14th March

320 Cheltenham-The biggest race of the week and a straight shoot out for me between the top two in the market.
You have to greatly respect Bobs Worth,its got an amazing 5 from 5 record at this track and will no doubt be peaking again for this race but you have to try and assess a race like you would any other and Silviniaco Conti has been clearly the best horse this season of the two.
Bobs Worth did look in trouble down the back straight last year and Silviniaco was travelling very well when it came down.
Noel Fehily has a 33% strike rate for the yard,who did have a couple of horses run well on Thursday.Its 2w-1p-6r in grade 1 races and I just think the gap in the prices is far too big.
Its clearly the value for me.
Back Silviniaco Conti 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-4th(-12pts)Not sure what to make of it this at all.Thought we just had Bobs Worth to beat and we did but I felt the jockey kicked too early and had nothing left for the final 100 yards and 3 outsiders came flying by.

230 Lingfield-This is quite tight but Skidby Mill is far too big for me here.Just top rated after  some solid runs latest over course and distance(Lingfield 2w-2p-5r)
Liam Jones is 5 from 21 for the yard and its got a nice draw.It should go close.
Queen Aggies price looks too tight for me.It won last time but that was around Wolverhampton and its far happier around there than here(Lingfield 0w-0p-4r).It needs to improve on that performance anyway.
Pretty Bubbles is very consistent  and is 2w-3p-8r over this trip.Its the main danger .
Back Skidby Mill 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Betvic-2nd(-7pts)Beaten a neck to complete a frustrating day(DT-19pts)

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