8th April

455 Carlisle-Not too sure why Ultra Du Chatelet is as short as it is in the market.Its never won a race,is pretty inconsistent and the stable jockey doesnt ride it.

That particular jockey is on Etxalar,whos chance is far more obvious to see.

Its been running well,drops in grade into a class 4(4w-4p-10r) and goes particularly well at this track with 4 wins.

If you take just its runs at Carlisle, in class 4 races,you get form figures of 1st-1st-3rd-2nd-1st.

Any rain would be a bonus,as it goes very well on soft ground.

Indian Voyage is probably the main danger as it looks to be improving although Whats Up Woody,with 3 course victories could go well but its trainer is in desperate form at the moment.

Back Etxalar 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365-3rd(-8pts)Pretty weak in the market but still ran a good race.

Accept 5.5