5th July

335 Doncaster -Creek Falcon has encountered 7 furlongs on fast ground twice and won them both.Its top rated on its last run,clearly likes a little break between its runs(Gap of 29 to 80 days 2w-1p-3r) and is 2/2 on galloping tracks.
It must surely go close.
Defendant is lightly raced from the Stoute stable but it needs to improve on my ratings
Glen Moss is consistent but keeps edging up the handicap without winning.
Otto the Great I feel is the main danger after running its best race of the season last time,it has a rating from last season that puts it right there.
Back Creek Falcon 11pts at 4.3 at Boyles Sports-UP(-13pts)
Ceiling Price 4.0
2pt exacta Creek Falcon and Otto the Great

420 Warwick-Weak race and it looks a good opportunity for Belle Bayardo.This horse is more consistent than most in this field and doesnt start winning until July(month of July 3w-0p-7r),after a good 2nd last time,it looks primed to win.
Storm Lightning is the clear danger for me,after a good run last time.
Sole Danser has a rating from last season that goes close but hasnt reached that level this year and it is only 1/22 in its career.
Amber heights is very inconsistent,is 0w-0p-7r between June and August and 0w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days.
Back Belle Bayardo 15pts at 3.35-UP(-15pts) 2 really poor runs(DT-28pts)
Ceiling Price 3.0
Monthly Total- 51.24pts
Running Total+5357.91pts

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