11th February

310 Musselburgh-Really competitive handicap.Lightening Rod and Woody Waller are unexposed chasers that must go well but at a much bigger price,im going to take a punt on De Boitron,who has a pattern in his form where it performs much better after the turn of the year,so its poor form before xmas is fairly irrelevant.
Back De Boitron 5pts at 17.0(Available at Bet365)-3rd(-5pts)Ran a good race


450 Musserlburgh-Really like Cape Dutchs progressive profile here.Cotillion is a solid yardstick but is still 5Ibs behind without the prospect of further improvement.Bowlders magic is also unexposed but has a massive amount to find.
Back Cape Dutch 20pts at 3.35-Won(+47pts)(DT+42pts)The 2 mentioned horses pulled well clear


215 Lingfield-Lots of chances here but im a little surprised to see the well drawn,consistent,course and distance winner Valmina at such a big price.
Back Valmina 5.5pts at 12.0-4th(-5.5pts)Ran really well and just beaten(DT+37pts)


245 Lingfield-Im trying to cut down on the laying but Palace Moon is a very inconsistent horse,who isnt proven at this track and even its rating from its last time out win leaves it 7Ib behind.So its price means everything else in the race is bigger than it should be.It has to be laid
Lay Palace Moon 35pts at 4.0-Won(=)Got cold feet and traded out when it touched 6.0 as it drifted before the off.A Good Decision!


3.0 Kempton-Casa Bex is fav and he should go well but Songbird Blues has got a good draw and is a massive price.
Back Songbird Blues 6pts at 10.0-2nd(-6pts)Another to run well and in my opinion should have won(DT+31pts)


355 Lingfield-Tornado Force is improving fast and is ridden by Jimmy Fortune who has ridden sparingly on the AW so far but operates at a 20% strike rate.Should come home strong and win.
Back Tornado Force 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)Another 2nd after looking certain to win(DT+16pts)


430 Lingfield-Mister Frosty is too short and may well win but there is some value elsewhere with Avon Supreme
Back Avon Supreme 6pts at 16.0-4th(-6pts)Not put into the race!!!(DT+10pts)


750 Wolverhampton-A 2 horse race for me between Boa and Kames Park.The latter has the better chance purely on ratings but is a bit of a dodgepot,cant see him out of the frame.
Back Kames Park 10pts at 4.5 & 50pts at 1.7 to place(1st 3)-2nd(+25pts)The old dodgers head came right back in the jockeys lap(who gave it a peach of a ride)and he didnt want it.Some good selections all day with nothing running poorly,pretty frustrating that a real big profit wasnt made on the day but a good call to trade out on the lay.(DT+35pts)
Days total minus commission+33.25pts
Monthly Total+268.36pts
Running Total+2669.03pts

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