2nd November

2.0 Ayr-This is wide open and Shoal Bay Dreamer looks a big price.This horse looks very in and out but its best 2 ratings have been achieved first time out in the last 2 seasons.This horse returns after 262 days off and runs off a feather weight,which is another plus(When carrying 10st 08Ib or more its 0w-0p-11r).Its just 1Ib above its last winning rating and the jockey is 3/9 for the yard.The more rain the better.

Spitfire Ace and Ballycool are both unexposed over fences and could have more to come but both have queries on very soft ground.

If Alexandra Oats is ready to go after its absence then it could run well.

Back Shoal Bay Dreamer 5pts at 15.0 at Bet365-2nd(-5pts)Halved in price and ran well.

Accept 8.0

310 Ayr-Big Water should run well,1/1 at the track and 2w-1p-3r when returning to the track within 28 days.Its the right price though.

Cool Baranca likes this track(2w-1p-4r) and a recent run(7days or less 3w-1p-6r) but it needs to find a few pounds on my ratings.

Call Box looks a bit of value here as an inform,race fit animal.It drops back in trip to 2miles,which looks an interesting move especially on very soft ground.If the horse is there 3 out then its stamina could bring it home.

Back Call Box 7pts 9.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)The fact the stablemate of the selection won this race sums up the last week or so.Probably pulled too hard early on and fell in a hole 3 out rather than getting stronger.(DT-12pts)

Accept 7.5

Monthly Total-24pts

Running Total+5683.03pts