13th August

715 Market Rasen-Not many than can be seriously fancied here and a favourite that looks pretty underpriced in Proud Gamble.
That horse came back to form last time but that rating cant win this if Donapollo or the selection,Definite Ridge,run their races.
The former is a big danger,after a good return from a lay off last time and is dropped into a grade where its 2w-0p-4r but its around the right price.
The value is Definite Ridge,who on just its third run for this yard,ran out an easy winner last time.That rating is clear best here and if it can be replicated then its a massive price.
Back Definite Ridge 12pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-12pts)Tanked through the race and traded at 1.71 in running but this jockey continually flatters to deceive in my view.Awful!

520 Newbury-I can see the chance of Cosmeapolitan but cant believe its 13/8.
The jockey has actually won this race 5 times in the last 8 years but it has to be taken on at the prices.
Soul Intent has been running well and has finished close up in races that have been working out well.
Its got one of the better jockeys on show and is 3w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less.
Its the value on my figures.
Back Soul Intent 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Cosmeapolitan in a different class,

450 Doncaster-Fastnet Tempest and Fidaawy are both lightly raced and hail from top yards,so its no surprise they head the market but on my ratings,Henry The Explorer is well overpriced.
Last time out,it produced a career best,when encountering 10f on fast ground for the first time.
If it can reproduce that then the sexy horses will have a race on their hooves.
Back Henry The Explorer 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-Non Runner

535 Newmarket-I like the chances of Carry Me Home here.
It ran a superb race last time out from the widest stall ,in a better race than this at Glorious Goodwood and produced a career best rating and that figure is the best here.
Its over a furlong further here but I think that will suit and its the one to beat.
Dolphin Village is pretty solid,its got a consistent profile and is 1/1 at this track.
Duck A L`Orange won last time over course and distance but is up in grade here.That wasnt a good race last time and it looks underpriced to me.
Guns Of Leros moves up in trip after a good run last time,it wouldnt be out of it if it stays while Snan is back down in trip after winning last time,my figures suggest its better at further.
Back Carry Me Home 12pts at 4.3 at various bookies-Won(+37pts*1 NR)

Weekend Football
(Swedish Allsvenskan)...Saturday 3pm
Back AIK Stockholm to beat Helsingborg at 1/2-Won 2-1 and Norkopping to beat Gefle at 8/13-Drew 0-0
15pts double at Bwin/32Red-(-15pts)(DT+3pts)