6th March

Carlisle 240-The one that interests me the most is Snuker,whos 1 from 1 at this track over fences and after running over staying distances drops back to the trip it last won at.
2w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 1w-1p-2r when returning to the track within 14 days are other positives and If it could produce a rating anything close to that victory then it would win this.
Dotties Dilema has only had the 2 runs over fences and now steps up in trip from a good yard.Its has to be respected.Monbeg isn’t fully proven on this ground but ran a decent race last time and may hit the frame while Russe Blanc has chances on what it was doing before pulling up last time.
Back Snuker 12pts at 4.3 at Paddys(accept 4.0)-Won(+39.60pts)Tremendous ride from Brian Hughes to get this horse up.

505 Wincanton-Rossa Parkes is the one to beat but the market has got it pretty short considering it returns after 84 days away from the track and is 0w-0p-4r after such an absence.It is 1 from 1 around here however and with Noel Fehily up,has to be respected.
Milans Well looks a bit of value to me.Its not done much in its last 2 runs but they were over hurdles(0 from 8 in that sphere) and in larger fields(10 runners+ 0w-1p-7r).
Back over fences,where its still unexposed(only 3 runs), at a track where its unbeaten(2 from 2) and in the desired small field(9 runners or less 2w-2p-4r) I can see this horse running really well.
Tolkiens Tango is unexposed over fences after just one run and may be capable of better.
Back Milans Well 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365(Accept  5.5)-Non Runner

825 Kempton-Jewelled performed well when upped in trip last time,leaving behind some lack lustre efforts over a mile.Its rating posted that day gives it every chance and it returns to the track quickly ,which is what it requires to run its best races(14 days or less 3w-3p-11r)
Waveguide is the obvious danger.Boasting a progressive,consistent profile for a bang in form yard.It moves up a furlong in trip and still has to prove itself around this track,so there are negatives to warrant taking it on.
If I were a Boy isnt out of it but probably needs a little more than its been producing of late.Its got a poor record after a break of 29 days or more from the track(0w-3p-15r)
Ssafa at its best,would be on the premises and it probably does have the best track form of these.Its so in and out though,its difficult to trust.
Back Jewelled 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-3rd(-10pts)Looked to be coming to win the race(Touched 1.18 in running) but weakened final 100 yards.(DT+29.60pts)
Monthly Total+142.60pts
Running Total+6258.12pts

No comments:

Post a Comment