Bowdlers Magic has got quite a bit of back class(Won class 2 & 3 hcps in the past),it probably isnt the horse it was but it now races off a mark 7Ib below its highest winning mark.
This horse has won all its races from June onwards,so its 3 below par runs early in the season are forgiven.It returned after 4 months off 10 days ago and finished 2nd, posting a solid rating in the process.What makes this performance more meritorious is that this horse has no history of going very well after a break.In fact it clearly prefers having a very recent run(14days or less 6w-3p-21r) compared to 0w-3-19r after 15 days or more,
Its 2w-1p-7r over this trip and 4w-4p-14r in fields of 9 or less and if you take its runs when returning to the track within 10 days or less in fields of 9 or less you get form figures of 1st-1st-6th-1st.
Its a massive price!
Jan Smuts is a course specialist but is up 2 grades(0w-0p-9r in class 4 & 5 races),Dr Irv is pretty solid but has to improve again.
Back Bowdlers Magic 13pts at 9.0 at Bet365-2nd(-13pts)Got the market run but this horse ran a cracker and if it had got out sooner,may have really gone close.
Ceiling Price 4,5
420 Brighton-Olney Lass loves it here(4w-0p-7r) and loves this time of year(September 4w-0p-6r).However its ratings at 6 furlongs are 20Ib below its ones at 7furlongs.
Jungle Bay hasnt won in this grade but otherwise looks fairly solid,Its the right price though.
Im no big fan of the jockey but Royal Reyah really interests me.Its at its best after a break(80 days or more 2w-2p-4r) and this is its trip(6 furlongs 3w-2p-7r),so its 2 runs over 7f before its break should be ignored.Its got form on soft ground and the jockey/trainer combination are 5/25 when teaming up.
Back Royal Reyah 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes/Skybet-UP(-7pts)Really well backed into 3.5 but started slowly and had no chance after.(DT-20pts)
Ceiling price 6.5
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