18th August

420 Pontefract-Quite a tight handicap with only really Hard Core Debt looking to hold little chance.
Mushaakis drops back in trip and that should see it run well,im not sure it should be favourite though.
Magistal has potential after only 3 starts but the market price is built on that progression rather than what its done so far.
The red hot stable of Richard Fahey have 2 in here and the stable jockey is on Manchestar.This is probably the reason Gabrials Kaka is a bigger price than it should be and after a good run last time plus a very good topspeed figure,its definitely the value.
Back Gabrials Kaka 9pts at 6.5 at Bet365-Won(+56.66pts Best price guaranteed minus rule 4 10p in £1)Weak in the market but given a fine ride to win cosily.
Ceiling Price 4.5

3.0 Southwell-Dark Energy is a progressive chaser.After only 3 starts over fences,each rating has seen a jolt forward and the forward momentum has probably still not stopped.Theres no denying as a hurdler,it was better going Right handed than todays way round but its already a better chaser than hurdler,so im not going to let that put me off until it proves otherwise.Its also up in class but its rating and its speed figures suggest it can handle this.Ive got it as just favourite on my tissue.
This is a strong race though and Fingeronthepulse,just dropping back in trip should run well but it is a 12yo and some of the others must have more upside to them.
Henry San isnt out of it but probably the biggest danger is Wiesentraum,who ran an excellent race on its seasonal debut.
Billie Magern has a strong profile but probably needs further these days.
Back Dark Energy 12pts at 7.0 -4th(-12pts)Unbelievably weak in the betting and never seen with a chance.(DT+44.66pts)
Ceiling price 5.0

345 Pontefract-Cannot see why (on my ratings at least)the reason Minalisa is second in the betting.It is a consistent filly but it has at least half a stone to find with the top rated horse.
Galician is that horse and surely must run well from a good stall.March is a consistent and progressive horse and must be there at the finish while Artistic Jewell is a force in listed races(2w-2p-6r) and is at its best fresh(41 days break or more 3w-0p-5r)
Nargys is an interesting contender from the Cumani stable.As its dropped in trip to a distance its sire is 17% with its progeny.Its ratings over further from a few starts ago would put it bang there while City Girl if bouncing back after a poor run last time wouldnt be out of it.
Lay Minalisa 30pts at 5.5-2nd(+30pts)Ran much better than I thought although Galician and March were below par.(DT+74.66pts)
*Cancel or Trade out if Galician,March or Artistic Jewell dont run*
Days total minus commission+73.16pts
Monthly Total+372.31pts
Running Total+5693.01pts

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