15th March

515 Kempton-This is pretty weak and a decent opportunity for Badgers Cove to post a win over fences.Its got the best recent ratings and is much better going this way round(Right Handed 3w-2p-9r).I like Charlie Poste as a jockey,he always gives everything a ride and I would have it clear favourite on my tissue prices.
Mic Aubin ran well last time over a 2 furlong shorter trip.It has run over this trip but certainly isnt proven over it.
I must be missing something with Billy Dutton,whos put in at a shorter price than I would have it.I notice it went off favourite last time but ran poorly.Presumably,its a better horse than its showing.
Ive got Campbonnais having it prove on the faster ground while Whispering Jack(won this race last year) has been in terrible form.
Back Badgers Cove 10pts at 5.0 at bet365(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Nicely backed and given a lovely ride from the front.Hardly missed a beat the whole way round.

340 Fontwell-Theres no doubt that Umberto D`Olivate is the one to beat here.Its been consistent in each of its 4 runs over fences but all of those were on very soft ground.Its slightly quicker here and it has no form on sharp circuits like this(All its best runs on galloping or stiff tracks).It also hits a flat spot in the middle of its races and I wonder if something might get away from it.
Im hoping that will be the outsider of the field,Speedy Bruere,whos been all at sea on very soft ground mainly this winter.All its best form came last season on good to soft ground.
Its 1 out of 2 in March and back at a track where its 1 from 1 plus the ground,I can see a much better run for a trainer thats 7 wins from 34 runners with his chasers here.
Elsafeer is 0w-1p-6r in this grade while Last Shot looks like its feeling the effects of a busy season although this is an easier race than its been contesting of late.
Back Speedy Bruere 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-8pts)Looked like taking a hand when coming alongside 3 out but just weakened out of it late on.
Accept 5.0

435-Inoogoo looks a very dodgy favourite to me here.This horse can often pull its chance away but from a ratings standpoint,its got a bit to find.
0w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 0 from 15 going left handed hardly add to its appeal.
Cloverhill Lad has been really consistent all season and has won here.I cannot see it being far away.
Little Jimmy has been supported on its last 3 runs .Its posted some solid ratings and wont be far away.
Pamak Dairy is a 2 time winner here and represents a small yard that have an impressive 10 from 38 record with their chasers here.Its a pretty big price.
Ballycool drops in class and if reproducing its ratings from 3 runs back,it would win this.
Lay Inoogoo 20pts at 4.0(lay upto 5.0)-3rd(+20pts)(DT+52pts)
Days total minus commission+51pts
Monthly Total+314.60pts
Running Total+6430.12pts

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