105 Chepstow-You can pick holes in all of these but the fact that Venetia Williams has won 5 of the last 8 runnings leads me to believe,a much better run from class dropper Aso,is expected here.
This horse actually won this 4 years ago and drops back into a class 2 for the first time since November 2018.It wants this ground and the small field.
Its form figures in Class 2 races with 7 runners or less read 1st-1st-3rd-2nd-1st.
Moonlighter took a heavy fall last time out and is now 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so looks vulnerable,as does Esprit Du Large who has never managed to win a handicap.
Tiquer won this last and will go well if fit but its never won off a mark this high and at 12,it would be surprising if its improving.
My Way could appreciate the big drop in trip but it is 1/20 and fairly unreliable.
Back Aso 2pts at 6.0 at 888sport-Non Runner
210 Wetherby-Slowly but surely,Marracudja has been finding its form and becoming better handicapped.
Its been facing some very tough tasks and this surely has been its target,as it won this last year and went down by a nose the year before.Those were its only 2 starts around this track.
The trainer also won this race in 2016 and operates at a 29% strike rate around here.
Some Reign goes well around here but is up in grade,so the 2 progressive horses,First Flow and Nuts Well are the biggest dangers.
Back Marracudja 7pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-(-7pts)Went too hard in front and fell away 2 out.
245 Wetherby-The Delray Munky is respected,as its unexposed and produced its best rating over fences last time but it looks a little short to me as No No Juliet should head the market.
This is 2 grades lower than when it produced the best rating in the race last time,only weakening at the last,so this furlong shorter trip should suit and its best in December(2w-2p-5r) and for a trainer with a 23% strike rate here.
Im not certain this trip on soft ground is what Kalahari Queen wants although it did win a 3 runner event on its only visit here.
Back No No Juliet 14pts at 3.5 at various Bookies-Pulled UP(-14pts)ground was barely raceable with only one finishing.(DT-21pts)
No comments:
Post a Comment