 rides) riding for Mark Johnston.

I think Clockmaker will run better here stepping back up to a mile while Birdman looks like it wants this trip now.

Lay Dubai Hills 20pts at 6.0 -3rd(+10pts Only Partially matched)(DT+16pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Loyalty,Galician or Clockmaker doesnt run*

Days total minus commission+15.2pts

Monthly Total+102.40pts

Running Total+5909.50pts

27th December

110 Leicester-This looks a good opportunity for Stow.,who has spent most of its career operating at a higher level than this.Its 1w-1p-2r when dropping down to this grade and with being a horse at its best on soft ground,it should go very close.

Belle De Fontenay is probably the main danger and its very much at home in this grade(Class5 5w-1p-10r)

Woody Waller,Going Wrong and Sublime Talent all come here over hurdles after losing their way over fences.

Back Stow 18pts at 3.25(Accept 3.0)-Won(+40.5pts)By a distance!!!

140 Leicester-The Chaser is no good thing and does have negatives in its profile but it really shouldnt be the price it is here.It came back to life last time for its in form trainer and if backing that up,could outrun its price.

Theres nothing really solid in this and Good Order looks far too short considering it has no great record fresh(80 days+ 0w-1p-3r).Oh Crick is 0w-0p-5r over this trip while Glens Boy returns to the track after 600 days off.

Tafika has a chance on last seasons best but is 0w-1p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Back The Chaser 6pts at 8.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-6pts)Nicely backed and moved into contention 3 out but just couldnt go with them.(DT+34.5pts)

340 Kempton-I cannot let Tidal Way go unbacked here.All 3 starts this season its put up solid ratings and handled the ground last time.The very inform 3Ib claimer could make the difference for a trainer that had a treble yesterday.

Snake Eyes represents top connections and if it stays strong in the market will probably run well but on what its done so far,it has to improve.

Vibrato Valtat should run well but does tend to place more than win.

Back Tidal Way 3pts at 19.0 at Betvictor-3rd(-3pts)Had every chance 3 out but was one paced.(DT+31.5pts)

Accept 15.0

215 Wetherby-Great little race but the unbeaten Novice Chaser King Of The Wolds should go really well.I really respect this trainer and he never overfaces his horses,so the fact that he drops it back to 2miles,in a race like this may even see it improve.The trainer has had 3 runners in this race in the last 10 years and won with 2 of them.

Majala normally runs well fresh but ran a little below its best first time out but if bringing its best here,should be the main danger.

Wilde Pastures needs to really step up on its seasonal reappearance while im not sure about Pepite Rose after an absence(80days+0w-1p-4r)or on the ground.

Back King of the Wolds 16pts at 3.25-2nd(-16pts)Probably got involved in a battle for the lead and paid for it in the straight.(DT+15.5pts)

Days total minus commission+14.5pts)

Monthly Total+87.20pts

Running Total+5894.30pts

December 26th

325 Wincanton-Last Shot is the obvious one here but its never ran on heavy ground before.I can see Falcon Island running better than of late as its been running over a trip its never won at and now drops back to 2miles,where all its best ratings are.

Back Falcon Island 6pts at 11.0 at Betvictor(Accept 9.0)-4th(-6pts)

415 Wolverhampton-

Lay Fresa 20pts at 4.0-Not Matched

*Cancel or Trade out if Odin,Singzak or Magnolia Ridge dont run*

1245 Towcester-Wide open race.Billybo will love the ground and the very consistent Kilvergan Boy,despite throwing away victory last time,deserves another go at a big price.

Back Kilvergan Boy 5pts at 13.0-2nd & Billbo 5pts at 13.0-4th(-10pts)Both traded much shorter in running before weakening in pretty extreme conditions.

230 Towcester-Trozulon makes its debut for Venitia Williams after 601 days off.Difficult to assess accurately but if its not spot on then these conditions will find it out.

Hes the Daddy stays and handles this ground.It should run well.

Back Hes the Daddy 9pts at 5.5-Won(+22.5pts Non Runners-Settled at 3.5)(DT+6.5pts)

305 Towcester-Bill The Lad moved into handicap company last time over CD and produced easily the best rating here.

ToDareIsToDo is the main danger.

Back Bill The Lad 13pts at 4.0(Accept 3.75)-3rd(-13pts)Touched 1.3 in running(DT-6.5pts)

310 Kempton-If reproducing its last run the Cue Card should take the beating here.

Back Cue Card 11pts at 4.5 at Betvic/Skybet-2nd(-11pts)Touched 1.1 in running.(DT-17.5pts)

320 Fontwell-Alteranthela is one of the only ones in any sort of form and should go close.

Cypress Grove runs well here and may be the danger.

Back Alteranthela 14pts at 3.5-Won+30pts Non Runners)(DT+12.5pts)

115 Sedgefield-Elsafeer takes on a bunch of exposed horses here and may have the improvement in it to take this.

Back Elsafeer 8pts at 6.0-UP(-8pts)Ran no sort of race at all(DT+4.5pts)A lot of work today for very little reward.

305 Sedgefield

Lay Alpha One 20pts at 6.0-Cancelled

*Cancel or Trade out if Palos Conti,Brieryhill Boy or Ruby Bay dont run*

Days total minus commission+3.5pts

Monthly Total+72.70pts

Running Total+5879.80pts

22nd December

330 Lingfield-This is a very weak race and it wont take much winning.None of the more exposed horses have a compelling profile and the unexposed Chiltern Secret interests me.

This horse ran 3 times over further last season for a different trainer.It has now joined excellent sprint trainer Dean Ivory who has dropped it back in trip for its handicap debut and books Robert Winston for the ride(7wins from 26 rides for the stable).

It wont have to be any amazing to take this and id certainly like to see some market support for it.

Back Chiltern Secret 5pts at 9.0 at Hills-UP(-5pts)8/1 into 3/1...finished last!

Accept 8.0

110 Bangor-This trip will take some getting today in these conditions.Allerton steps up to 3miles for the first time and it should suit it although the market has its price a bit shorter than mine.Goodtoknow has a good chance but theres no value in its price.Wayward Glance is improving but needs to again and had a hard race only 7 days ago while Samurai Way isnt  a certainty on the ground

At a massive price and despite not having the improvement in it that the others have,Mortimers Cross will love these conditions(Soft/Heavy 5w-5p-20r),Its gone well fresh before(80days 2w-2p-7r) and the last 2 times it ran in this grade,it won them both.

If its fit and ready to go,it may outclass these.

Back Mortimers Cross 4pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-4pts)Ran well for a long way and traded down to 2.5 but then fell in a hole.(DT-9pts)

Monthly Total+69.20pts

Running Total+5876.10pts

21st December

12.0 Haydock-Zaplamation has won its last 2 but on my ratings,it wants better ground than it is going to get today.It needs to improve again anyway and I doubt that is going to happen in todays conditions.

Bobs World looks very solid and is clear top rated on its latest run while Leviathan hasnt had many hurdles starts and should be in the mix on ground it will like.

Smadynium should also go close and this is its time of year(Nov-Jan 3w-2p-5r)

Lay Zaplamation 20pts at 6.0-Non Runner

*Cancel or trade out if Bobs World,Leviathan or Smadynium dont run*

150 Ascot-Pendra is the obvious starting point here with McCoy on board and having won both its chase starts but its potential has been completely factored into its price.It needs to seriously step up on what its done so far,thats not to say it wont but its far too short.

Grey Gold steps into handicap company for the first time after only 4 runs over fences and looks to have got in on a decent mark.This horse revels in very soft ground and is 2w-0p-4r in this grade.

This is also Jamie Moores only ride of the day

Back Grey Gold 9pts at 7.0 at Hills-3rd(-9pts)Another place finish.Ran well and beat the fav.No idea how the front 2 beat it as they had a lot to do on my ratings but thats how its been this week.

Accept 5.0

20th December

120 Uttoxeter-Ratify does have some negatives in its profile.Its always been a bit in and out and has done most of its racing going right handed but its rating it produced last time is superior to anything its rivals have produced and therefore has to be supported.

That was on just its 2nd start since joing Dai Burchells stable and if it can back up that run then it will go very close.

Stormhoek has only managed 14 runs in its career despite being an 8yo.It returns here after 491 days absence.I doubt it will want for fitness as its such a fragile animal obviously but it does have a career high mark to contend with.

Russe Blanc has been quite progressive of late but needs to take a step forward again while Hollins,despite being consistent,has only won 1 of its 27 jumps races.

Back Ratify 12pts at 4.5 at William Hill/Paddys-2nd(-12pts)Very weak in the market but ran a fine race.Hollins decided to put its best foot forward today unfortunately.

255 Uttoxeter-Quite a lot of dead wood here and it looks a good opportunity for the unexposed What a Good Night.This is a consistent horse that is clear top rated on its last run when falling late on in a better race than this.The winner of that race has gone on to win twice since,so the form looks strong.

It has never raced on very soft ground but encouragingly its sire has a 23% strrike rate on heavy ground,so hopefully there should be no concerns on that score and its trainer has had 3 winners from his last 11 runners.

Dark Glacier is very inconsistent but if on a going day,is probably the main danger.

Rocky Bender hasnt had that many runs for Venetia Williams but needs to find lots of improvement while Black is Beautiful may improve for its chasing debut.

Back What A Good Night 15pts at 4.3 at Paddys-PU(-15pts)Dont know why but ran no race at all.Another Poor Day!(DT-27pts)

Accept 3.5

Monthly Total+87.20pts

Running Total+5894.30pts

19th December

210 Towcester-O`Callaghan Strand is a bit in and out and could not be described as well handicapped.Its surprising to see it as favourite although thats probably due to its connections.

Who Owns Me has only had 2 runs over fences and progressed on its 2nd outing.This horse is 3w-0p-6r in this class,3w-0p-7r  in fields of less than 9 runners and 2w-0p-4r in December.

Present To You ran well last time and that run puts it right there,if it can improve again to match last seasons best rating then it will go very close while Armedanddangerous is 1/1 here and 3w-0p-4r when returning to the track within 40 days.

Gorgeous Lliege has ran here 3 times and finished 1st-2nd-1st.Track form around here is a massive plus and its another who should run very well while Smart Exit,although 0w-0p-6r going right handed,if returning to the form 2 starts back when 2nd over this trip then it wont be far away.

Lay O`Callaghan Strand 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.0)-Non Runner

18th December

140 Newbury-Unless Sonofagun really improves on its chase debut by nearly a stone then this race looks at the mercy of Mr Muddle.

This horse has only had 4 runs over fences and each has seen a progression in its ratings.It likes small fields(0-9 runners 3w-2p-9r) and is proven in this class of race(3w-5p-12r)

Anything close to its latest performance should be good enough.

Chestnut Ben is consistent but is also very beatable particularly so in this grade(Class 4 0w-3p-9r)

Osmosia won last time over hurdles and is rated higher over fences but needs to find more to take this and has always struggled in this grade(Class 4 0w-2p-18r)

Back Mr Muddle 20pts at 3.25 at Bet365/Paddys-UP(-20pts)Very disappointed this didnt win.They gave the winner under McCoy an easy lead but it was right there 3 out but nearly took the fence with it and lost all chance.

Accept 3.0

17th December

110 Catterick-Im keen to take on favourite Lord of Drums here.Although this horse is just top rated on its last run,it looks like a classic `Rest Pattern animal`.Whereby it needs a break inbetween its races and if it doesnt get the required rest then it runs below par.

After a break of 29 days or more its record is 3w-1p-6r,however today it returns to the track just 8 days after its win last time and when returning within 28 days or less its only 0w-1p-9r.

It achieving a similar rating to its latest run look debatable to say the least.

There arent that many however,that look like they could take advantage.Bobs Dream is getting on a bit now but should go well for its in form trainer but I like Jim Tango.

All its 5 career wins have been in single figure fields like this one,Its won at this track and Paddy Brennan is 1 from 3 for this yard. 

Back Jim Tango 7pts at 7.6-UP(-7pts)Shame the field wasnt stronger as a Lay of the fav was probably the logical call but easy with hindsight.

Accept 7.0

150 Fakenham-Theres no doubt that The Thirsty Bricky is ready to win again but the price is no bargain as it that probably needs softer ground and for a horse that seems to always get outpaced at some point in its races,the drop in trip around this very tight track doesnt seem the most obvious move.

The other short priced runner is Highbury High,who was beginning to progress until unseating its rider last time.These fences are never easy and this horse is 0w-0p-7r on sharp tracks like this and 0w-1p-9r going left handed.

I feel the front 2 in the market may be vulnerable.

San Telm has only had 1 run over fences and it wasnt very good but on its best hurdles ratings it wouldnt be far away and the trainer does very well here(6 wins from 20 runs)

Flaming Gorge has run well fresh before but will need to return an improved horse to win as its a few pounds behind on my ratings.

I dont fancy Epee Celeste at all so that leaves Thats the Deal.

This horse looks like it may have gone but it has bounced back from a spell in the doldrums before,especially here at its favourite track(Fakenham 3w-1p-6r).

It won here last March after 2 pulled up runs and a well beaten fourth.The trainer had his first winner for a long while when just denying us on Sunday at Southwell and if that signalled a return to form for the yard then the price is just too big to miss.

Back Thats the Deal 4pts at 19.0 at Betvictor-2nd(-4pts)Traded at odds on and ran really well but the well backed winner really came home strong.(DT-11pts)

Accept 11.0

16th December

No Selections today

15th December

1255 Southwell-This is a very ordinary race and really wont take much winning.Oscar the Myth is the one thats difficult to assess as it returns to the track after over 500 days absence.Its been put in at a tight price as it probably has more potential than the others but whether it can realise that today after such an absence,im not sure.

On what it was doing 2 years ago it needs to improve and as it always does with these sort of horses,the betting will tell its tale.

Timpo needs to come on a fair bit for its poor seasonal debut but it does have some ratings from last year that make it competitive.

The safest option looks to be Kilvergan Boy,who was unluckily brought down when a selection last month.Its probably slightly better going right handed but in these sorts of races there will always be negatives.This horses consistency could easily be good enough.

Back Kilvergan Boy 7pts at 6.0-2nd(-7pts)Well..not sure if ive had a horse beaten at 1.03 in running before but it happened here.Pushed into the lead at the last and curled up.Unbelievable!

Accept 5.5

120 Carlisle-Very competitive race and the best race of the day.Lie Forrit looks sure to run well and is a solid market leader,there are no holes in its profile but its the right price.

Kaki De La Pree is unexposed and makes its handicap debut but it needs to improve and is a tight enough price.

Trustan Times looks shorter than it should be as its been below par so far this season and is 0w-0p-3r going right handed.

You would have to respect Pineau De Re as its trainer has sent it a long way but Our Joey looks a bigger price than it should be.It ran well on its handicap debut last time behind Cyrien Star(That won easily on Friday) achieving a rating that see it go very close while its 2w-0p-3r when returning to the track within 28 days and is 2w-1p-3r going right handed.

Its price should be nearer the 4/1 mark.

Back Our Joey 6pts at 10.0-4th(Wasnt Matched)

Monthly Total+135.20pts

Running Total+5942.30pts

14th December

135 Doncaster-Although Ranjaan came back to form last time,im not sure it deserves to be favourite in a hot handicap like this.Nothing that ran in the race it won last time has done anything since and it will need to find a few pounds improvement from that run to win.This horse has also done all its winning on right handed tracks(LH 0w-1p-4r)

Franciscan has only had 3 runs over hurdles and is very progressive while Purple Bay is also improving with every start for a trainer thats 6 out of 14 with his runners here.

It would be no surprise if Makari bounced back after running on ground too soft last time while Ruler of All has the ratings to go very close.

Robbie is 1/1 here and returns to hurdles after 2 wins over fences,it shouldnt be far away.

Lay Ranjaan 20pts at 5.5-UP(+20pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Franciscan,Purple Bay or Robbie dont run*

240 Doncaster-Off the Ground is respected for a trainer that does well here .However it hasnt posted a decent topspeed figure as of yet and is short enough in the market.

Nadiya De La Vega is dropped in class for its powerful stable and if backs to its best after a disappointing seasonal debut then it will go close.I do though,have this horse down as one who is best fresh.It also looks short enough in the betting.

Claragh Native is a surprisingly big price considering its posted 2 good competitve ratings in both starts since joining Martin Todhunters stable,added to that its posted identical good topspeed figures in both races.It shouldnt be the price it is.

Back Claragh Native 7pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-7pts)Really poor run with its jumping falling to pieces(DT+13pts)

Accept 6.5

230 Lingfield-The key to this race is what is going to run its race.Knight of Pleasure beat Dolatulo last time but that horse is best after a long break(Today only 27 days) and is 0w-0p-4r when returning within 28 days.

Key to the West has done all its winning in novice hurdles and the last time it ran in a handicap it was beaten off an 8Ibs lower mark.

Kuilsriver looks to have been put in a carefully short price by the bookies.They are possibly anticipating the money coming so it will be interesting to see which way that goes.On my ratings it needs to improve.

All this leaves us with Dolatulo,who looks nailed on to run its race,for an inform trainer and in its favoured small field(0-9 runners 4w-3p-9r)

Back Dolatulo 8pts at 5.5 at various bookies-Won+(36pts)Well backed and won easily(DT+49pts)

Days total minus commission+48.25pts

Monthly Total+142.20pts

Running Total+5949.30pts

13th December

120 Bangor-Present View looks very progressive and is clear top rated with the possibility of more to come.Its 1w-1p-2r in this grade and hails from a stable that has been going well.

Hayjack is the clear danger despite falling on its chase debut,its trainer does well here but it does need to not only jump better but also improve to beat the selection.

Back Present View 18pts at 3.25 at Betvictor-2nd(-18pts)Disappointing to beat Hayjack easily,only to get run out of it close home by a horse it had already raced past.Possibly didnt quite get home?

12th December

2.0 Huntingdon-Riverside Theatre has just undergone a wind operation.Presumably this is the reason for some below par performances last season.However for a horse thats always at its best fresh(80days absence or more 5w-0p-6r) I wouldnt be surprised if it got bottomed out on barely raceable ground first time out last season on Boxing day.This is a horse that excels on decent ground(Good to soft or faster 8w-1p-14r) and at its best going right handed(7w-1p-9r) then everything looks in place for a big run.

Module is improving but will need to do so again while Captain Chris will do well win with its penalty.

Back Riverside Theatre 12pts at 4.3 at Betvictor-Won(+39.6pts)Well backed but never looked like winning until the final 100 yards under an amazing ride by the jockey.

Accept 4.0

Monthly Total+111.95pts

Running Total+5919.05pts

11th December

150 Hexham-Pretty competitive race but nothing with a compelling profile.

Knockgraffon King makes its debut for Donald McCains yard and if its ready after 230 days off then it has the ratings to run well.

Wicklow Lad is just favourite on my tissue after a good run last time and with the step back up in trip expected to suit but its price is similar to mine..

Just behind it on my tissue is Outlaw Tom.This horse returned recently after over 500 days

,it has a poor record fresh(0w-0p-6r after 80 days or more break).So it was no surprise it ran below par.When returning after 28 days or less its a much better 2w-1p-8r.Its in form trainer is 7 wins from 27 runners with her chasers here and on its 3 runs at this track its finished 1st-1st and 3rd.

Its possible it isnt the same horse but im happy to take the chance at the big price.

Back Outlaw Tom 4pts at 15.0 at Bet365-UP(-4pts)

Accept 13.0

220 Hexham-Discoverie is unexposed over fences and clear top rated after its good 2nd placed finish last week.It drops in trip but on this stiff track that may help and if its jumping stands the test around here then it should prove hard to beat.

Pamak D`Airy is pretty solid and looks sure to run its race but lacks the potential of Discoverie.

Cloverhill Lad,at its best wouldnt be far away but it looks handicapped to its best and has a very ordinary record after an absence like todays.

Decent Lord has only had 1 run over fences.It ran well until weakening late on and although this horse is very hit and miss,the drop in trip could see it make the frame.

Back Discoverie 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365-3rd(-15pts)Beaten by the drop in trip.(DT-19pts)

(Accept 3.25)

10th December

1230 Southwell-Neighbourhood is a different animal here than anywhere else.Its record here since going into handicaps is 1-2-2-1-1.It returns to the track for the first time since its last win and is a very solid fav.If it got anywhere near the 4.5 mark then it would be fair value.

Rock of Ages is a little in and out but produced a good run last time and has run here once when it achieved its best career rating.Hopefully it will maintain its form and wont be far away.

Tobrata has won here and stays this trip although may be slightly better at shorter.

Tamalett has looked poor so far but goes into a handicap for the first time and the jockey is 7 wins from 29 rides for this yard.

High on a hill won its last race but that was over further and it definitely had the run of the race that day.Its carrying a big weight,drops in trip and goes on this surface for the first time(Sire 8% on it).Its rating it achieved last time when it won wouldnt win this anyway.

Its got lots to prove and shouldnt 2nd favourite.

Lay High on the Hill 20pts at 6.0-UP(+20pts)

*Cancel or trade out if Neighbourhood,Rock of Ages or Tobrata dont run*

Days total minus commission+19pts

Monthly Total+94.35pts

Running Total+5882.45pts

9th December

510 Wolverhampton-2 unexposed horses from big yards make their handicap debuts and the market will obviously over react to both.Jaladee and Perivale take up a chunk of the market despite both needing to improve on my ratings.This isnt out of the question obviously but it does leave some good value elsewhere.

I can see Mister Marcasite out running its price.It made its all weather debut last time and put up a solid rating over course and distance.Its trainer has been very out of form for the last few months but he had a winner last week and the signs are the horses are running better.

Back Mister Marcasite 5pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes/Hills-UP(-5pts)Got the short priced favourite beat but this horse ran an absolute shocker!

2.0 Lingfield-Naabegha is a massive class dropper.This horse has been running in class 2 & 3s and now drops into a class 6 and looks a strong favourite.Its never won at this trip but really looks like it needs it now and all its career wins have been in single figure fields.

Apostle looks the main danger although not proven around here while Mr David has the ratings to be competitve if you go back far enough but again isnt proven around this track and has been pretty hit or miss recently.

Back Naabegha 18pts at 3.0-Won(Wasnt Matched)Strong in the market all day but touched 40.0 in running before prevailing in a photo.I hope some got the price in running.(DT-5pts)

Monthly Total+75.35pts

Running Total+5863.45pts

8th December

225 Kelso-Night Alliance is solid and should run well but I have just a little query about the length of time(16 days) Since it last raced.This horse is 4w-0p-5r after a break of less than 14 days but only 1w-5p-22r after longer.For that reason,it looks a little short in the betting.

Kruzhlinin and No Planning have the same rating and both hold chances but are the right prices.

At a much bigger price,Im going to take a chance on Rolecarr.It didnt run too badly on its seasonal debut last time and it absolutely loves it here(5w-0p-8r) and this time of year(December 2w-0p-3r).In an ideal world,a drop of rain would be ideal but at such a big price,its worth taking the chance it can repeat its best run last season that puts it right there.

Back Rolecarr 3pts at 21.0 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-3pts)Backed into 11.0 but could only plug on into a place.

Accept 15.0

140 Warwick-Doubts about so many at the front of the market that there is some value in the bigger priced runners.

Twoways produced easily its best career run last time when making its chase debut.That rating makes it pretty competitve here and a little improvement could see it being good enough.

Favourite Take of Shocs is top rated on its last run but that was on soft ground(7Ib worse on better ground) and in a small field.This horse is 0w-0p-7r in fields of 10 or more and 0w-0p-8r between the months of December to February,so its clearly vulnerable.

George Nympton won this race last year and is back on the same mark but is 0w1p-5r in fields of over 10 runners and has the same record when carrying big weights(11st8 or more)

Mr Muddle isnt out of it on its win last term but returns after 272 days off.The market will tell its own tale about whether its ready or not.

I could possibly see Subline Talent running well,back in trip and down in class but its last run was so poor,it might just be completely out of form.

Back Twoways 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-5th(-5pts)Was correct about the front of the market being vulnerable but the selection wasnt good enough to get involved.(DT-8pts)

7th December

1.0 Aintree-Really competitive race.The unexposed Clondaw Kaempler has been put in as fav,it could obviously improve but is unproven on this slightly faster ground and looks short enough.

Lieutenant Miller is pretty solid and should run its race but again theres no value in its price while the same can be said fpr Like Minded.

I think Capellanus can go well at a decent price.Its run 2 good races this season and posted 2 very good ratings on each occasion.The jockey and trainer are 7 wins from 26 rides when teaming up.and is 2wins from 4starts going left handed.

I do have a slight query that it may be best fresh but the price is big enough to get involved.

Back Capellanus 5pts at 11.0 at Boyles/Betvictor-UP(-5pts)Pretty weak in the betting which is never good from this yard.Never got into it

Accept 10.0

3.0 Sandown-Sire De Grugy holds outstanding claims here.This horse is an amazing 12Ibs clear on my ratings and still progressing.Even last time when beaten at Cheltenham(Never at its best there) it still put up a rating nothing else in this race has got close to.

Its 1/1 over the fences at this track and is 5w-4p-11r when returning to the track within 28 days

Its also 10Ibs clear on topspeed figures and this horse should be odds on.

You have to respect anything Nicky Henderson runs and Captain Conan is 3/3 around here while Somersby may fill the frame but if the selection runs its race then it should win.

Back Sire De Grugy 30pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+60pts)Did what it said on the tin!(DT+55pts)

Monthly Total+88.35pts

Running Total+5876.45pts

6th December

7.0 Wolverhampton-Decent little race but the very progressive Fat Gary looks to hold strong claims.This horse has improved with every start since being dropped back to 6 furlongs.

Its 2/2 over course and distance,4w-1p-7r when returning to to the track within 28 days and the trainer is in great form.

Its price should be nearer the 6/4 mark.

Peace Seeker is very consistent and is the main danger while Diamond Charlie ran well last time but that was at Lingfield and its 0w-0p-8r in this class of race.

Back Fat Gary 13pts at 3.65-3rd(Wasnt Matched)

5th December

220 Market Rasen-This is pretty weak and the booking of Tony McCoy(1 out of 5 for the stable) on Phare Isle will probably see that horse being shorter than it should be.It has a chance on its best rating from last season but is 0w-2p-11r in the months of November/December and 0w-4p-22r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Andrea Bambaleo has been fairly consistent and shouldnt be far away but its ratings are slightly better on better ground.

Amok isnt out of it if it produces its best but I quite like the chances of the unexposed Shimla Dawn.

It clocked Decent topspeed figure that backed up its last novice hurdle rating and it may start life in handicaps off a decent mark.

Back Shimla Dawn 12pts at 4.5-Won(+42pts)Got the price wrong but it stayed on strongly to win.

210 Wincanton-Its possible that a couple could progress past Goring One but it looks nailed on to run well in a race it won last year.

Top rated on its latest run at Ascot,this horse has a superb record here(3 wins from 6 starts),is at its best when returning to the track quickly like today(Within 14days 2w-1p-3r) and likes small fields(0-9runners 5w-1p-14r).

It has got Andrew Thornton (Not my Fav jockey!) on it but you cant have everything.

Allthekingshorses returns after an absence and is the current fav.It could improve as its only had 4 runs over fences but it needs to.

Bucks Bond has had jumping issues and theres a question mark on the ground but at its best from last year,it would be competitve.

Shocking Times unseated last time but on its run the time before,its not far away.

Back Goring One 9pts at 5.3-4th(-9pts)Pretty disappointing run(DT+33pts)

Days total minus commission+31.35pts

Monthly Total+43.35pts

Running Total+5821.45pts

4th December

140 Ludlow-Flying Phoenix continues to churn out consistent ratings and looks seriously overpriced here.This horse came 2nd when a strong selection last time and achieved a very good topspeed figure to back up another good rating.Its now moved to an in form yard and the young 7Ib claimer on board could just make the difference.

Pass the Time is improving  and is 3 wins from 4 starts at this trip.It needs to improve again however and 12st5 is a serious weight to carry but its definitely the main danger.

Buxom is 1/1 here and won last time but its rating that day is 8Ibs behind the selection.

Back Flying Phoenix 14pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+49pts *1 N/R*)Shame about the morning fav not running as my ratings suggested the selection would have beat it anyway.Horse hosed up after being well backed all morning

Monthly Total+12pts

Running Total+5790.10pts

3rd December

2.0 Sedgefield-Bright Applause is the market leader after a good run last time but that was on good ground(as are its best flat runs) and with showers forecast,it looks vulnerable.

Travis County has a chance on its run 2 starts back in a better race than this but a record of 1 win from 22 starts suggest its more likely not to get its head in front despite McCoy being booked(Not that significant 3wins from 20 rides for the yard)

Trust Thomas has dropped back in trip on each run so far this season and last time saw it put up a career best rating.The topspeed figure backs up that run and this horse is the clear value in this race.

Celtic Abbey and Satanic Beat make their handicap debuts and the market will probably tell their tale.

Back Trust Thomas 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-UP(-8pts)Price shortened up and looked a big danger 3 out but very surprised to see it weaken like it did

Accept 5.5

3.0 Sedgefield-Very ordinary race with doubts about everything.

Pistol Basc returned to form last time and has won here but tends to lose its form this time of year(December to April 0w-2p-19r).It looks shorter than it should be on my tissue.

Monbeg and Farm Pixie both made their chase debuts last time and both achieved the same rating,however the latter is over 3 times the price and is clearly the value.Both possibly want slightly softer ground but with rain forecast that may happen.

Both are obviously open to progress after just the 1 start over fences and although Monbeg has won here,the gap in prices is just far too big.

Back Farm Pixie 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365/Paddys=2nd(-6pts)Another mover in the market and ran a very nice race on ground that would have been too quick as the rain didnt come(DT-14pts)

Accept 7.0

2/12

140 Plumpton-Top rated Cannon Fodder is fairly unexposed over hurdles after just 7 starts and continues to improve particularly after moving up to around this trip.This horse has a win and a place from 3 starts at this specialists track and is 2w-3p-6r in fields of 9 or less.

Aimigayle is respected especially as its 2/2 around here but its ratings arent as good or as progressive as the selection.

Tweedledrum may prove the biggest danger as its dropped in class and the trainer is 2/7 with his hurdlers here.

Back Cannon Fodder 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365-2nd(-14pts)Might start calling it "The beaten at odds on in running service"

Ran really well(touched 1.2 in running) Beaten by the danger

Accept 3.25

330 Wolverhampton-Really competitive race with several in form horses holding chances.

Maggie Pink is progressive,joint top rated and good at this trip(4w-3p-11r).It should go close

Fab Lolly hasnt raced here but won on its polytrack debut around Kempton,its also 2/2 in fields of 9 or less

Sugarformyhoney won on its 1st run for this stable last time,its proven around here and although ive got it slightly better over a furlong further,it should still be right there.

If Miss Avonbridge is ready to after an absence(Its profile says it will- 80days or more 1w-1p-2r) then it will on the premises.The trainer is in excellent form and its 2w-2p-4r in fields of 9 or less

Dream Scenario won last time but over a furlong shorter and my ratings suggest its 10Ibs better at that trip rather than todays distance

Lay Dream Scenario 20pts at 5.8-UP(Wasnt Matched)Manged to get matched in running but wont count on the account.Looked to be going well 2 furlongs out but didnt pick up like I thought it wouldnt.

*Cancel or trade out if Maggie Pink,Fab Lolly or Sugarformyhoney dont run*

Monthly Total-23pts

Running Total+5755.10pts

1st December

225 Carlisle-Nicene Creed encountered 3miles on soft ground for the first time last time out and produced a career best rating,

1/1 at this track and 2w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less,this horse should go close.

Hartforth looks next best with the trip and ground suiting although the trainer is only 5% with his runners here.

Maggie Blue produced its best rating last time when upped to 3miles but is unproven on this ground and its 0w-0p-4r going right handed.

Back Nicene Creed 9pts at 5.3 on Betfair-4th(-9pts)Nicely backed but I was never happy during the race.It actually look the winner however coming into the straight(hit 1.7 in running) but weakened at the last

30th November

135 Newcastle-Swing Hard is unexposed and from an inform yard.Its top rated on its chase debut run over 2m1 and considering this horse is a point winner over 3miles then todays step up in trip should see more improvement.

The icing on the cake is that the trainer has won this race 3 times in the last 8 runnings and the recent indifferent run is not going deter me from going in on what is a very strong selection.

Badger Foot won last time but has 7Ibs to find on the selection while Peachey Moment can go well fresh and is probably the main danger.

Back Swing Hard 14pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies.-Won(+84pts)Was a strong selection and a mixture of delight plus relief that it was right

(Accept 4.0)

240 Newcastle-From the same stable as above,Vintage Star (Apart from 1 run at the Cheltenham Festival) has a nice progressive profile.Clear top rated and still improving,this horse is 4w-3p-7r in fields of 9 or less, 3w-0p-5r over todays trip and 3w-3p-8r in the months of November and December.This should go close.

Hey Big Spender is respected but shouldnt be sharing favouritism.Mister Marker could go well for a yard thats won this race twice in recent years but would probably prefer plenty of rain over this trip.

Back Vintage Star 9pts at 5.2-2nd(-9pts)Nicely backed and looked the winner at the last(Touched 1.11 in running) but just got outstayed

250 Towcester-Nothing jumps off the page in this race.Tinelyra should appreciate the step up in trip for a yard that does very well here but ive got Kilvergan Boy priced around the same mark but its twice the price and has to be supported.

This horse is no world beater and doesnt win that often but nor does anything in this race.Its sheer consistency may prove good enough and 4 of its 5 wins have come right handed.Its won here as well

Back Kilvergan Boy 5pts at 11.0-Brought Down(-5pts)Very unlucky as it was brought down by a faller early on

215 Towcester-Probably a complete flight of fancy but Minneapolis catches my eye here at a massive price.This horse was decent 2 years ago and has clearly had problems but it returns to the scene of its only hurdles win(Only visit here),the small stable is going well(2 wins from last 6 runners) and the jockey is 2/3 when riding for the yard.

Price is just too big to miss.

Back Minneapolis 2pts at 34.0 at Paddys/Boyles -UP(-2pts)Ran ok up to a point but then weakened(DT+68pts)

Monthly Total+73.97pts

Running Total+5778.10pts

29th November

230 Doncaster-Despite Call it On running poorly on its seasonal debut last time over an inadequate 2m4,I can see it running much better here.

This horses ratings are far superior every time it races over 3miles or beyond(3miles to 3m2f 2w-0p-3r) and its price is so big,I cant let it go unbacked

I would like to see some support for this horse as the yard does like a punt particularly as they have another horse in the race.

If Waltz Darling stays the trip then its a danger after a good rating last time but it does step up half a mile in distance.

Granwood is actually just top rated but that was from last season and this horse has no record fresh plus the trainer is struggling while Fix it Right shouldnt be far away for a jockey/trainer combination thats 4 from 11.

Back Call It On 4pts at 20.0-UP(-4pts)Gave it a good go but weakened 2 out.

Accept 10.0

220 Musselburgh-Sleep in First was progressive over fences last term but will need to progress again to take this.That will be a tough task on its seasonal debut(80days + 0w-1p-5r) and for a horse thats better after the New year(October to December 0w-0p-9r)

Swift Arrow is rock solid(Nov/Dec 3w-0p-4r) (Musselburgh 1w-1p-3r) (Trainer 9/31 with his chasers here) and must run well.

Quito Du Tresor always seem to do its work on the bridle and the drop back to 2miles shouldnt be a problem.This horse is a 5 time winner in this grade and also has 2 wins here.

It wouldnt be a massive surprise if Inoogoo ran better on its 2nd start for Brian Ellison but the other running for us has to be Nine Stories,who gets the blinkers first time.It has a decent profile(Nov/Dec 3w-0p-6r) (0-9runners 5w-2p-11r) class of race(4w-1p-11r)

Lay Sleep in First 20pts at 5.5-Fell(Not Matched)

*Cancel or trade out if Swift Arrow.Quito Du Tresor or Nine Stories dont run*

240 Newbury-Good race but if NiceoneFrankie can repeat last weeks win then it should be hard to beat.That was a career best effort ratings wise and if reproduced leaves the others with something to find.The horse is 1/1 at the track

Cedre Bleu looks the main danger to me with a 2w-0p-4r record at Newbury and 3w-0p-4r after an absence of 80 days or more.

Easter Meteor was running well before falling late on last time and could be the other in the frame.

Back NiceoneFrankie 10pts at 5,0 at Betvictor-UP(-10pts)Well backed but never in it.Very disappointing(DT-14pts)

Accept 4.5

555 Wolverhampton-Silverware and Thats Plenty clearly have good chances here but at a much bigger price,I can see Verse of Love running well.This horse looks like its out of form but its last run was at Kempton(2 starts there Finished 8th and 13th,so doesnt seem to like the track).Its run before that was over 10f at Epsom,even if it handled the track,the trip was too far and its runs before that on turf were fairly good.

The biggest plus though is coming back to Wolverhampton(4 starts-2nd-1st-5th-3rd).The ratings it posted on 3 of those run would win this.

Adam Kirby takes the ride and hes got a 24% strike rate when riding for this in form yard.

Back Verse of Love 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-2nd(-7pts)(DT-21pts)

Monthly Total+5.97pts

Running Total+5710.10pts

28th November

240 Newbury-Easter Day is very unexposed and its pretty certain its capable of better than it showed on its chase debut but its pretty short even on its best hurdles ratings.

Renard D`Irlande is top rated on its latest run and although it hasnt quite raced over this far,it will probably improve for it.

In fields of 9 or less its 2w-1p-4r and its interesting that Aidan Coleman comes here for this ride when its stable have winning chances at the other 2 jumps meetings.

Back Renard D`irlande 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Ladbrokes-UP(-10pts)

Monthly Total +26.97pts

Running Total +5731.10pts

27th November

150 Wetherby-Whiskey Ridge ran well on its final start last season but faces some unexposed rivals here.Its record after a break is very ordinary(80days+ 0w-1p-5r) and is 0w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or less.Its price should be nearer the 10/1 mark.

Hollow Blue Sky made a good chasing debut last time for a yard that does well at the track with its chasers (20% strike rate)

Goodtoknow is another with just the 1 run under its belt over fences while Allanard goes well here(2w-1p-5r at the track) and is just top rated on its latest run.

It also wouldnt surprise me if Jewel in the Sun ran well after its absence as its got form figures of 3-3-2-1 after a break of 90 days or more.

Lay Whiskey Ridge 20pts at 6.0-Fell(+20pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Hollow Blue Sky,Goodtoknow or Allanard dont run*

7.0 Kempton-Id prefer Athenian to be a stall or two closer to the rail but other than that it gots lot in its favour.Top rated on its last 2 runs,its 3w-1p-5r in fields of 9 or less and 2/3 over course and distance.The yard is 20% at the track and I think this horse should be clear favourite.

Lancelot Du Lac is respected after a good all weather debut last time and its 2w-1p-4r over this trip.

Love Island is the other horse that is feared.

Back Athenian 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-4th)-9pts)Given every chance by its jockey but just didnt quicken.(DT+11pts)

Days total minus commission+10.45pts

Monthly Total+36.97pts

Running Total+5741.10pts

26th November

520 Wolverhampton-Iptisam has some potential still but it looks pretty short in the market on what its done so far.

Living the Life is solid and looks certain to run well and is probably the one to beat but Piddies Power finished under a length behind it last time, on its first run for this stable,and yet finds itself 3 times the price.It looks the value call to me.

Fantasy Gladiator and Bogsnog shouldnt be far away but are the right prices.

Back Piddies Power 5pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes/Bet365-UP(-5pts)No money for it and no show in the race.

720 Wolverhampton-Epic Battle is much respected and is probably the most likely winner but it faces some course specialists here.

Lean On Pete,Berlusca and Tatting have all won 4 times here and although its stepping up in class,the latter is far too big a price to miss

This horse is 4w-4p-12r over this course and distance and 4w-3p-10r between September and November,so this is clearly its time of year.

Back Tatting 6pts at 10,0 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-6pts)Nibbled in the betting and ran well but not good enough

Monthly Total+26.52pts

Running Total+5730.65pts

24th November

115 Towcester-Flying Phoenix is top rated on its latest run in a class 3 handicap.This horse even ran in a class 1 Novice at Cheltenham last year.today it finds itself in a class 5 Claiming Hurdle and getting lumps of weight off its main rivals.It should have a very good chance.

Belle De Fontenay does well in these types of races(Class 5 4w-1p-9r) and is clearly the main danger.

Rowlestone Lad is the other that has a chance.

Back Flying Phoenix 14pts at 4.5-2nd(-14pts)If ever a result summed up the last week or so then this was it.Beat everything easily except for a 33/1 outsider that had 28Ibs to find on my ratings!

Monthly Total+37.52pts

Running Total+5741.65pts

23rd November

820 Wolverhampton-Pretty competitive sprint for the grade.Speightowns Kid is market leader and should go well but 1win from 13 over this trip and 1win from 18 starts in this grade set the alarm bells ringing.

Black Dave is respected for an inform trainer while Invigilator has 4 wins to its name around here and returned to form last time but its up in grade and a record of 0w-0p-6r in this class shows it doesnt find that easy.

If Iceblast had a better draw,I could see that going well as 6furlongs is definitely its best trip(3wins from 9 starts) but the outside stall makes it tough.

The value for me is Wooden King and I can see the top weight outclassing these.It ran below form last time but that was after nearly 2 months off the track(41 days or more absence 0w-1p-11r).The horse races over 5 furlongs a lot but its rating 2 starts back over 6f on the turf is matched by a rating the last time it ran over 6furlongs at this track.Those ratings win this!

Back Wooden King 6pts at 10.0-UP(-6pts)Couldnt give it away and no surprise as it raced wide throughout on a furious pace.Seeing Iceblast hose up made it even worse.

2.0 Lingfield-Arabella is top rated and the most progressive in the field.If it can repeat its latest run then it should prove hard to beat.

If Oasis Spirit stays this trip then it may prove the biggest danger while Al Freej goes well here and isnt without a chance.

Back Arabella 13pts at 3.75-2nd(-13pts)Somehow got beaten by an outsider,stepping up 2 furlongs in trip.Unbelieveable!

1245 Haydock-Im pretty sure if Runswick Royal was trained by anyone else then it would a shorter price than it is.This horse has only had 4 runs over hurdles and recieving 8Ibs off its 2 main rivals could be vital.

Far West is very solid and deserves to be fav but im not sure about it being around the 5/4 mark.

Rolling Star hasnt proven to be up to this level so far but any horse from Nicky Hendersons yard has to be respected.

Back Runswick Royal 7pts at 7.0 at Betvictor-3rd(-7pts)Really well backed into half the price but looked like it needs further

Accept 6.0

250 Huntingdon-Ive got Arctic Night at a much bigger price on my tissue than it currently is.Very surprised to see it as market leader.It prefers a gap between its races(28 days or less 0w-1p-9r) and returns here just 9 days after running 3miles over hurdles.

Cute Court made its handicap debut last time and produced its best performance so far while Go Amwell loves it here(5wins).It drops into its correct grade(Class 5 2wins from 5 starts) and is 5 wins from 16 over this trip.

Bravo Riquet could also run well,this horse likes soft ground(Soft/heavy 2w-1p-7r) and going Right Handed(2w-1p-6r),so things are ideal for it.

Elegant Olive has won 3 times around here and ran well last time and it has a rating last November over course,trip and ground that would win this.

Lay Arctic Night 20pts at 5.0(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+20pts)Well beaten(DT-6pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Elegant Olive,Cute Court,or Go Amwell dont run*

22nd November

240 Ascot-I do have a slight query about the stable form but otherwise Double Ross holds decent claims here.Its only had 4 runs over fences and put up a top rated performance last time.That was on a left handed track and this horse is better going right handed(2w-1p-5r) and is 2w-0p-4r in this class of race.

Greywell Boy looks the main danger as its an improving chaser but does now step up 2 furlongs in trip.

Back Double Ross 11pts at 4.3(Accept No Lower)-2nd(-11pts)price got smashed in and it ran a good race.

510 Wolverhampton-If Evermore is suited by a further step up in trip then it will be tough to beat but this horse is still to win a race,so there are obviously questions to answer.There are 3 horses coming back from long absences and a few with stamina queries and this looks fairly weak to me.

Meetings Man looks the value,it achieved a solid rating ;last time over course and distance although its best rating is over 2 furlongs further.

With so many doubts about the opposition,Id love to Graham Lee make its proven stamina count.

Back Meetings Man 7pts at 7.6(Accept No Lower)-UP(-7pts)Another one that was backed and looked quite good until chopped on the home turn and then fell away badly.(DT-18pts)

640 Wolverhampton-Soul Intent just beat Off the Pulse last time but im surprised in the gap between the two in the market.The latter goes well around here over this trip(Wolverhampton over 9f  2nd-1st-5th-2nd-2nd) and looks the value to me.

Soul Intent should run well and Creme Anglais wont be far away if its suited by the surface.

Back Off the Pulse 9pts at 6.6(Accept No Lower)-Won(+47.25pts 1 N/R)Halved in price(So ive got that bit right today) and got a great ride from Graham Gibbons to come home in front/(DT+29.25pts)

Days total minus commission+28.5pts

Monthly Total+57.52pts

Running Total+5761.65pts

21st November

130 Market Rasen-Everything clicked for Suburban Bay last time and it achieved a career best rating.It also put up an excellent topspeed figure and if this horse can get to the front early then it should go very well.

Its 3w-4p-13r in fields of 9 or less and 2w-0p-3r in November.

Present View is probably the biggest danger as its only had 1 run over fences and the slight drop in trip should also help it.

Spanish Arch has also only had 1 run over fences but really needs to improve at least a stone than on its debut.

The run 2 starts back from Dorset Naga gives it a chance but im not certain it will like this ground.

Back Suburban Bay 14pts at 3.5 at Betvictor-UP(-14pts)Ran Poorly

710 Kempton-Pretty good race and a few in with a chance,Common Touch won on its All weather debut last time,putting up a joint top rating.The jockey is 4 out of 9 for this yard,so it should be right there.

Brownsea Brink looks a little short to me as although it has won here,its rating doesnt compare with its turf efforts.

At a really big price,I can see Atlantic Crossing outrunning its price.It returned last month after an absence of 7 months and although it didnt run its best,that was over 8 furlongs.Given I think its better over 7f and after such an absence,its no surprise it didnt run up to form.

Given 7 furlongs around this track and its form figures are 1st-3rd-1st-6th-2nd-1st.

Its trainer is in good form(2 winners from his last 8 runners) and its 1w-1p-3r in November,

Back Atlantic Crossing 5pts at 13.0 at William Hill-UP(-5pts)Did shorten up a bit but then fell out the stalls.

Accept 11.0

Monthly Total+29.02pts

Running Total+5733.15pts