The main danger has to be the unexposed De Blacksmith from the Gary Moore yard,however the market has already built in its expected progress and the selection should be a clear favourite.
Howards legacy has pulled up on its last 3 starts while Seven woods takes a big drop in trip and is unproven on the ground.
Red Anchor is a CD winner and proven on the ground but needs to find 14Ibs improvement from somewhere to be competitive.
Back Toby Lerone 22pts at 3.25 at Bet365-Won(+49.5pts)Tough horse,its a sound jumper and may improve even more when going right handed as it edges that way.
Accept 3.0
450 Wolverhampton-Interception is the obvious starting point here as a lightly raced animal from a stable in good form.Its proven around here and makes its handicap debut.While it may prove to be different class to these,the fact is on what its done so far hints that it isnt and the lack of a decent topspeed figure also suggests that prices around the even money mark are pretty short.
Take it on with the filly Alhaarth Beauty,whos been racing against the males and now takes on her own sex.This horse has hit the frame on 3 of its 4 starts around here and its excellent trainer has given it a break of 60 days now after it lost its form after a busy spell.he did the same earlier in the season and brought it back to win its only race so far.
Liam Jones is booked(2/7 when riding for the yard) and if this horse can get to the front early on,I can see it outrunning its price.
Available is the other horse on my ratings,that looked to have a decent chance as Tigers Home is very in and out and unproven on the surface.
Back Alhaarth Beauty 5pts at 13.0 at Paddys/Ladbrokes-UP(-5pts)Didnt get out of the stalls and was a bit outpaced throughout.Wouldnt have beaten the fav anyway.
650 Wolverhampton-Some course specialists on show here but nearly everything has some sort of negative against it.
Ishikawa is very strong here and at this trip(Wolv/9f 1st-2nd-3rd-3rd-1st-1st-2nd)
However its 0w-0p-4r in this class of race and my ratings suggest its not very well handicapped here.
Silverware is a 2 time course winner with a 2w-1p-4r record in November/December but is 0w-1p-8r when returning after 41 days or more(49 here)
Dark Ruler has been very consistent of late but is defintely better over 10 furlongs and is unproven on polytrack.
The value is Elspeths Boy,who put up a seasons best rating last time and is 3w-1p-7r at this track.It doesn have to prove itself in this grade but the price should be shorter than it is.
Back Elspeths Boy 7pts at 8.0 on Betfair-Wasnt Matched(DT+44.5pts)
Accept No Lower
Monthly Total-11.75pts
Running Total+5695.38pts
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