This horses ratings are far superior every time it races over 3miles or beyond(3miles to 3m2f 2w-0p-3r) and its price is so big,I cant let it go unbacked
I would like to see some support for this horse as the yard does like a punt particularly as they have another horse in the race.
If Waltz Darling stays the trip then its a danger after a good rating last time but it does step up half a mile in distance.
Granwood is actually just top rated but that was from last season and this horse has no record fresh plus the trainer is struggling while Fix it Right shouldnt be far away for a jockey/trainer combination thats 4 from 11.
Back Call It On 4pts at 20.0-UP(-4pts)Gave it a good go but weakened 2 out.
Accept 10.0
220 Musselburgh-Sleep in First was progressive over fences last term but will need to progress again to take this.That will be a tough task on its seasonal debut(80days + 0w-1p-5r) and for a horse thats better after the New year(October to December 0w-0p-9r)
Swift Arrow is rock solid(Nov/Dec 3w-0p-4r) (Musselburgh 1w-1p-3r) (Trainer 9/31 with his chasers here) and must run well.
Quito Du Tresor always seem to do its work on the bridle and the drop back to 2miles shouldnt be a problem.This horse is a 5 time winner in this grade and also has 2 wins here.
It wouldnt be a massive surprise if Inoogoo ran better on its 2nd start for Brian Ellison but the other running for us has to be Nine Stories,who gets the blinkers first time.It has a decent profile(Nov/Dec 3w-0p-6r) (0-9runners 5w-2p-11r) class of race(4w-1p-11r)
Lay Sleep in First 20pts at 5.5-Fell(Not Matched)
*Cancel or trade out if Swift Arrow.Quito Du Tresor or Nine Stories dont run*
240 Newbury-Good race but if NiceoneFrankie can repeat last weeks win then it should be hard to beat.That was a career best effort ratings wise and if reproduced leaves the others with something to find.The horse is 1/1 at the track
Cedre Bleu looks the main danger to me with a 2w-0p-4r record at Newbury and 3w-0p-4r after an absence of 80 days or more.
Easter Meteor was running well before falling late on last time and could be the other in the frame.
Back NiceoneFrankie 10pts at 5,0 at Betvictor-UP(-10pts)Well backed but never in it.Very disappointing(DT-14pts)
Accept 4.5
555 Wolverhampton-Silverware and Thats Plenty clearly have good chances here but at a much bigger price,I can see Verse of Love running well.This horse looks like its out of form but its last run was at Kempton(2 starts there Finished 8th and 13th,so doesnt seem to like the track).Its run before that was over 10f at Epsom,even if it handled the track,the trip was too far and its runs before that on turf were fairly good.
The biggest plus though is coming back to Wolverhampton(4 starts-2nd-1st-5th-3rd).The ratings it posted on 3 of those run would win this.
Adam Kirby takes the ride and hes got a 24% strike rate when riding for this in form yard.
Back Verse of Love 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-2nd(-7pts)(DT-21pts)
Monthly Total+5.97pts
Running Total+5710.10pts
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