AlwaystheOptimist has progressed well as a chaser this summer but this is back over hurdles(career record 1/24) and its 9Ibs higher than its last run in this sphere.Its also 0w-1p-8r going right handed.
Tiny Tenor returns from a long absence for a new stable.If its the same horse it was,it should go well.
West Brit is 1/1 going right handed but it needs to step up a lot on its latest run.
Back Tangolan 13pts at 6.0 at Ladbrokes/Paddys-UP(-13pts)Hammered in the betting into 15/8 but went out like a light turning into the straight.Surprising and disappointing.
Ceiling Price 4.0
410 Huntingdon-Cap Elorn has 2 wins in its last 2 runs but this horse looks vulnerable.
0w-0p-5r going right handed.0w-0p-6r in class 4 races and 0w-0p-10r when returning to the track after 28 days or more.
It shouldnt be the price it is.
Lauberhorn is 1/1 at this track and the drop back in trip should suit.Chilbury Hill looks pretty solid and is the most likely winner.
The outsider of the field is FiftyoneFiftyone and I feel it has a better chance than the price suggests.
Its recent poor run was after a break when its clearly better after a recent run(Returned to the track within 14 days 2w-0p-3r),the run was also over 2m4(career record 0w-1p-5r) ,so the drop back in trip on a fast track like today should be ideal,I can see it running well and should be shorter than it is in the betting.
Back FiftyOneFiftOne 6pts at 8.0 at Paddys/Betvictor-3rd(-6pts)Got this totally wrong.The only thing I got right was the decision not to lay Cap Elorn.(DT-19pts)
Ceiling Price 6.0
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