22nd September

205 Newbury-Cameron Highland looks the most likely winner as an improving 3yo that ive got top rated but he is about the right price.I feel that Arctic Cosmos could also be competitve here,1/1 in September and 2wins-1place-4runs after a break of 80 days or more.On pure value grounds,although having a chance ,Lay Time looks the wrong price.
Lay Lay Time 30pts at 4.2-2nd(+30pts)

440 Ayr-A race full of ifs and buts.Opera Gal is incredibly short but im reluctant to lay because of the inconsistent profiles of the others.The fact that its such a strong fav means theres some value elsewhere and im going to have a little on Circumvent,who isnt certain to like the ground but nothing apart from the out classed Epernay is,it has the ratings to win and the first time tongue tie may help.
Back Circumvent 8pts at 7.0-2nd(-8pts)(DT+22pts)

340 Catterick-Party Line is the most obvious choice here and it must go well but theres no value in its price.Its quite tight in behind it but Art Scholar is a really big price,theres no real negatives in its profile and if the fav doesnt run up to its mark then it may be able to take advantage.
Back Art Scholar 4pts at 20.0-UP(-4pts)(DT+18pts)

920 Wolverhampton-Another race with a strong fav but Iceman George is short enough.Laconicos will be on the premises but a record 2 wins from 87 runs tells its own story.Going in with another big price here with Sweet Lavender who achieved a decent rating last time and tonight ,makes its debut for gambling stable,Michael Wighams yard.he drops it in trip and De Sousa is booked.Wont be a surprise if it shortens up.
Back Sweet Lavender 6pts at 13.0-Non Runner(Backed from 12s into 3/1 then pulled out,very annoying)

650 Wolverhampton-With Adranian(my tissue fav) a non runner now,this race looks totally different.No denying that Restless bay should run well but im really not sure about My Own way home and so the very well handicapped Ishetoo could possibly be the one,got a decent rating last time and is a value price.
Back Ishetoo 7pts at 7.0-UP(-7pts)(DT+11pts)Small profit on a difficult day.
Days total minus commission+10.45pts
Monthly Total+57.78pts
Running Total+3766.18pts




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