Its last 2 efforts have been in group races and now drops down to listed class(2w-0p-4r)
In fields of 10 or more its 6w-0p-7r but probably the most significant is from August to October its 6w-1p-7r.This horse is quite possibly a late summer/Autumn filly.Its trainer states it needs fast ground but my ratings suggest it will fine if the rain comes.
Kavanagh is a very difficult horse to assess accurately after doing its racing in South Africa.
Tropics should run well after showing a consistent set of ratings this year.
Back Mince 7pts at 7.5 at Betvictor-Non Runner
Ceiling Price 6.0
505 Newmarket-Willow Beck is improving and will surely go well but im not sure it should be around the 2/1 mark.
Cat O`Mountain is also improving according to my ratings and has also just been gelded.If it can continue its progression then it looks a big price.
Salutation drops in class and isnt out of it in quite a competitive race.
Back Cat O`Mountain 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Quite well backed but looked to be struggling on the ground
Ceiling price 7.0
540 Newmarket-Hadaj likes it here(2/4) but does drop to the minimum trip for the first time and is also 0w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less,its just possible its a vulnerable short priced fav.
Take it on with Pea Shooter who won well 3 starts ago but then was below par in its 2 subsequent runs,possibly the reason for that is it doesnt like big fields(0w-3p-17r) whereas its 2w-0p-3r in fields of 9 or less.
Also do Peace Seeker who hasnt won in this class but did run well behind Tropics(who runs in earlier listed race) 3 starts back in the grade.Its clearly at its best returned to the track quickly(14 days or less 3w-0p-4r)
Back Pea Shooter 5pts at 10.0-Non Runner & Peace Seeker 4pts at 12.0-Won(+21.6pts 4 non runners)(DT+15.6pts)
Days total minus commission+14.82pts
Monthly Total+404.13pts
Running Total+5724.83pts
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