5th August

315 Ripon-Dame Nellie Melba is a fairly unexposed 3yo from the Mark Johnston yard and it improved for the step up to this trip last time.If it continues its progression then it will go close but it looks a very short price.
Triple Eight is rated very close to the fav but is a much bigger price.I think its the value in the race.It wont mind if the rain comes.
Back Triple Eight 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-Won(+42pts)Got the price badly wrong.ISP 9.5,BSP 14.5 and hopefully some got the best odds guaranteed or had some more on on Betfair.The good news was it hosed up

6.0 Windsor-My first thought with this race was to take on what I thought would be the obvious fav(Dangerous Age) on account of its best form had been on polytrack.However it is an improving 3yo against a bunch of exposed and inconsistent older horses,in which none have a compelling profile.
It has Ryan Moore booked and I feel there is enough in the price to give it another chance on grass.
Best be Careful is the obvious danger with Hughes booked but rarely runs 2 races alike.Dreams of Glory is nearly a stone better at Bath than anywhere else.
Macdillon has 1 win in the last 5 years while Welease Bwian continues to produce ratings that should see it win races but it just never seems to(1/29 career record)
Back Dangerous Age 7pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-7pts)The rain changed the ground.It may be that it just isnt a turf horse though.(DT+35pts)

730 Windsor-On my ratings,Juvenal shouldnt be fav.The jockey and trainer were in great form last week and it does get the cheekpieces back on but on what its done so far,it needs to improve again to win this.
Cruiser back at Windsor(1/1) could bounce back after a poor run last time.
African Oil is unexposed at this trip and there could be more to come.
Jack Who`s He ran a good race after a 6 month absence and its best rating from last year,would see it go very close.
Kohlaan should still have more to offer for its big yard after 3 wins in the last 4 starts.
Lay Juvenal 30pts at 3.75-Cancelled due to non runners
(Lay up to 4.0)
*If Cruiser,African Oil,Jack Whos He or Kohlaan dont run then cancel or trade out.Do Not leave in running anymore*
Monthly Total+146.70pts
Running Total+5477.40pts

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