27th November

305 Uttoxeter-I feel that Ray Diamond will either win this or finish tailed off,thats the type of animal it is.
However,it appeals as the value in this weak race.
Mohi Rahrere ran pretty well last time and does drop in class but consistency has never been its strong point and a record of 0w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 28 days means this short priced favourite looks vulnerable,its best ratings have been on slightly better ground also.
Lord Lir is 0 from 20 and very inconsistent while Phoenix Des Mottes returns from a break not very well handicapped(6Ibs above its highest winning mark).
This leaves us Ray Diamond,who would have found 3 miles too far last time and the time before(On its seasonal debut) it surely wouldve needed the run as a record of 0w-0p-7r first time out suggests.
This horse prefers a recent race(28 days or less 5w-4p-24r) and is 1 from 2 in this grade.
Its inconsistent and no world beater but it wont need to be here,its very well handicapped.
Back Ray Diamond 10pts at 4.5 at bet365(accept 3.75)-Won(+35pts)Won easily

1.0 Newbury-Woodford County is lightly raced and from an inform yard,I can see its appeal but on what its done,its very short.
Ruapehu was progressing well the last time we saw it but has to keep up the improvement now returned from a long break.
Susquehanna River ran well last time but is very inconsistent and wants better ground than this.
Itoldyou has a nice consistent set of ratings and ran well on its seasonal debut last time,on its best from last season,it would go very close.
Its 2 from 3 over this trip and loves the heavy ground.3w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days adds to its appeal and it should run well.
Back Itoldyou 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-10pts)Very unlucky not to make it a double(Touched 1.3 in running)(DT+25pts)
Monthly Total+87pts
Running Total+7150.54pts

No comments:

Post a Comment