27th September

250 Worcester-Sagredo makes the market here as its far too short.Its got a fair bit to find with the improving Citrus Mark and the dropped in class Royal Charter.It does represent Jonjo O`Neill/McCoy/JP Mcmanus however so if the money really comes for it then it will be a worry but its 0w-0p-5r in class 3 races and I prefer Royal Charter,who looks good value.

This horse hasnt been at its best so far this year but I feel there have been excuses.Its last 3 runs have been up in trip and in a much higher class than this plus the ground was softer than ideal,so back in the right grade,on the right trip(2m 3w-3p-10r) and on the right ground,it should run well.

This horse is also a CD winner and it could be classed as an Autumn horse(September/October 3w-0p-5r)

Back Royal Charter 15pts at 5.5 at Paddys-2nd(-15pts)This sums up hows things are at the moment.This horse was value and was well backed into 3.0.It beats the dangers and gets beaten 1/2 a length by an outsider

Accept 4.3

240 Newmarket-Guest of Honour was below par last time in a big field over 10 furlongs but back in a small field over a mile,it should run to its best and that would see it go close.This horse has ran 3 times in fields of 9 or less over a mile and finished 1st-1st-1st.

Soft Falling Rain is unbeaten over a mile and will be a tough opponent but its very short.

Montiridge has to bounce back from a poor run last time but its rating 2 runs back puts it right there.

Back Guest of Honour 8pts at 7.6-UP(-8pts)Got warm beforehand and ran like it was 1 too many this season.(DT-23pts)

425 Newmarket-Wigmore Hall goes well here(Newmarket 2w-1p-5r) and has the back class to win this but it doesnt look the same horse recently.Renew has a progressive profile while Gatewood is the obvious favourite as its joint top rated and 1/1 in listed class.

However the other top rated horse Contributer ,should be a shorter price than it is.Its achieved a consistent set of ratings in its 6 career starts,the 3 month break is a positive(80 days break or more 2w-0p-3r) and Ryan Moore is 21% when riding for Ed Dunlop.

Back Contributer 10pts at 6.0 at Skybet-Non Runner

Accept 5.5

530 Newmarket-The final bet on a busy day is Rosaceous,whos still pretty unexposed after just 6 starts.Silverstre De Sousa is 1/1 on it and this horse should be the favourite.

Aegaeus has that honour but surely this horse is an All Weather horse? It looks to be priced up on its last time out win on the polytrack at Kempton.Its 2w-2p-4r on that surface but only 0w-1p-9r on grass.

There really isnt much else that can be seriously fancied.

Back Rosaceous 12pts at 4.0 at Paddys-Non Runner

Accept 3.75