17th August

550 Perth-Doubts about the front in the market for me.Valleyofmilan has only had 1 run over fences and obviously can improve but its 0w-1p-5r going right handed.Im not sure it should be fav.
Acapulco Gold had been quite consistent and progressive but it was dropping away when it fell last time and the its go forward may have stalled.
Scotch Warrior won for us last time and is a handful around here(Perth 5w-2p-10r) but it does have a few pounds to find with Quito Du tresor whos top rated on its run last time behind another course specialist.It looks the value.
Back Quito Du Tresor 9pts at 6.0 at various Bookies-3rd(-9pts)Nicely backed and looked good the whole way round but just seems to have no finish in it anymore.It always jumps well.

315 Newbury-Soft Falling Rain is a progressive horse but returns from a long absence and wont appreciate any rain.It may well win but I want to take it on at the price.
Tawhid looks to be a decent price as its an improving 3yo(3yos have won 4 of the last 5 running of this) and will be staying on as its stays a bit further than this.
Back Tawhid 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-9pts)Well backed into 3.5 but after holding every chance,just didnt pick up.(DT-18pts)

810 Market Rasen-Doubts about so many of these.Claude Carter goes well here but is not at its best in fields of 9 or less(0w-2p-13r)
Mighty Snazy makes its handicap debut but needs to improve.
For me this lies between the short priced fav Strongly Suggested and Lucky Landing.
The former is 2/2 over this trip and is a CD winner,so should surely go close but is very short.
Lucky Landing is a horse that needs to do its work on the bridle.It does go well here however and ran well last time in a chase.It just shouldnt be the price it is.
Back Lucky Landing 5pts at 11.0 at Bet365-Won(+50pts)Looked to be dropping away but came thundering through to win quite cosily.(DT+32pts)
Ceiling price 8.0

450 Chester-Communicator looks badly handicapped(10Ib above last last win) and just looks like its lost its way.It has won here and gets the first time hood but it needs to have a dramatic affect.
Salutation is very solid and must run well while CD winner Kiama Bay should also go close.
Burnham is very consistent and has the ratings to be there at the end.
Lay Communicator 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)Never in it.(DT+62pts)
*Cancel or trade out if Salutation,Burnham or Kiama Bay dont run*
Days total minus commission+60.50pts
Monthly Total+289.15pts
Running Total+5619.85pts

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