Its form stands up and the 2m2f trip may just have been a shade too far last time.Back over 2miles on a flat,galloping track,I would expect even better.
This horse won 3 from 4 over hurdles at this track and is 2w-0p-4r in January/December.
Im amazed its not clear favourite.
For some reason,that honour has gone to Un Majeur Aulmes.On its best last season ratings,it would hold a place chance but no more than that.
Malibu Sun needs the ground to dry out while Un Anjou is up in class and is 0w-0p-4r on galloping tracks.
Upepito hasnt shown that much since joining Venitia Williams yard but she has won this race 3 times in the last 7 years,if the money comes then its a threat.
Back Quick Decisson 15pts at 5.5(Accept 3.0)-UP(-15pts)Well backed into 5/2 but went off a million miles an hour and had nothing left.
310 Kempton-You have to respect the trainer although he is 0 from 3 at this track but it appears to me that Champagne Fever has been priced up on what it done over hurdles rather than whats its achieved on its 5 runs over fences.It needs to find a stone of improvement for the step up in trip and thats a big ask.Im happy to take it on.
Silviniaco Conti looks rock solid,top rated,4w-2p-6r around sharp tracks like this and the trainer has won this race 6 times in the last 8 years.
Menorah finished behind it last time but may get closer today on better ground and at a track it loves(Kempton 3w-1p-4r)
I can see Dynaste running well while Al Ferof and Cue Card are other strong runners to take the lay on with.
Lay Champagne Fever 20pts at 6.0-Lost(+20pts)(DT+5pts)
320 Market Rasen-Afficionado just won on its stable debut last time and if reproducing that,will run well while Make me a Fortune is improving but Ourmanmassini reverts back to hurdles after a poor run over fences.On its last attempt over hurdles,it ran very well in a hot event at Cheltenham.It was very well backed that day and clearly thought capable of winning off this mark.Its rating and speed figure back that up and it could be a touch of value.
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Back OurmanMassini 7pts at 7.0 or better(9.0)-(-7pts)
1245 Huntingdon-For its sheer consistency,Kings Apollo is the one to beat here.Its no world beater but nor are its rivals and after only just 5 starts over fences,there could still be more to come.
Finding obvious rivals isnt easy but Roseneath is 2 from 3 around here,so may well be the biggest danger.
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Back Kings Apollo 12pts at 4.3 or better-UP(-12pts)Looked like it went far too quick and was beaten down the back straight.(DT-14pts)
210 Towcester-This isnt a bad little race for this track,featuring a few in form horses.
The one that catches my eye is Devenish Island ,who steps up in trip on its handicap debut at a track where it won its bumper.
Its latest rating over shorter suggests this could be a decent opening mark and I can see it being supported and going very close.
Obistar and Kapricorne are the dangers.
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Back Devenish Island 12pts at 3.75-(-12pts)
155 Sedgefield-Since being fitted with a hood,Jukebox Melody has burst to life with 2 emphatic wins.This horse jumps out near or in front and gradually turns the screw on its opponents with a relentless gallop.Despite a rise in the weights for its latest win,it still looks well weighted on my figures.
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Back Jukebox Melody 20pts at 3.0 or better -UP(-20pts)Just too bad to be true(DT-46pts)
Worst Boxing Day ive ever had!
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