8th November

140 Southwell-Inoogoo makes its debut for Brian Ellison and if he works his magic on the horse then it will be a tough opponent,however the market is taking no chances by putting it in around 2/1.
Toby Lerone may improve on its 2nd start over fences but it needs to while Chestnut Ben is very consistent and respected.Its fine on soft ground and has form over this trip on good ground but this weak finisher will surely be vulnerable in these conditions.Its also 0w-3p-8r in this class of race.
I feel the value here is Trojans Sun,It returns from an absence but its ran well fresh before,its trainer is in fine form for a small stable(6w-7p-26r in the last 28 days)
Its 1/1 over this course and distance,2w-3p-7r on soft ground and 2w-3p-6r over this trip.
Back Trojan Sun 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-2nd(-10pts)
Accept 4.3

8.0 Wolverhampton-One way or another is the obvious starting point here after returning to form last time and is clear top rated on that.However its price is the same as my tissue price of 2/1
Harvest Mist is consistent and progressive on the All weather(Form Figures over 7f in class 6 races at Wolves 1st-2nd-1st) and must go well again.
Prigsnov Dancer normally runs best at a slightly lower level than this but is unexposed over 7f and put up its best rating last over it.
Loyal and Trusted has a tricky draw but isnt out of it.
Clumber Place ran well last time on its favoured soft ground,however this horse is very inconsistent and the 2 times its ran on the all weather it ran over 20Ibs below its mark.It shouldnt be 2nd fav in this race and has to be taken on.
Lay Clumber Place 30pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)
*Cancel or Trade out if One Way or Another,Harvest Mist or Prigsnov Dancer dont run*

No comments:

Post a Comment