3rd August

445 Chester-I make this a 2 horse race between English Summer and Notarised.Obviously the bigger priced horse is the value call.
That horse is Notarised,who hails from the massively in form Mark Johnston yard.The more rain the better for this horse,who is 2w-0p-4r when returning to the track within 14 days like today.
English Summer is 2 from 6 around here,will be fine in the conditions and is a big danger but the market has got its price right.
Back Notarised 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-12pts)Hammered into favourite but didnt really get an easy time in front and just couldnt hold the winner.

505 Market Rasen-Silent Knight is improving but needs to do so again and it looks a fairly tight price for a horse thats just had a 16Ibs hike in the handicap.
Ereyna is another thats progressing but all its runs have been on softer ground and at shorter.
Listen and Learn has a rating from last season that wins this but has been in pretty desperate form lately.Its got some different headgear on,so it may bounce back but it looks risky.
Provincial Pride will love the fast ground and has a very consistent profile.I can see no reason,its the price it is and has to be supported.
Back Provincial Pride 7pts at 6.5 at various Bookies(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)So much for the consistent profile.Has ran no race at all/.

4.0 Market Rasen-Chalk it Down seems to go off favourite whatever race it is in.It won last time out in fortunate style as the leader fell at the last when 10 lengths clear.
Its not out of this and you have to respect the connections and jockey etc but I can see no reason why its such a short price.
It may win but its the wrong price.
Lucky Landing gets going in August(2w-1p-4r) and is at its best returned to the track quickly(14 days or less 6w-4p-16r).Its quite nicely treated over hurdles.
Mr Shantou is consistent and put up its best career performance over this course and distance.This is its first run back here since that.
Iguacu is 2w-0p-2r when returned to the track within 14 days and will like the conditions.
Lay Chalk it Down 20pts at 2.6-Won(-32pts)Got it totally wrong.Won easily!Rubbish Day.(DT-51pts)

No comments:

Post a Comment