Each run has seen a nice progression in its ratings and its taken to win this probably from Rascal ,who won well last time.
Back The Tourard Man 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Well backed and touched 1.4 in running.Winner was brave in front.
1230 Haydock-Back to Bracka is lightly raced over fences and is very much respected but the yard is struggling at the moment and there appears to be some value elsewhere.
Whispering Harry is also unexposed over fences after just 3 runs and going back left handed should help(4w-0p-10r),its 4w-0p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 4w-2p-12r when retruning after 28 days or less absence from the track.
Greywell Boy also interests me.Its last 2 runs have been over further and the return to 2 miles on very soft ground look ideal(Form Figures of 1st-1st-1st-2nd when encountering that scenario),3w-2p-7r in fields of 9 or less and the trainer is 8 from 27 with his runners at this track.
Back Whispering Harry 6pts at 8.0 at Various bookies(Accept 6.0)-1st and Greywell Boy 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.0)-3rd(+35pts)
205 Haydock-This is wide open with several holding chances.
Toby Lerone looks vulnerable stepped upto 3 miles(0w-0p-8r over 2m6+) and the majority arent that well handicapped.
So although stepping up markedly in class,im going to risk a bit on Red Admirable.This horse needs to improve a little to win this but thats not impossible after just 2 chase starts and 1 run over this trip,Its totally unexposed under these circumstances.
Back Red Admirable 4pts at 13.0 at various bookies(Accept 10.0)-UP(-4pts)(DT+19pts)
240 Haydock-With a record over hurdles of 4w-4p-9r,Red Ructions Run would look to hold very solid prospects here.A repeat of its run on its seasonal debut over course and distance,would see it tough to beat here.
Taj Badalandabad is unexposed,from a top yard and is easily the biggest danger.
Back Red Ructions Run 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-9pts)Held up miles off the pace.Front runner got away and won easy.
140 Newcastle-If Firth Of Clyde stays the trip then it will probably win this but its a big if in my opinion.
The trainer stated after it won last season that it may stay this trip on an easy track.Newcastle on very soft ground couldnt be regarded as an easy track.
Un Guet Apens is another that looks better at shorter(0w-0p-3r over this trip).
I can see the finish being fought out by Indian Voyage and Edmund,who both hold similar chances but the latter is the bigger price and has to be the selection.
Its 2w-0p-4r record at this track and the trainer being 6 from 20 with her chasers here,add to its chance.
Back Edmund 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Well backed but never quite got into it.(+3pts)
Monthly Total-22.25pts
Running Total+7187.29pts
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