4.0 Pontefract-Planetex looks pretty underpriced here.It ran poorly last time when favourite and its only decent ratings this season came in sellers.The drop back to 5f may help but it will need to.
Mr Mojo is clearly at its best fresh(80days+ 2w-0p-4r) so its recent absence should be a positive.
ComptonSpirit has been in good form and has won twice at this track.
Come on Dave and Phoenix Clubs both have the ratings to go close.
Lay Planetex 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts) For some reason ,it got supported into favouritism.Was never really in it
*Cancel or trade out if Mr Mojo,Comptonspirit,Come on Dave or Phoenix Clubs dont run.Do not leave in running*
Back Maid A Million 6 pts at 9.0 at various Bookies-2nd(-6pts)Well backed and lost out by a short head.
2.40 Newcastle - Attention Seeker is the favourite here but does have to prove itself on the soft ground. It is also dropping slightly in trip. Key Gold is also prominent in the betting but looks to me to be a regressive animal.
The one I quite like is Moheebb, who took a big step up in trip on his last run and achieved a good rating in the process. It now drops slightly in trip on it's favoured soft ground (6 careers wins) and at a track where it has a good record (Newcastle 2w-2p-9r).
Back Moheebb 7 pts at 7.6 at Betvictor-UP(-7pts)Held up out the back and never got into it.(DT+17pts)
5.10 Newcastle - This is a poor race with none of the horses having a consistent profile. Save The Bees is the short priced favourite but has never run over this trip and has never won from August onwards (0w-1p-7r).
The Value in the race is Ptolomeos, who ran well last time over trip and ground and achieved a rating last season over trip and ground that wins this race.
Bolling Billy may still have some improvement in it as a 3 year old but has never run on this sort of ground.
Back Ptolomeos 7 pts at 11.0-UP(-7pts)Fairly weak in the market and ran accordingly(DT+10pts)
Ceiling Price 7.0
8.20 Yarmouth - Bridgehampton - despite being well backed ran as though it needed the run on it's seasonal debut, it should be ready to run near the rating that it achieved last season, which would give it a good chance here. It has a consistent profile and is 1w-0p-2r in this class and 2w-0p-5r in fields of 9 or less.
Toughness Danon ran well last time on the all weather but has a strike rate of 1/40 in it's career. Coral Prince is probably the main danger and is improving, but will need to improve again to match the selections best ratings.
Back Bridgehampton 12 pts at 4.0 -Won(+24pts 2 non runners)(DT+34pts)
Days total minus commission+32.3pts
Monthly Total+164.0pts
Running Total+5494.70pts
No comments:
Post a Comment