9th November

250 Kelso-Wilde Pastures was a progressive chaser last season over this trip(2miles 4w-1p-8r) and with a number of horses dropping back in distance,it could go close.
It goes fine after an absence(80days+ 1w-2p-4r) and its trainer is in good form(3wins from last 11 runners).It looks the value in a tight race.
Swift Arrow won this race last season and is unbeaten at the track(2/2),however its powerful stable have only had 4 wins from their last 65 runners.
Upsilon Bleu and Mr Moonshine both drop in trip.The former is unexposed while it seems quite late in the day to be dropping the latter back but it did achieve a good rating last time on its seasonal debut.
Back Wilde Pastures 9pts at 6.6-UP(-9pts)Very weak in the betting but jumped well however obviously needed the run.
Accept 6.0

4.0 Kelso-This is a very winnable race and I will take a chance on Overlaw being ready to roll on its seasonal debut.It has got form fresh and on its best from last year,it wins this.The trainer puts up the stable conditional on top and he takes off a very handy 10Ibs making this horse very well handicapped.
Jim Tango is very inconsistent but ran one of its better races last time although its won on good to soft,on my ratings its better on firmer ground.
Sendiym has been running well and may bounce back at a track it likes(Kelso 1w-1p-2r) but it was struggling when it fell last time.
Ballycool drops in trip but needs to improve for it.
Back Overlaw 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Up until 2 out,this horse looked the winner(touched 3.1 in running) but clearly needed it and just dropped out near the end(DT-15pts)
Monthly Total-56.25pts
Running Total+5650.78pts

No comments:

Post a Comment