115 Nottingham-Last years winner of this race Mustarrid,looks all ready for a big attempt at a follow up,Its dropped 13Ibs this season as its toiled in higher grades than this class 4(Class 3 or higher 0w-2p-15r) but when dropped into this class its 2w-1p-3r .The trainer has a good record here and with so many seemingly likely to struggle on the ground,this horse looks well overpriced.
You have to respect any improving 3yo of James Fanshawe`s ,so Flying West could go well but he has an unusually low strike rate at this track.
Clear danger for me is Expresso Freddo but this is a step up in class and a quick turnaround after its latest win.
Back Mustarrid 7pts at 7.0 at various bookmakers-Won(+42pts)Fell out and looked to be struggling then just burst clear.
140 Taunton-Knight Commander is in good form and has to be respected but this comes just 8 days after its latest win and is a rise in class.
Christopher Robin has been consistent and the drop back in trip should help but its now 10Ibs higher than its last win and that has to make things tough.
The one I like is Level Of Intensity,who after a long absence has gradually been finding its feet,culminating in easily its best run for a long time,last time out and that effort gives it sound claims here.Its below its last winning mark and is 2w-1p-6r in this grade.I would definitely have it favourite.
Back Level Of Intensity 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-PU(-8pts)This was there for the taking with the market leaders falling but unfortunately,it got injured just as it was creeping into it.
410 Taunton-Earth Leader could blow this race apart on its debut for Harry Fry but its priced accordingly.
Golden Poet comes out well on the ratings and is unexposed as a stayer but a career record of 2/39 isnt great.
Since it moved to Tom Symonds yard,Schnabel has produced 3 rock solid runs and beat a subsequent winner last time out.Its difficult to see it not running well and is the value.
Back Schnabel 8pts at 6.5 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)A poor run
Days Total+26pts
Running Total+178pts
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