8th August

800 Ffos Las-There are negatives for Fire Ship(No wins since 2013) but conditions are ideal and this is a big drop in grade for it.
It actually hasnt run in this class since 2012 and is 2 from 3 in it,its been running okay in much better contests than this and it ratings suggest it should be vying for favouritsm,so it has to be the value call.
Kummiya is the obvious danger,hailing from an in form yard,that do well here but so far,its best runs have been on fast ground,so the going could be an issue.
Back Fire Ship 8pts at 6.5 at Ladbrokes-4th(-8pts)Clearly not the force of old despite it being well supported.

750 Windsor-Sometimes you wonder if you are barking up the wrong tree but I cant see Jelly Monger as the outsider here.
It normally runs in much better races than this and will appreciate the drop in grade(1w-0p-2r in Class 3 races).It does look to have an in and out profile but thats built into the price while De Sousa is an eye catching booking(2/9 for the stable).
Absolute Zero is on a roll and is the right favourite,however the yard have been under a cloud and I wouldnt want to play one of theirs at 5/4,especially going up in class like this one is
Rock Steady has to be on the premises but is another going up in grade while Rotherwick and Prendergast Hill are both beatable.
Back Jelly Monger 4pts at 21.0 at Various bookies-UP(-4pts)Another poor day in whats been a very poor month so far!
Monthly Total-85.50pts
Running Total+8570.97pts

No comments:

Post a Comment