Kruzhlinin and No Planning have the same rating and both hold chances but are the right prices.
At a much bigger price,Im going to take a chance on Rolecarr.It didnt run too badly on its seasonal debut last time and it absolutely loves it here(5w-0p-8r) and this time of year(December 2w-0p-3r).In an ideal world,a drop of rain would be ideal but at such a big price,its worth taking the chance it can repeat its best run last season that puts it right there.
Back Rolecarr 3pts at 21.0 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-3pts)Backed into 11.0 but could only plug on into a place.
Accept 15.0
140 Warwick-Doubts about so many at the front of the market that there is some value in the bigger priced runners.
Twoways produced easily its best career run last time when making its chase debut.That rating makes it pretty competitve here and a little improvement could see it being good enough.
Favourite Take of Shocs is top rated on its last run but that was on soft ground(7Ib worse on better ground) and in a small field.This horse is 0w-0p-7r in fields of 10 or more and 0w-0p-8r between the months of December to February,so its clearly vulnerable.
George Nympton won this race last year and is back on the same mark but is 0w1p-5r in fields of over 10 runners and has the same record when carrying big weights(11st8 or more)
Mr Muddle isnt out of it on its win last term but returns after 272 days off.The market will tell its own tale about whether its ready or not.
I could possibly see Subline Talent running well,back in trip and down in class but its last run was so poor,it might just be completely out of form.
Back Twoways 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-5th(-5pts)Was correct about the front of the market being vulnerable but the selection wasnt good enough to get involved.(DT-8pts)
No comments:
Post a Comment