That bare rating taken at face value gives it a fair shout and it now makes its handicap debut at a much more suitable trip.
It could have been flattered but the topspeed figure wasnt bad either,at the prices it has to be supported.
Longueville Flier and Oscar Lateen head the dangers.
Back Under The Red Sky 3pts at 17.0 at various bookies(Meeting abandoned)
1225 Market Rasen-With its inconsistent profile and a poor win record(1/37 over hurdles),Gud Day has to be taken on.
Its a double figure price in my tissue & im struggling to see why it should be near the front of the market.
My Lord is consistent and heads the ratings,this is a drop in class on just its 3rd start for Jim Best(28% with his hurdlers here)
Lean Burn is pretty solid and should be thereabouts while Kings Road could have been laid out for this.
It won this race last year and the trainer also won it the year before.
Its got form figures around this course and distance of 2-P-1-5-1-2 and is 4w-1p-8r in this grade.
Lay Gud Day 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-3rd(+9pts Only partially matched)
245 Market Rasen-Although it finished last of six last time out,Ublatique travelled strongly into the race and maybe this sharper,easier track will help it finish its race.
This is pretty weak with question marks over everything and off a mark 3Ibs lower than its last winning mark,its handicapped to go close.
Chestnut Ben won this race last year after an absence,so it was a pretty poor run first time out this year.It would have a strong chance based on last years run but this ground will be soft enough.
Grimley Girl is unexposed over fences and won here over hurdles,its probably the main danger.
Chankillo has been in decent form but drops in trip and wont like the ground.Its got a career record of 2 from 44.
Back Ubaltique 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.5)-3rd(-9pts)Very disappointing horse.Wont be supporting again.
320 Market Rasen-This will be the 3rd start for Touch Back under Chris Bealby and the trainer appears to be coaxing some decent form out of the horse.
Its latest run is the best in on my figures and now races off its last winning mark,the drop in trip should be fine and its 3w-2p-9r in this class.
The recent win record is a worry but the price is big enough to get involved with the jockey having ridden 4 winners from 10 rides for this yard.
The very unexposed Itsnowcato is the one im worried about.It was carried out on its handicap debut and this is only its fourth career start.
Spice Fair posted a fair rating last time out but ive got it a slightly better horse back at a 2 miles trip.
Back Touch Back 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Halved in price but the trip looked too sharp.Stayed on up the straight.
310 Kempton-A great race and one in which Vautour looks seriously under priced.
A different jockey/trainer combination would see it trading at a much bigger price in my view.Its reappearance run leaves it with a fair bit to find and with a stamina doubt thrown in,I cant have it at the prices.
Don Cossack is a fair favourite and is the one to beat,its around the right price however but Cue Card represents fair value here.
Its latest run matched its career best rating and it should have won this 2 years ago,the jockey is 6 from 19 for the yard.
Smad Place produced a fine performance last time in a big handicap race.It now moves into graded company and wont be far away if repeating that latest run.
Silviniaco Conti has won this the last 2 years and represents a yard that have won this race incredibly,7 of the last 9 years.
It doesnt seem quite the horse it was but has never finished out of the frame around this track.
Back Cue Card 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+45pts Paid out BOG)
Lay Vautour 20pts at 4.5-2nd(+19pts)Called this horse wrong but got away with it.
115 Sedgefield-Gin Cobbler can be a bit in and out but it produced a good effort last time in a higher grade and could make them all go,if bouncing out in front.
Its back to its last winning mark and is a pretty silly price.
Mandy`s Boy has only had 2 starts over fences and drops in class here after running well last time out.
The first time tongue tie presumably helped that day and is retained here.
On The Case ran well last time out on its seasonal debut and is a fair favourite but is a tight enough price for me.
Theflyingportrait is unexposed but is very inconsistent.Although this is a drop in class,the yard have been struggling all season.
Back Gin Cobbler 4pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 10.0)
Back Mandy`s Boy 5pts at 10.0 at Totesport/Betfred(Both Non Runners)
230 Sedgefield-Tiny Dancer was off for 18 months and in that time changed yards.its 2 runs for its new stables have both been over a trip I feel,is too far.
Its now back to a distance where it should be able to return to its best.
Its 1 from 1 around this course and distance,is now 6Ibs below its last winning mark and also gets a good 5Ib claimer onboard for the first time.
Im struggling to see why Shrapnel is available at 4/1,its 16/1 chance for me but it is well enough handicapped if it did decide to put its best foot forward.
Down Time has its 2nd start for Brian Ellison but will need to step up a lot on what it done on its first run for the yard.
Lord Usher looks a bigger danger after a decent run on its first start over fences while Uno Valoroso drops in class but has a question mark over this trip.
Back Tiny Dancer 12pts at 4.5-4th(-12pts)Ground looked unraceable but this horse never got competitive.(DT+46pts)
Monthly Total+62pts
Running Total+8365.45pts
Monthly Total+62pts
Running Total+8365.45pts
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