5th April

345 Chepstow-There are a couple who,if returning to their best,could go close but Samingarry has been posting some solid ratings the majority of the time.
A repeat of its latest run would see it go very close.Its strong profile suggests that may well happen.
3w-1p-8r in fields of 9 or less,2w-3p-8r when returning to the track within 14 days,3w-1p-4r in this class of race and 3w-2p-6r on good to soft ground. 
Saroque has been pretty consistent and may well be the main danger unless Dont Do Mondays improves for the step up in trip.
Back Samingarry 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+33pts Rule 4 Non runners)Jumped great and a progressive stayer.

525 Chepstow-Its a struggle to see any other than 3 horses being involved here.Be Definite is fairly consistent and should run its race but struggles to win(1 from 20 in chases) and can usually be taken on.
Thomas Wild is consistent and looks sure to run well.Its trainer is 22% with his chasers here and its a fair enough favourite.
Mighty Mobb should be right alongside it in price,if not a little shorter.Its still fairly unexposed after 7 races and the visor first time could make the difference on its first run for Seamus Mullins.
Back Mighty Mobb 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-2nd(-8pts)The whole way up the straight I thought this horse was going to pick the well backed winner up.Sadly this wasnt the case.
Accept 5.5

250 Aintree-On its first run at 3 miles,Zarkandar ran really well last time.Keeping on at the death to finish just behind At Rivers Cross in the stayers hurdle at Cheltenham..
Its obviously very unexposed at this trip and you would expect an even better run here now they know it stays.
Its 2 wins from 3 starts at this trip,is 2 from 3 in April and is 3w-0p-7r in Grade 1 races.Its the value in this race.
At Rivers Cross is the obvious danger with Whisper and Melodic Rendezvous having stamina doubts.
Back Zarkandar 12pts at 4.5 at Betvictor/Corals-4th(-12pts)Hurdled well early on but went to pieces late on as it got tired.(DT+13pts)
Monthly Total+27pts
Running Total+6636.77pts

No comments:

Post a Comment