After a break of 29 days or more its record is 3w-1p-6r,however today it returns to the track just 8 days after its win last time and when returning within 28 days or less its only 0w-1p-9r.
It achieving a similar rating to its latest run look debatable to say the least.
There arent that many however,that look like they could take advantage.Bobs Dream is getting on a bit now but should go well for its in form trainer but I like Jim Tango.
All its 5 career wins have been in single figure fields like this one,Its won at this track and Paddy Brennan is 1 from 3 for this yard.
Back Jim Tango 7pts at 7.6-UP(-7pts)Shame the field wasnt stronger as a Lay of the fav was probably the logical call but easy with hindsight.
Accept 7.0
150 Fakenham-Theres no doubt that The Thirsty Bricky is ready to win again but the price is no bargain as it that probably needs softer ground and for a horse that seems to always get outpaced at some point in its races,the drop in trip around this very tight track doesnt seem the most obvious move.
The other short priced runner is Highbury High,who was beginning to progress until unseating its rider last time.These fences are never easy and this horse is 0w-0p-7r on sharp tracks like this and 0w-1p-9r going left handed.
I feel the front 2 in the market may be vulnerable.
San Telm has only had 1 run over fences and it wasnt very good but on its best hurdles ratings it wouldnt be far away and the trainer does very well here(6 wins from 20 runs)
Flaming Gorge has run well fresh before but will need to return an improved horse to win as its a few pounds behind on my ratings.
I dont fancy Epee Celeste at all so that leaves Thats the Deal.
This horse looks like it may have gone but it has bounced back from a spell in the doldrums before,especially here at its favourite track(Fakenham 3w-1p-6r).
It won here last March after 2 pulled up runs and a well beaten fourth.The trainer had his first winner for a long while when just denying us on Sunday at Southwell and if that signalled a return to form for the yard then the price is just too big to miss.
Back Thats the Deal 4pts at 19.0 at Betvictor-2nd(-4pts)Traded at odds on and ran really well but the well backed winner really came home strong.(DT-11pts)
Accept 11.0
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