1245 Uttoxeter-This is a decent race for the grade and it features some lightly raced types,who could improve to take this,however I think Temple Man is a touch of value.
This horse has been quite lightly raced itself and drops back to its best distance(2m 2w-1p-6r) (2m1+ 0w-3p-6r),it tends to travel strongly in its races and needs to be delivered fairly late,so hopefully a decent pace will help that.
It tops my ratings and although handicap debutants Song of the Hunter and Courtland may improve past it,its too big a price.
Fort De L`Ocean looks far too short to me while Pop The Cork is respected but needs to find more.
Back Temple Man 6pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-UP(-6pts)Nicely backed but a surprising change of tactics and an awful run.
645 Southwell-Sophar Sogood finshed behind Loch Ness Monster last time over course and distance but they are grounds for believing it can turn the tables here.
The latters profile suggests it may struggle to repeat that run(just 2 from 23 in its career) but also the changing around of jockeys could make it difference,with Luke Morris taking over from a young apprentice.
The selections form figures at this track read 1st-1st-2nd and I can see Morris sending this horse on from some way out and it may be tough to catch.
On last seasons form Cold Harbour would have a strong chance but its been a few pounds below that level so far.Thawry is still 11Ibs above its last winning mark,this trip looks too short for Shine Baby Shine and is 0w-1p-9r in this grade.
Back Sophar Sogood 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365-4th(-15pts)Never going(DT-21pts)
No comments:
Post a Comment