20th August

540 Worcester-French Ties looks the value to me here.Its well handicapped on its best form and ran really well last time.Interestingly the horses that finished 4th and 5th behind it that day,have both come out and won,so the form looks solid.

Theres plusses and minuses about everything else in the race.

Surf and Turf is 1/1 over the distance and goes back up to that trip but its 0w-1p-9r from July to the end of the year.Although it has won at the track,it looks a very short price to me.

Gud Day has run 2 decent races over fences but struggles to win and has never done so in this class.

Spock has a decent profile but its ratings suggest it probably isnt the horse it was.

Suburban Bay is so in and out,it may run ok but it probably wont.It also looks better over further.

Back French Ties 9pts at 5.5 at bet365/Betvictor-2nd(-9pts)The slow early pace didnt suit French Ties but it looks like a horse that comes through but doesnt get there anymore.3 times ive put this horse up and its hit the frame each time but not the top spot.I think this will be the last time I put it up.