The icing on the cake is that the trainer has won this race 3 times in the last 8 runnings and the recent indifferent run is not going deter me from going in on what is a very strong selection.
Badger Foot won last time but has 7Ibs to find on the selection while Peachey Moment can go well fresh and is probably the main danger.
Back Swing Hard 14pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies.-Won(+84pts)Was a strong selection and a mixture of delight plus relief that it was right
(Accept 4.0)
240 Newcastle-From the same stable as above,Vintage Star (Apart from 1 run at the Cheltenham Festival) has a nice progressive profile.Clear top rated and still improving,this horse is 4w-3p-7r in fields of 9 or less, 3w-0p-5r over todays trip and 3w-3p-8r in the months of November and December.This should go close.
Hey Big Spender is respected but shouldnt be sharing favouritism.Mister Marker could go well for a yard thats won this race twice in recent years but would probably prefer plenty of rain over this trip.
Back Vintage Star 9pts at 5.2-2nd(-9pts)Nicely backed and looked the winner at the last(Touched 1.11 in running) but just got outstayed
250 Towcester-Nothing jumps off the page in this race.Tinelyra should appreciate the step up in trip for a yard that does very well here but ive got Kilvergan Boy priced around the same mark but its twice the price and has to be supported.
This horse is no world beater and doesnt win that often but nor does anything in this race.Its sheer consistency may prove good enough and 4 of its 5 wins have come right handed.Its won here as well
Back Kilvergan Boy 5pts at 11.0-Brought Down(-5pts)Very unlucky as it was brought down by a faller early on
215 Towcester-Probably a complete flight of fancy but Minneapolis catches my eye here at a massive price.This horse was decent 2 years ago and has clearly had problems but it returns to the scene of its only hurdles win(Only visit here),the small stable is going well(2 wins from last 6 runners) and the jockey is 2/3 when riding for the yard.
Price is just too big to miss.
Back Minneapolis 2pts at 34.0 at Paddys/Boyles -UP(-2pts)Ran ok up to a point but then weakened(DT+68pts)
Monthly Total+73.97pts
Running Total+5778.10pts
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